Lies in the theory of "Japan and Korea are inseparable relations" viewed by numbers

https://shinjukuacc.com/20200308-02/

 

2 trillion yen trade surplus with Korea Surplus

= not profit ! 2019/07/21

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As a result, the visa exemption between Japan and Korea has been suspended.

Under these circumstances,

Former Prime Minister 中曽根康弘(Yasuhiro Nakasone),

who died at the age of 101 last year,

 

" Japan-Korea relations are in 一衣帯水(Ichi i-tai sui),

It is inevitably doomed to share East Asian history. ''

 

I was rereading the remark, and came to a sudden question.

That is, "is it inevitable?"

 

Is Japan-South Korea relations 一衣帯水(Ichi i-tai sui) ?

 

SelfEconomicSanctionEntryVisaExemptionForJapane

셀프 경제 제재? 한국이 일본인을위한 비자 면제 정지에

セルフ経済制裁?韓国が日本人向け入国ビザ免除停止へ』、

S-KoreaFinallyEntersWeepfulEntreatieDiplomacy1

벼랑 끝 전술 가 통하지 않아 마침내 울음을 떨어 외교에 들어가는 한국1 

 

I read the two articles by myself and felt again that

" Is Japan-Korea relations really important to each other? "

Is the question.

 

Japan and Korea are very close geographically, with the northern tip of Tsushima in Japan and the southern tip of Busan in Korea

The shortest part is close enough to break below 50 km.

And do you want to express this kind of geographical proximity?

Politicians often

Japan-Korea relations are described as 「一衣帯水(Ichi i-tai sui)relations」.

 

For example,

Former Prime Minister 中曽根康弘(Yasuhiro Nakasone), who passed away at the age of 101 in November last year,

"Japan and Korea are related to 一衣帯水(Ichi i-tai sui)の関係

It is inevitably doomed to share East Asian history. ''

It seems that he said.

 

" Former Prime Minister Yasuhiro Nakasone ''Japanese-Korean relations are in Ichii-tai sui''

(From Sankei news on 2017.12.421: 13 )

 

Looking at this 「一衣帯水(Ichi i-tai sui)」,

 

" Long and narrow rivers and straits, like a strip.

In turn, there is only a narrow gap between them as narrow as a narrow river,

Parable that is very close "

(Sanseido " Shinmei 4 character idiom dictionary ")

 

There is.

 

Of course, countries so close geographically are hostile to Japan,

Preparing to invade Japan,

Having a feeling of hatred for Japan,

There is no doubt that it is a very troublesome issue in achieving peace and prosperity in Japan.

 

In particular, as supply chains become more integrated worldwide these days,

Japan and South Korea have some industrial ties as well,

Right now, Japan and Korea are 「断交(break off relations).

Or, if it becomes 「armed conflict state」,

There is no doubt that Japan will be hit by great confusion.

 

People, goods and money and Japan-Korea relations

People, things, money,
 Just a thought looked into up that

 

However, from the viewpoint of 「一衣帯水(Ichi i-tai sui)」,

If it is geographically close, it can be said that it is automatically to Relationships of 一衣帯水(Ichi i-tai sui)」

But even then, it ’s just a matter of “geographically close,”

Automatically, "the two countries must build a deep relationship",

Does not conclude.

 

Rather, it is a little confusing to say that "the relationship between Japan and Korea is inseparable" without the "numbers".

Therefore, let's first examine objective facts.

When discussing economic relations, it is easy to understand the perspective of people, goods, and money.
 

That is,
 

①  The flow of people from Japan to Korea

②  Flow of goods from Japan to Korea

③  Money flow from Japan to Korea

  The flow of people from Korea to Japan

  Flow of goods from Korea to Japan

⑥  Money flow from Korea to Japan

 

It is a viewpoint.

 

Human traffic: Number of people visiting each other

 

The first is human connections (Chart 1).

 

Figure 1 Human connections in Japan and Korea

 

Classification

Number

Overall importance

① Koreans who entered Japan ( 2019 )

5,584,638

About 18 % of all foreign visitors to Japan ( 31.88 million)

②Japanese who entered Korea ( 2019 )

3,271,706

Approximately 19 % of all foreign visitors to Japan ( 17.5 million)

③ Traffic between Japan and Korea in 2019 (① + ②)

8,856,344 people

 

([Source] ① is [ Japan Tourism Board ] (JNTO) data,

② is [ Korea Tourism Corporation ] data)

 

 Japan and South Korea exchange 8.86 million people during 2019 ,
This has decreased by 1.63 million compared to 10.49 million in 2018

However,
it can be seen that the biggest decrease is due to
the “Movement of No Japan ” in Korea.

In particular, since August 2019 , when it was down 48 % year-on-year,

It can be seen that the number of visiting Koreans has dropped sharply
(Chart 2).

The worst month is down 65 % year-on-year.

 

Exhibit 2

Monthly trends of Korean visitors to Japan throughout 2019

 

Month

2019 number of people

Year-on-year

Jan

779,383 people

▲ 20,000, ▲ 3.04%

Feb

715,804 people

+10000 , + 1.06%

March

585,586

▲ 30,000, ▲ 5.43%

April

566,624 people

▲ 70,000, ▲ 11.26%

May

603,394

▲ 40,000, ▲ 5.77%

June

611,867

+10000 , + 0.94%

July

561,675

▲ 50,000 people, ▲ 7.61%

August

308,730

-290,000 , -48.02%

Sep

201,252 people

-280,000 , -58.05%

October

197,281 people

370,000 , ▲ 65.46%

November

200,504 people

-380,000 , -65.14%

December

248,000 people

-430,000 , -63.61%

 

(Source: Japan Tourism Bureau ( JNTO ) data)


 If the pace of this decline continues at around 60 % compared to the same month last year,
what if Assuming that the Wuhan Pneumonia virus (Corona 19) riot had not occurred,
The number of visiting Koreans should have stayed around 3 million throughout 2020
(By the way, the number of immigration in 2018 ,
which was at its peak, was 7,583,952 ).


However, in the first place for both Japan and Korea,
The largest immigrant in 2019 is Chinese,
9,954,360 Japanese visitors to Japan ( 30 % of all foreign visitors to Japan)

The number of Chinese visiting Korea was 6,024,200
( 34 % of the total foreign visitors to Korea).

 

At least from the perspective of "the flow of people"

It is clear that Japan and Korea are not the "most important" countries.