Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is a gross intervention to China's internal affairs. It gravely undermines China’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, seriously trampling on the one-China principle.
Her visit indicates the fundamental change of the US policy toward China. The US regards that its one-China policy has already outlived its usefulness.
Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is just the beginning. The US wants to end the one-China policy and have Taiwan armed even with nuclear weapons to deter China. The ultimate US goal is to break up China.
China needs to get prepared and transformed herself to cope with the hostile antagonistic US. China, together with Russia, BRICS plus and the world nations, needs to wage diplomatic, economic, political, military warfare until she ultimately overwhelms the US.
1. Background
Lenin said in his classic book "The State and Revolution", "The first fact that has been established most accurately by the whole theory of development, by science as a whole--a fact that was ignored by the utopians, and is ignored by the present-day opportunists, who are afraid of the socialist revolution--is that, historically, there must undoubtedly be a special stage, or a special phase, of transition from capitalism to communism."
Then, he quoted Marx's statement in Critique of the Gotha Programme: "Between capitalist and communist society lies the period of the revolutionary transformation of the one into the other. Corresponding to this is also a political transition period in which the state can be nothing but the revolutionary dictatorship of the proletariat."
Revolution is a war. Between capitalist society and communist society, a war is inevitable. Not because communists seek for violence, but because capitalists try to protect capitalism and destroy communism by using every weapon and military force at their disposal.
In Lenin's mind as well as Marx's mind, revolution was regarded as a phenomenon that happens within the border of a state. However, their revolution theory can and must be applied to relations between nations. In our contemporary world, the theory should be applied between China and the U.S.
China does not want a war. But, a war against the U.S. is inevitable. Why? Because, in order to destroy socialism, the US rich people will mobilize every weapon and military force at their disposal including thermonuclear devices. Actually, their use of nuclear weapons is quite likely. With less warships, less soldiers, and less combat tanks, nuclear weapons are the only US method left to destroy socialism.
Rich people's dream is to be super-rich while the rest of the population go down to the poorest conditions. The last thing rich people want to see is that a society is filled with happy middle class with decent income and assets.
Actually, that is exactly the society China is trying to make. It is called "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)". The Chinese government is trying to redistribute income so that inequality of the people will be resolved and "common prosperity"(共同富裕) is established.
China will establish "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕) for her entire population by making the most of 5G, AI, IoT, industrial robots, electronic money and renewable energies.
China has already lifted as many as 800 million people out of absolute poverty in last decades, proving that the combination of planned economy and market economy is the best to develop economy.
Asian and African countries will follow the lead and model of China to establish "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕), being connected with China through 5G, AI, IoT, industrial robots, electronic money and renewable energies.
US and British rich people can never never accept "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕). What they fear is that even American ordinary people and British ordinary people notice that "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕) are real and possible, seeing the model and achievement of China.
Before that happens, American and British rich people will take actions to destroy China's socialism. Therefore, China needs to increase her armaments rapidly and strengthen her alliance with Russia. The only way to prevent a war is that the Sino-Russian alliance maintains overwhelming combined military power against the U.S.
China should maintain the revolutionary dictatorship, i.e., the communist party's dictatorship until the U.S. surrenders and Asian and African nations establish "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕).
The mankind should advance from the current capitalist stage where the minority of rich people suppresses the majority of poor people. The mankind should advance to the higher communist stage where the entire population enjoy "common prosperity"(共同富裕) in a "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)".
Just like scientific laws such as the law of gravity hold regardless whether an observer believes them or not, social scientific laws hold regardless whether American rich people believe them or not.
2. The US's one-China policy was only an improvised temporary policy
It has turned out that the US's one-China policy was just an improvised temporary policy devised under the peculiar international situation that the US faced in 1970s. The one-China policy was not a permanent policy.
Its purpose was to avoid fighting against both the Soviet Union and China at the same time. The US's one-China policy was based upon sheer calculation and comparison of the powers of the West and the East. Its main architect was Dr. Henry Kissinger. It worked brilliantly.
Looking back the era of the Cold War, one of the decisive factors that enabled the West to win the Cold War was that they succeeded in severing China from the Soviet Union.
In 1969, the Soviet Union and China had a border dispute. The seven-month military conflict between the Soviet Union and China resulted in the Sino-Soviet split.
After that, US President Richard Nixon visited China in 1972. The US approached China and succeeded in establishing friendly relations with China. In the Joint Communiqué of the US and China, known as the Shanghai Communiqué (1972), it was clearly stipulated, "there is one China and that Taiwan is a part of China".
On the other hand, the Soviet Union started a war in Afghanistan in 1979. The US supplied weapons to Afghan guerillas to make the Soviet Union into a military quagmire, which led to the beginning of decline and collapse of the Soviet Union.
The Soviet Union was broken up in 1991.
[The Soviet Red Army retreating from Afghanistan]
The US's one-China policy was very effective and useful. It suited very well for the national interest of the US. It enabled the US to be the only superpower in the world.
