李朝末期にどんどん似てきた
Even with the birth of "Pro-US President", South Korea is "Leaving US 미국 을 떠나" (obey China 순종 하다 중국)
It became more and more similar to the end of the Joseon Dynasty
https://www.dailyshincho.jp/article/2022/03100624/?all=1
鈴置高史（스즈 오키 타카 부미,Takabu-mi Suzu-oki） Reading the Peninsula March 10, 2022
(Takabumi Suzuoki's blog article)
「親米大統領」誕生でも韓国は「離米従中」2
Former Prosecutor Yoon Seok-yeol of conservative "People Power Party" at the 1st party of the opposition was elected in the Korean presidential election on March 9th.
The focus is on returning to the pro-US route.
South Korean observer Takabumi Suzuoki said, "It's not easy," and "Korea has become more and more like the turmoil of the end of the Joseon Dynasty."
Quad is a touchstone.
Quad is a framework of four countries, "Japan, the United States, Australia and India" with the siege against China in mind.
The Moon Jae-in administration, which is reluctant to China, did not join Quad even if invited by the United States.
Considering that the United States had created a security framework for Asia based on "Japan, the United States and South Korea" until a while ago, there is a sense of alienation.
Naturally, the United States expects South Korea to announce its participation in Quad as it returns to the conservative government.
However, during the election period, Mr. Yoon Seok-you, who advocates pro-US, made a reluctant remark about Quad.
He said, "We will join working groups such as vaccines under Quad and seek formal membership in the future."
He never said to "participate."
If he made a clear promise, he would surely be threatened by China, and he would have calculated that the votes would escape.
With that level of preparedness, it is unlikely that he will move to Quad even if he becomes president.
Another point to measure the "return to the United States" is the nuclear armament sharing policy.
It is a mechanism that involves allies in the use of US war zone nuclear weapons.
NATO has been introduced by Germany and other countries, and in Japan, former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said on a Fuji TV program that "it should be discussed" and attracted attention.
Former Prime Minister Abe discusses "nuclear sharing" with the United States
Watched 85,907 times
2022/02/28 FNN Prime Online
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0SaRXvea-oU
On the 28th, Prime Minister Kishida said that "nuclear sharing," in which US nuclear weapons are deployed and jointly operated within Japan's territory, is "not recognized from the standpoint of Japan, which is to adhere to the Three Non-Nuclear Principles."
Prime Minister Kishida "From Japan's standpoint of adhering to the Three Non-Nuclear Principles, (nuclear sharing) is not allowed."
Regarding nuclear sharing, in light of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, former Prime Minister Abe pointed out in a Fuji TV program on the 27th that "the debate should not be taboo."
Former Prime Minister Abe "Japan, of course, is a member of the NPT (Nuclear Proliferation Prevention Treaty) and has three non-nuclear principles, but it is taboo to discuss the reality of how the world is protected. should not be done"
In response to former Prime Minister Abe's remarks, Prime Minister Kishida, who was asked by the Diet to recognize nuclear sharing, said, "If it envisions a framework for sharing the deterrence of the United States for the defense of its own country, This is not acceptable. "
The introduction of "nuclear weapon sharing" does not mean that allies can freely use nuclear weapons.
Also known as the "double key method," not only allies but also the United States have the right to refuse to use it.
However, as North Korea's development of nuclear weapons progresses steadily, South Korean conservatives who want to be involved in nuclear weapons in some way are calling for the United States to share nuclear weapons.
There may be an aim to realize "own nuclear armament" using "shared nuclear weapons" as a stepping stone.
Indecisive attitude (及び腰 엉거주춤) with nuclear weapons
On September 22, 2021, Yoon Seok-you pledged to "strongly urge the United States to relocate and share tactical nuclear weapons in the event of an emergency" when he gave his name to the presidential election.
It sounds positive, but if you think about it, it was a remark that was uncomfortable.
It's the same as he declared that if he stipulated "in case of an emergency", he would not move to nuclear sharing unless tensions increased.
Then, it is difficult to expect a threatening effect on North Korea's nuclear development.
On February 7, 2022, his remarks receded further.
JoongAng Ilbo's「Unification, if you trust each other, it will be completed within 10 minutes [Independent interview] 尹悦錫『単一化、互いに信頼すれば10分以内に終われる［単独インタビュー］ (February 9) , Korean version), translates Yoon Seok-you's remarks on "nuclear sharing" from the "question-and-answer" part.
[・ It is very dangerous to insist that we also use nuclear weapons or share nuclear weapons while leaving North Korea's nuclear weapons as they are.
Whether or not North Korea may actually be denuclearized, it is important to impose strong economic sanctions to show that "if you have a nuclear weapon, the economy will eventually collapse." ]
"Nuclear sharing is dangerous," he changed his mind 180 degrees.
It is highly possible that this waist alone is due to Chinese pressure.
The feasibility of nuclear sharing in Asia was seen as weak.
Recently, however, opinions have begun to be spoken in the United States, saying, "By sharing nuclear weapons with Japan, South Korea, and Australia, we will increase confidence in the US nuclear umbrella and strengthen the alliance."