After the Cold War, despite the dissolution of the Soviet Union, NATO was not disorganized but kept growing and expanding eastward. Having become the only super power in the world, the US overestimated its power and believed that it could win both China and Russia at the same time.
In 2014, there happened a coup engineered by the West in Ukraine. The pro-Russian government fell and a pro-West government was established. In response, Russia annexed Crimea in order to secure Sevastopol, the home port of Russian Black Sea Fleet.
The West imposed economic sanctions against Russia. Russia was isolated. At that critical juncture, it was China that came to rescue Russia. China entered a 30-year deal worth $400bn to deliver gas to China. A friend in need is a friend indeed. Ever since, China and Russia has been solidifying the relations more and more.
Having established the northern security, China could concentrate upon economic growth even more, which resulted in China's economic expansion more rapid than anyone's expectation.
Now, China will dominate 6G/5G race against the US, EU and Japan, which means that China will dominate AI applied services, self-driving cars, IoT and big data. It means that China will dominate financial businesses, manufacturing businesses and service businesses in the near future.
In 2020s, the US has finally began to notice that, if the US keeps allowing China's peaceful rise, it would be overwhelmed by China before long and would never be able to recover its dominance forever.
Thus, the US has come to a conclusion that, very effective as it was, the one-China policy has already outlived its usefulness and should be abandoned accordingly.
In 2022, the US started with provoking Russia into a war against Ukraine so that it can weaken the Sino-Russian alliance.
And, now the US initiated its war against China in the Pacific theater.
3. Pelosi's Taiwan visit is just the beginning
Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is just the beginning. The US wants to end the one-China policy and have Taiwan armed even with nuclear weapons to deter China. The ultimate US goal is to break up China.
The House Speaker Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is a very clear and drastic step. It can't be made by Pelosi herself alone. It must have been based upon a consensus of a broad and wide range of US big businesses and establishments.
Biden and Pelosi are just expendable puppets of US big businesses. The US government is the government of big businesses, by big businesses, for big businesses.
The US has already made a decision. US military forces, intelligence organizations, state department and all US govt organizations will be mobilized to destroy China.
Mark Esper, former US Defense Secretary under Trump administration, is spearheading the end of the US's one-China policy. He visited Taiwan and met with Tsai Ing-wen immediately before Pelosi's visit and made the following statement.
//Quote//
The United States’ “One China” policy has “outlived its usefulness,” former Defense Secretary Mark Esper said Tuesday in Taipei, hours before another U.S. warship passed through the Taiwan Strait.
Leading a delegation from the Washington, D.C.-based think tank Atlantic Council, Esper met with Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-Wen on Tuesday. He called China the “greatest challenge facing the democracies of the West” and said he personally believed it was time to “move away from strategic ambiguity.”
“If there's one issue that unites politicians in Washington, D.C., it is the view that China is a strategic challenge for our country, and that Taiwan is a good friend that we must support and defend,” Esper said.
//Unquote// [1]
Before taking the Trump administration job, Esper worked as vice president of governmental relations for Raytheon, an American multinational aerospace and defense conglomerate, from 2010 to 2017.
Japan, being a protectorate of the US, will follow the suit of the US and abandon the one-China policy before long.
As China has overwhelming military power against Taiwan, the US will try to have Taiwan armed with nuclear missiles. Actually, many US and Australian think-tanks and news papers are advocating to that effect. [2][3][4]
The US wants to have China and Taiwan wage a nuclear war and destroy each other while the US itself stays out of the conflict and remains safe.
The ultimate US goal is to break up China.
4. China's counter measures
Under these circumstances of the hostile antagonistic US, China needs to get prepared and transform herself into a more offensive and aggressive mode.
China needs to implement counter measures against the hostile antagonistic US.
a. Diplomatic Warfare
After Pelosi's Taiwan visit, China has achieved a great diplomatic triumph. Under China's leadership, 90% of the world’s population of 160＋ countries stand together to uphold the principle of non-interference in internal affairs.
These nations condemn Pelosi's and the US's interference in China's internal affairs too. If the US intervenes other nation's internal affairs next time, it will be punished by the world.
The support of more than 160 nations upholding the principle of non-interference in internal affairs should be institutionalized into a treaty such as "the Treaty on Non-interference in Internal Affairs" and a new organization in the UN that implements the treaty such as UN High Commissioner on non-interference in internal affairs who has the power to punish a nation and a nation's organizations that intervene other nations internal affairs. Here is the detail.
For example, CIA and MI6 and their front organizations' clandestine covert operations to engineer a coup and color revolutions to overthrow legitimate legal goverments will be punished.
No nation fears US sanctions anymore because China and Russia have proved that even the "unprecedented" maximum sanctions including SWIFT banning do not work.
At the Association of Southeast Asian Nations-related meeting in Phnom Penh of early August, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov walked out when Japanese Foreign Minister Yoshifumi Hayashi started his speech of criticizing China's military exercises around Taiwan after Pelosi's visit.
Walk out at international conferences is an effective and impressive way to isolate the US, Japan & EU when they interfere in other nations' internal affairs. 160＋nations' walk out would vividly indicate the world nations' opposition to the West's interference in other nations' internal affairs.
There are two key persons who are engineering and advancing the destabilization of Taiwan and the East Asia. They are current US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and former US Defense Secretary Mark Esper.
What is the commonality between Austin and Esper? Both of them have been working for Raytheon, the world's largest missile manufacture. Austin was a member of board of directors of Raytheon. Esper was a vice president of governmental relations for Raytheon.
Raytheon is one of the top 3 Defense contractors of the US along with Lockheed Martin and Boeing. Raytheon is a core component of the US military industrial complex.
Raytheon is planning to destabilize the East Asia and, thereby, sell as much missiles as possible to Indo-Pacific countries including Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Australia, India and so on.
Raytheon is a major driving force that is destabilizing the East Asia.
China already imposed sanctions against Lockheed Martin and Raytheon over arms sales to Taiwan in 2019, 2020 and February 2022. [5]
But, what Raytheon is doing is not just selling weapons to Taiwan, following the decision of the US government. Actually, it is rather Raytheon that is the driving force to destabilize the East Asia, using current and former defense secretaries, so that the US government has no choice but to allow arms sales to various countries.
Thus, China should dramatically intensify sanctions against Raytheon. Here is the detail.
b. Information warfare
China's CGTN and Xinhua can provide objective news contents to world nations instead of disinformation propaganda of the West's media.
c. Economic Warfare
China and Russia, together with BRICS plus can facilitate the introduction of common currency among BRICS plus which will replace US dollar as international currency and reserve currency. As a result, US dollar will devalue, which will significantly undermine US economic power.
China can stop or reduce the purchase of US treasury bonds, which will make the US government shut down.
China can confiscate assets of some American companies that are connected to or liable for US interference of China's internal affairs.
China can oust Tesla out of the Chinese market for its violations of certain Chinese domestic regulations. Losing the Chinese market, Tesla will go bankrupted. Together with Tesla, Space X's Starlink which has been used for Ukraine Army's military communication will disappear. By making bankrupted Elon Musk, the US richest man, China can shatter an American dream of being super-rich and facilitate the fall of capitalism.
d. Political Warfare
Making the most of the status as the top importer and exporter for world nations, China can influence nations' political situations through business-to-business connections. Chinese companies can advise to her business counterparts that US, Japan & EU's interference in China's internal affairs are jeopardizing business interests of China's business counterparts, which is quite legitimate and legal business advice and does not constitute any interference in other nations' internal affairs.
By making the most of her business connections, China can facilitate and incentivize the independence of Scotland, which will significantly reduce UK's political power.
By making the most of her business connections, China can facilitate and incentivize Japan's change of government. Japanese pro-China political parties such as the Komeito Party can form a pro-China peace-loving government, replacing the US's puppet government of LDP. Here is the detail.
e. Clandestine Warfare
As the largest industrial economic nation and the world's most populous nation, China can put into huge monetary resources and human resources into her clandestine operations.
Compared with the huge scale of China's clandestine operations, CIA's operations would look like a child's play.
f. Military Warfare
Immediately after Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, China started massive military exercises in the areas that literally surround Taiwan. China launched multiple missiles that flew over Taiwan and hit the area east to Taiwan.
Unlike in 1996, a US carrier strike group couldn't even come close to Taiwan during and after Pelosi's visit, fearing China's missiles. US aircraft carriers are easy prey for China's hypersonic missiles, against which the US has no defense. US aircraft carriers are floating coffins.
The exercises clearly indicate that China can impose a blockade over Taiwan and that a US carrier strike group can do nothing to intervene.
Russia and China have hypersonic missiles and hypersonic glide vehicles which the US and NATO don’t have. The US and NATO have no defense against hypersonic weapons.
Russia is deploying Sarmat ballistic missiles which have the Fractional Orbital Bombardment (FOBS) capability. Unlike ordinary ICBMs that fly at the altitude of as high as 1200km , Sarmat flies at as low as 150km. Thus, it evades SBIRS and radar scan. US missile defense can never intercept it.
Russia has S-500 and S-400 air defense systems that can shoot down F-35. S-550 is said to able to shoot down even space satellites. Russia has been exporting S-400s to China.
When China's warships and Russian warships are combined, the total number is as many as 500, compared to less than 300 of the US warships.
If the US, Japan & NATO do not stop their intervention and aggression against China and Russia even after China's massive military exercises and diplomatic, information, economic, political and clandestine warfare, then, China and Russia need to take military counter measures.