China will also be nervous.
New President Yoon Seok-you 尹錫悦 윤석열
In contrast to former Prime Minister Abe.
チャールズ・ティモシー・“チャック”・ヘーゲル（Charles Timothy "Chuck" Hagel)
On February 10, 2021, former Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel and others released a report 「Preventing Nuclear Proliferation and Reassuring America’s Allies」 for the Joe Biden administration.
This report recommended that "the United States should form a nuclear planning group and let Australia, Japan, and South Korea participate in the policy debate on the US nuclear force."
He don't use words like "dual key control mechanism", but it says "a platform for a particular nuclear policy should be provided", so it is clearrefers to "involvement in triggering".
[・The United States should create an Asian Nuclear Planning Group, bringing Australia, Japan, and South Korea into the US nuclear planning processes and providing a platform for these allies to discuss specific policies associated with US nuclear forces.
米国は、アジアの核計画グループを創設し、オーストラリア、日本、韓国を米国の核計画プロセスに参加させ、これらの同盟国が米国の核力に関連する特定の政策について話し合うためのプラットフォームを提供する必要があります。]
South Korean conservatives who have advocated nuclear sharing were also welcome.
However, the next president-elect of South Korea, which is essential, has taken a negative stance.
South Korea's conservatives are tough in North Korea, and it will be in line with the United States.
However, China, like the left, is often terribly low-profile.
On the contrary, there are also those who oppose the "US trying to make it hostile to China."
The current mood of South Korea is anti-American.
ナム・ジョンホ(남정호 Nam Jeong-ho)
When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, there were complaints about the US-ROK alliance in South Korea.
JoongAng Ilbo columnist Nam Jeong-ho said in 「 A Different Perspective on Russian Sanctionsロシア制裁への異なる視点 」"" (March 2, Japanese version), appealed "If you join the sanctions against Russia according to the United States, it will hurt your national interest." .
The reason is that exports to Russia will be hit and the joint development project with Russia in Primorskaya Oblast will be blank.
In addition, Nam Jeong-ho claimed that South Korea suffered a lot of losses in its alliance with the United States.
[・ South Korea has repeatedly made mistakes that it cannot receive compensation even if it causes great damage due to a collision between powerful countries.
The deployment of THAAD (High Altitude Area Defense) is a typical example, and the direct beneficiaries are the USFK, but the damage was done by Korean companies.
Still, it was not heard that the United States demanded that China relax the Korean decree.
The same is true when Korean companies were severely damaged by the semiconductor export restrictions to China that began in 2018. ]
Mr. Nam Jeong-ho (남정호) argued that the United States should be requested for compensation for the "damage" caused by participation in sanctions against Russia, and even made the alliance dissolve.
[・ The Korea-US alliance also exists for national interests and is not an end in itself.
An alliance that always sacrifices only one will have a crack. ]
From this article, we cannot see the consciousness that "security is guaranteed by the US-Korea alliance".
What erupted was dissatisfaction with the "annoying United States, which would break Korea-China relations without hesitation."
Although the JoongAng Ilbo is not as clear as the Chosun Ilbo, it is classified as a conservative newspaper.
In the newspaper, even though it was a columnist's opinion, "I will review the alliance that is just compliant with the United States." It was
[As the national power increases, Koreans are becoming more dissatisfied with "the United States, which always blows the big brother's wind in our country, which has become a full-fledged person."
Even if the president returns to the conservatives, South Korea's "anti-American" mood remains unchanged. ]
"Maintaining the status quo" is a betrayal.
On the other hand, expectations for a conservative government for the first time in five years are rising in the United States.
On February 24, the Congressional Research Service (CRS) released a revised version of its report, 「 U.S.-South Korea Relation 」.
The US parliament wrote that it will pay attention to (1) the policy toward North Korea, (2) the policy toward China, and (3) the human rights policy related to the policy toward North Korea.
In short, the new government demanded that it be in line with the United States in China and the North.
Naturally, the United States strongly hopes that the new government will join Quad.
If Yoon Seok-you's administration does not participate, in the eyes of the United States, "Korea has maintained the status quo", but "Korea is the degree has deepened [離米(Leaving US 미국을 떠나)従中(obey China 순종하다 중국)] . "
China supports Russia, which has invaded Ukraine proudly, behind the scenes.
In order to suppress China, it is necessary to show the unity of allies more than ever.
At that time, "Korea that maintains the status quo" will shake the alliance. The view of the market has changed significantly.
Japan-South Korea relations will not improve until South Korea is determined to make China an enemy.
This is because South Korea, whether conservative or left, has taken the tactic of appealing to the United States as an excuse for not being able to participate in the Chinese siege, saying, "Japan's apology is insufficient due to historical issues."
For South Korea, the only way to avoid being glared at by China is to worsen relations with Japan.
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安倍晋三 Shinzo Abe
岸田文雄 Fumio Kishida
The visit of the representative of the suzerain is an honor of 『属国(vassal state,종속국)』.
「自称徴用工判決,Self-proclaimed forced victim workers judicial decision, 자칭강제징용피해자사 법적 결정」