As for a strategic military counter measure that China can take, China and Russia can enter a formal military alliance geographically limited to Asia, which has lots of advantages for both China and Russia. Here is the detail.
As for more specific counter measures, the followings are conceivable.
One of the military counter measures is moving the frontlines forward as close as possible to the US & UK.
Currently, Sino-Russian alliance is confronting with the US, Japan & NATO on the frontlines very close to the Chinese mainland and the Russian mainland.
In the Asian theater, so-called the first island chain is the frontline between China and the US, Japan & NATO. It is very close to Beijing.
In the European theater, the eastern and western regions of Ukraine in Ukraine War are the frontline between Russia and the US & NATO. It is very close to Moscow.
Military conflicts in these areas could damage the Chinese mainland or the Russian mainland.
Thus, China and Russia should move the frontlines forward as close as possible to the US & UK. [6]
In the European theater, Russia can deploy its Sarmat ballistic missiles in Kaliningrad from which Sarmat can hit London in 2 minutes.
After subduing Ukraine, Russian Army can move forward to Poland thereby moving the frontline to the border with Germany. From Poland, Sarmat can hit London in less than 2 minutes.
In addition, Russia can allow China to use its naval bases in the Arctic Sea region so that Chinese strategic nuclear submarines can operate in the Arctic Sea. From the Arctic Sea, Russian and Chinese submarine-launched nuclear-capable hypersonic missiles can hit the US mainland within 5 minutes.
In the Western Hemisphere, Nicaragua and Cuba are under constant US bullying and threatening. So, responding to Nicaragua and Cuba's requests, China and Russia can deploy military forces to protect them.
Russia has already made an agreement with Nicaragua that Russian military forces can be deployed in Nicaragua for the security of Nicaragua. China can enter a similar agreement with Nicaragua.
Also, China and Russia can make similar agreements with Cuba, Venezuela and some South American nations.
Then, China and Russia can deploy their warships and warplanes equipped with nuclear-capable hypersonic missiles in Nicaragua, Cuba, Venezuela from which hypersonic missiles can hit the US mainland within 5 minutes.
Furthermore, China and Russia can sail their warships from Nicaragua, Cuba and Venezuela and conduct patrol over the East Coast and the West Coast of the US to check US military activities.
Iranian and other nations' warships can join Sino-Russian patrol.
Military is all about logistics. China and Russia's military forces in Nicaragua, Cuba and Venezuela can receive supplies from South American countries such as Brazil and Argentina which are much closer than the Chinese mainland and the Russian mainland. Brazil and Argentina are members of BRICS plus.
By protecting developing nations under US bullying and threatening, China and Russia best protect themselves.
Thus, China and Russia can move the frontlines forward as close as possible to the US mainland and check the US from the North, from the East, from the South and from the West.
This will make the American people realize that, if a military conflict happens regarding Taiwan or South China Sea, the US mainland will be a battle field as well.
After pushing forward the frontlines as close as possible to the US & NATO, Sino-Russian alliance could propose to the US & NATO on setting up buffer zones in Asia and Europe.
Japan, South Korea and North Korea can form the buffer zone in Asia. The former Warsaw Pact nations can form the buffer zone in Europe. Here is the detail.
Another military counter measure that Sino-Russian alliance can take is to support Argentina’s sovereignty claim over Falkland Islands, Mauritius’s sovereignty claim over Diego Garcia and Spain’s sovereignty claim over Gibraltar.
These islands and a place are UK's imperial possesions and must be returned to each claimant nation.
Here is the detail on possible military operation by Sino-Russian alliance to liberate Falkland Islands from UK imperialism.
Yet another military counter measure is to let North Korea to threaten the US, Japan & NATO by possible EMP (Electro Magnetic Pulse) attack against them. Here is the detail.
By implementing diplomatic, economic, political, military counter measures against the US, China, together with Russia, BRICS plus and world nations, will establish the peaceful, stable, equitable and prosperous multi-polar world.
Thank you.
References:
(1) "Navy transits Taiwan Strait as Esper in Taipei calls for end to ‘One China’ policy", July 20th 2022, Stars and Stripes
(2) Would a nuclear-armed Taiwan deter China?, December 24th 2020, The Australian Strategic Policy Institute
(3) Yes, Taiwan Needs Nuclear Weapons to Deter China, November 5th 2021, American Enterprise Institute
(4) "To avoid Ukraine’s fate, Taiwan needs nuclear missiles — now", March 2nd 2022, Boston Globe
(5) "Beijing sanctions Lockheed, Raytheon again over Taiwan arms sales", February 21st 2022, Reuters
(6) Ancient Roman General Scipio Africanus insisted to wage a war in Africa (an enemy's land) rather than in Italy (his homeland) in his famous speech in the Roman Senate, saying, "Let a Roman camp threaten the gates of Carthage rather than that we should see the enemy's lines from our walls." (Titus Livius (Livy), The History of Rome, Book XXVIII Chapter 44)
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.
Her visit indicates the fundamental change of the US policy toward China. The US regards that its one-China policy has already outlived its usefulness.
Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is just the beginning. The US wants to end the one-China policy and have Taiwan armed even with nuclear weapons to deter China. The ultimate US goal is to break up China.
China needs to get prepared and transformed herself to cope with the hostile antagonistic US. China, together with Russia, BRICS plus and the world nations, needs to wage diplomatic, economic, political, military warfare until she ultimately overwhelms the US.
1. Background
Lenin said in his classic book "The State and Revolution", "The first fact that has been established most accurately by the whole theory of development, by science as a whole--a fact that was ignored by the utopians, and is ignored by the present-day opportunists, who are afraid of the socialist revolution--is that, historically, there must undoubtedly be a special stage, or a special phase, of transition from capitalism to communism."
Then, he quoted Marx's statement in Critique of the Gotha Programme: "Between capitalist and communist society lies the period of the revolutionary transformation of the one into the other. Corresponding to this is also a political transition period in which the state can be nothing but the revolutionary dictatorship of the proletariat."
Revolution is a war. Between capitalist society and communist society, a war is inevitable. Not because communists seek for violence, but because capitalists try to protect capitalism and destroy communism by using every weapon and military force at their disposal.
In Lenin's mind as well as Marx's mind, revolution was regarded as a phenomenon that happens within the border of a state. However, their revolution theory can and must be applied to relations between nations. In our contemporary world, the theory should be applied between China and the U.S.
China does not want a war. But, a war against the U.S. is inevitable. Why? Because, in order to destroy socialism, the US rich people will mobilize every weapon and military force at their disposal including thermonuclear devices. Actually, their use of nuclear weapons is quite likely. With less warships, less soldiers, and less combat tanks, nuclear weapons are the only US method left to destroy socialism.
Rich people's dream is to be super-rich while the rest of the population go down to the poorest conditions. The last thing rich people want to see is that a society is filled with happy middle class with decent income and assets.
Actually, that is exactly the society China is trying to make. It is called "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)". The Chinese government is trying to redistribute income so that inequality of the people will be resolved and "common prosperity"(共同富裕) is established.
China will establish "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕) for her entire population by making the most of 5G, AI, IoT, industrial robots, electronic money and renewable energies.
China has already lifted as many as 800 million people out of absolute poverty in last decades, proving that the combination of planned economy and market economy is the best to develop economy.
Asian and African countries will follow the lead and model of China to establish "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕), being connected with China through 5G, AI, IoT, industrial robots, electronic money and renewable energies.
US and British rich people can never never accept "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕). What they fear is that even American ordinary people and British ordinary people notice that "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕) are real and possible, seeing the model and achievement of China.
Before that happens, American and British rich people will take actions to destroy China's socialism. Therefore, China needs to increase her armaments rapidly and strengthen her alliance with Russia. The only way to prevent a war is that the Sino-Russian alliance maintains overwhelming combined military power against the U.S.
China should maintain the revolutionary dictatorship, i.e., the communist party's dictatorship until the U.S. surrenders and Asian and African nations establish "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)" and "common prosperity"(共同富裕).
The mankind should advance from the current capitalist stage where the minority of rich people suppresses the majority of poor people. The mankind should advance to the higher communist stage where the entire population enjoy "common prosperity"(共同富裕) in a "moderately prosperous society (小康社会)".
Just like scientific laws such as the law of gravity hold regardless whether an observer believes them or not, social scientific laws hold regardless whether American rich people believe them or not.
2. The US's one-China policy was only an improvised temporary policy
It has turned out that the US's one-China policy was just an improvised temporary policy devised under the peculiar international situation that the US faced in 1970s. The one-China policy was not a permanent policy.
Its purpose was to avoid fighting against both the Soviet Union and China at the same time. The US's one-China policy was based upon sheer calculation and comparison of the powers of the West and the East. Its main architect was Dr. Henry Kissinger. It worked brilliantly.
Looking back the era of the Cold War, one of the decisive factors that enabled the West to win the Cold War was that they succeeded in severing China from the Soviet Union.
In 1969, the Soviet Union and China had a border dispute. The seven-month military conflict between the Soviet Union and China resulted in the Sino-Soviet split.
After that, US President Richard Nixon visited China in 1972. The US approached China and succeeded in establishing friendly relations with China. In the Joint Communiqué of the US and China, known as the Shanghai Communiqué (1972), it was clearly stipulated, "there is one China and that Taiwan is a part of China".
On the other hand, the Soviet Union started a war in Afghanistan in 1979. The US supplied weapons to Afghan guerillas to make the Soviet Union into a military quagmire, which led to the beginning of decline and collapse of the Soviet Union.
The Soviet Union was broken up in 1991.
[The Soviet Red Army retreating from Afghanistan]
The US's one-China policy was very effective and useful. It suited very well for the national interest of the US. It enabled the US to be the only superpower in the world.
After the Cold War, despite the dissolution of the Soviet Union, NATO was not disorganized but kept growing and expanding eastward. Having become the only super power in the world, the US overestimated its power and believed that it could win both China and Russia at the same time.
In 2014, there happened a coup engineered by the West in Ukraine. The pro-Russian government fell and a pro-West government was established. In response, Russia annexed Crimea in order to secure Sevastopol, the home port of Russian Black Sea Fleet.
The West imposed economic sanctions against Russia. Russia was isolated. At that critical juncture, it was China that came to rescue Russia. China entered a 30-year deal worth $400bn to deliver gas to China. A friend in need is a friend indeed. Ever since, China and Russia has been solidifying the relations more and more.
Having established the northern security, China could concentrate upon economic growth even more, which resulted in China's economic expansion more rapid than anyone's expectation.
Now, China will dominate 6G/5G race against the US, EU and Japan, which means that China will dominate AI applied services, self-driving cars, IoT and big data. It means that China will dominate financial businesses, manufacturing businesses and service businesses in the near future.
In 2020s, the US has finally began to notice that, if the US keeps allowing China's peaceful rise, it would be overwhelmed by China before long and would never be able to recover its dominance forever.
Thus, the US has come to a conclusion that, very effective as it was, the one-China policy has already outlived its usefulness and should be abandoned accordingly.
In 2022, the US started with provoking Russia into a war against Ukraine so that it can weaken the Sino-Russian alliance.
And, now the US initiated its war against China in the Pacific theater.
3. Pelosi's Taiwan visit is just the beginning
Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is just the beginning. The US wants to end the one-China policy and have Taiwan armed even with nuclear weapons to deter China. The ultimate US goal is to break up China.
The House Speaker Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is a very clear and drastic step. It can't be made by Pelosi herself alone. It must have been based upon a consensus of a broad and wide range of US big businesses and establishments.
Biden and Pelosi are just expendable puppets of US big businesses. The US government is the government of big businesses, by big businesses, for big businesses.
The US has already made a decision. US military forces, intelligence organizations, state department and all US govt organizations will be mobilized to destroy China.
Mark Esper, former US Defense Secretary under Trump administration, is spearheading the end of the US's one-China policy. He visited Taiwan and met with Tsai Ing-wen immediately before Pelosi's visit and made the following statement.
//Quote//
The United States’ “One China” policy has “outlived its usefulness,” former Defense Secretary Mark Esper said Tuesday in Taipei, hours before another U.S. warship passed through the Taiwan Strait.
Leading a delegation from the Washington, D.C.-based think tank Atlantic Council, Esper met with Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-Wen on Tuesday. He called China the “greatest challenge facing the democracies of the West” and said he personally believed it was time to “move away from strategic ambiguity.”
“If there's one issue that unites politicians in Washington, D.C., it is the view that China is a strategic challenge for our country, and that Taiwan is a good friend that we must support and defend,” Esper said.
//Unquote// [1]
Before taking the Trump administration job, Esper worked as vice president of governmental relations for Raytheon, an American multinational aerospace and defense conglomerate, from 2010 to 2017.
Japan, being a protectorate of the US, will follow the suit of the US and abandon the one-China policy before long.
As China has overwhelming military power against Taiwan, the US will try to have Taiwan armed with nuclear missiles. Actually, many US and Australian think-tanks and news papers are advocating to that effect. [2][3][4]
The US wants to have China and Taiwan wage a nuclear war and destroy each other while the US itself stays out of the conflict and remains safe.
The ultimate US goal is to break up China.
4. China's counter measures
Under these circumstances of the hostile antagonistic US, China needs to get prepared and transform herself into a more offensive and aggressive mode.
China needs to implement counter measures against the hostile antagonistic US.
a. Diplomatic Warfare
After Pelosi's Taiwan visit, China has achieved a great diplomatic triumph. Under China's leadership, 90% of the world’s population of 160＋ countries stand together to uphold the principle of non-interference in internal affairs.
These nations condemn Pelosi's and the US's interference in China's internal affairs too. If the US intervenes other nation's internal affairs next time, it will be punished by the world.
The support of more than 160 nations upholding the principle of non-interference in internal affairs should be institutionalized into a treaty such as "the Treaty on Non-interference in Internal Affairs" and a new organization in the UN that implements the treaty such as UN High Commissioner on non-interference in internal affairs who has the power to punish a nation and a nation's organizations that intervene other nations internal affairs. Here is the detail.
For example, CIA and MI6 and their front organizations' clandestine covert operations to engineer a coup and color revolutions to overthrow legitimate legal goverments will be punished.
No nation fears US sanctions anymore because China and Russia have proved that even the "unprecedented" maximum sanctions including SWIFT banning do not work.
At the Association of Southeast Asian Nations-related meeting in Phnom Penh of early August, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov walked out when Japanese Foreign Minister Yoshifumi Hayashi started his speech of criticizing China's military exercises around Taiwan after Pelosi's visit.
Walk out at international conferences is an effective and impressive way to isolate the US, Japan & EU when they interfere in other nations' internal affairs. 160＋nations' walk out would vividly indicate the world nations' opposition to the West's interference in other nations' internal affairs.
There are two key persons who are engineering and advancing the destabilization of Taiwan and the East Asia. They are current US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and former US Defense Secretary Mark Esper.
What is the commonality between Austin and Esper? Both of them have been working for Raytheon, the world's largest missile manufacture. Austin was a member of board of directors of Raytheon. Esper was a vice president of governmental relations for Raytheon.
Raytheon is one of the top 3 Defense contractors of the US along with Lockheed Martin and Boeing. Raytheon is a core component of the US military industrial complex.
Raytheon is planning to destabilize the East Asia and, thereby, sell as much missiles as possible to Indo-Pacific countries including Japan, South Korea, Philippines, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Australia, India and so on.
Raytheon is a major driving force that is destabilizing the East Asia.
China already imposed sanctions against Lockheed Martin and Raytheon over arms sales to Taiwan in 2019, 2020 and February 2022. [5]
But, what Raytheon is doing is not just selling weapons to Taiwan, following the decision of the US government. Actually, it is rather Raytheon that is the driving force to destabilize the East Asia, using current and former defense secretaries, so that the US government has no choice but to allow arms sales to various countries.
Thus, China should dramatically intensify sanctions against Raytheon. Here is the detail.
b. Information warfare
China's CGTN and Xinhua can provide objective news contents to world nations instead of disinformation propaganda of the West's media.
c. Economic Warfare
China and Russia, together with BRICS plus can facilitate the introduction of common currency among BRICS plus which will replace US dollar as international currency and reserve currency. As a result, US dollar will devalue, which will significantly undermine US economic power.
China can stop or reduce the purchase of US treasury bonds, which will make the US government shut down.
China can confiscate assets of some American companies that are connected to or liable for US interference of China's internal affairs.
China can oust Tesla out of the Chinese market for its violations of certain Chinese domestic regulations. Losing the Chinese market, Tesla will go bankrupted. Together with Tesla, Space X's Starlink which has been used for Ukraine Army's military communication will disappear. By making bankrupted Elon Musk, the US richest man, China can shatter an American dream of being super-rich and facilitate the fall of capitalism.
d. Political Warfare
Making the most of the status as the top importer and exporter for world nations, China can influence nations' political situations through business-to-business connections. Chinese companies can advise to her business counterparts that US, Japan & EU's interference in China's internal affairs are jeopardizing business interests of China's business counterparts, which is quite legitimate and legal business advice and does not constitute any interference in other nations' internal affairs.
By making the most of her business connections, China can facilitate and incentivize the independence of Scotland, which will significantly reduce UK's political power.
By making the most of her business connections, China can facilitate and incentivize Japan's change of government. Japanese pro-China political parties such as the Komeito Party can form a pro-China peace-loving government, replacing the US's puppet government of LDP. Here is the detail.
e. Clandestine Warfare
As the largest industrial economic nation and the world's most populous nation, China can put into huge monetary resources and human resources into her clandestine operations.
Compared with the huge scale of China's clandestine operations, CIA's operations would look like a child's play.
f. Military Warfare
Immediately after Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, China started massive military exercises in the areas that literally surround Taiwan. China launched multiple missiles that flew over Taiwan and hit the area east to Taiwan.
Unlike in 1996, a US carrier strike group couldn't even come close to Taiwan during and after Pelosi's visit, fearing China's missiles. US aircraft carriers are easy prey for China's hypersonic missiles, against which the US has no defense. US aircraft carriers are floating coffins.
The exercises clearly indicate that China can impose a blockade over Taiwan and that a US carrier strike group can do nothing to intervene.
Russia and China have hypersonic missiles and hypersonic glide vehicles which the US and NATO don’t have. The US and NATO have no defense against hypersonic weapons.
Russia is deploying Sarmat ballistic missiles which have the Fractional Orbital Bombardment (FOBS) capability. Unlike ordinary ICBMs that fly at the altitude of as high as 1200km , Sarmat flies at as low as 150km. Thus, it evades SBIRS and radar scan. US missile defense can never intercept it.
Russia has S-500 and S-400 air defense systems that can shoot down F-35. S-550 is said to able to shoot down even space satellites. Russia has been exporting S-400s to China.
When China's warships and Russian warships are combined, the total number is as many as 500, compared to less than 300 of the US warships.
If the US, Japan & NATO do not stop their intervention and aggression against China and Russia even after China's massive military exercises and diplomatic, information, economic, political and clandestine warfare, then, China and Russia need to take military counter measures.
As for a strategic military counter measure that China can take, China and Russia can enter a formal military alliance geographically limited to Asia, which has lots of advantages for both China and Russia. Here is the detail.
As for more specific counter measures, the followings are conceivable.
One of the military counter measures is moving the frontlines forward as close as possible to the US & UK.
Currently, Sino-Russian alliance is confronting with the US, Japan & NATO on the frontlines very close to the Chinese mainland and the Russian mainland.
In the Asian theater, so-called the first island chain is the frontline between China and the US, Japan & NATO. It is very close to Beijing.
In the European theater, the eastern and western regions of Ukraine in Ukraine War are the frontline between Russia and the US & NATO. It is very close to Moscow.
Military conflicts in these areas could damage the Chinese mainland or the Russian mainland.
Thus, China and Russia should move the frontlines forward as close as possible to the US & UK. [6]
In the European theater, Russia can deploy its Sarmat ballistic missiles in Kaliningrad from which Sarmat can hit London in 2 minutes.
After subduing Ukraine, Russian Army can move forward to Poland thereby moving the frontline to the border with Germany. From Poland, Sarmat can hit London in less than 2 minutes.
In addition, Russia can allow China to use its naval bases in the Arctic Sea region so that Chinese strategic nuclear submarines can operate in the Arctic Sea. From the Arctic Sea, Russian and Chinese submarine-launched nuclear-capable hypersonic missiles can hit the US mainland within 5 minutes.
In the Western Hemisphere, Nicaragua and Cuba are under constant US bullying and threatening. So, responding to Nicaragua and Cuba's requests, China and Russia can deploy military forces to protect them.
Russia has already made an agreement with Nicaragua that Russian military forces can be deployed in Nicaragua for the security of Nicaragua. China can enter a similar agreement with Nicaragua.
Also, China and Russia can make similar agreements with Cuba, Venezuela and some South American nations.
Then, China and Russia can deploy their warships and warplanes equipped with nuclear-capable hypersonic missiles in Nicaragua, Cuba, Venezuela from which hypersonic missiles can hit the US mainland within 5 minutes.
Furthermore, China and Russia can sail their warships from Nicaragua, Cuba and Venezuela and conduct patrol over the East Coast and the West Coast of the US to check US military activities.
Iranian and other nations' warships can join Sino-Russian patrol.
Military is all about logistics. China and Russia's military forces in Nicaragua, Cuba and Venezuela can receive supplies from South American countries such as Brazil and Argentina which are much closer than the Chinese mainland and the Russian mainland. Brazil and Argentina are members of BRICS plus.
By protecting developing nations under US bullying and threatening, China and Russia best protect themselves.
Thus, China and Russia can move the frontlines forward as close as possible to the US mainland and check the US from the North, from the East, from the South and from the West.
This will make the American people realize that, if a military conflict happens regarding Taiwan or South China Sea, the US mainland will be a battle field as well.
After pushing forward the frontlines as close as possible to the US & NATO, Sino-Russian alliance could propose to the US & NATO on setting up buffer zones in Asia and Europe.
Japan, South Korea and North Korea can form the buffer zone in Asia. The former Warsaw Pact nations can form the buffer zone in Europe. Here is the detail.
Another military counter measure that Sino-Russian alliance can take is to support Argentina’s sovereignty claim over Falkland Islands, Mauritius’s sovereignty claim over Diego Garcia and Spain’s sovereignty claim over Gibraltar.
These islands and a place are UK's imperial possesions and must be returned to each claimant nation.
Here is the detail on possible military operation by Sino-Russian alliance to liberate Falkland Islands from UK imperialism.
Yet another military counter measure is to let North Korea to threaten the US, Japan & NATO by possible EMP (Electro Magnetic Pulse) attack against them. Here is the detail.
By implementing diplomatic, economic, political, military counter measures against the US, China, together with Russia, BRICS plus and world nations, will establish the peaceful, stable, equitable and prosperous multi-polar world.
Thank you.
References:
(1) "Navy transits Taiwan Strait as Esper in Taipei calls for end to ‘One China’ policy", July 20th 2022, Stars and Stripes
(2) Would a nuclear-armed Taiwan deter China?, December 24th 2020, The Australian Strategic Policy Institute
(3) Yes, Taiwan Needs Nuclear Weapons to Deter China, November 5th 2021, American Enterprise Institute
(4) "To avoid Ukraine’s fate, Taiwan needs nuclear missiles — now", March 2nd 2022, Boston Globe
(5) "Beijing sanctions Lockheed, Raytheon again over Taiwan arms sales", February 21st 2022, Reuters
(6) Ancient Roman General Scipio Africanus insisted to wage a war in Africa (an enemy's land) rather than in Italy (his homeland) in his famous speech in the Roman Senate, saying, "Let a Roman camp threaten the gates of Carthage rather than that we should see the enemy's lines from our walls." (Titus Livius (Livy), The History of Rome, Book XXVIII Chapter 44)
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.