The support gap between the ruling party and the Democratic Party
and the opposition party and
the Liberal-Korean party fluctuates significantly
in the past week
Uplift in Seoul
The gap between the ruling party, the Democratic party,
and the opposition party,
the free Korean party has expanded rapidly from 1.6 points to 13.1 points
over the past week, with the party support rate announced
by the Korean public opinion firm Real Meter on the 16th.
In the same survey that took place a week ago, the real meter
"The difference between the two parties' support ratings has fallen
to the point of error"
On the 14th this month, two days after the DPJ representative Lee Hee-chan
pointed out that the results of the survey were "funny",
the results of the survey were announced as the ruling party hoped .
Freedom Korean Party
"In a single word of the governing party representative ,
it has become a world where even the results of polls have changed ."
It is repulsed with etc.
According to the party support rate survey conducted
by Real Meter on March 13 and 15 in response to a request
from TBS broadcasters,
both Democrats have a 43.3 percent approval rating and a 30.2 percent
for the Free Korea Party.
Democrats rose 36.4 percent to 6.9 points, and the Korea Rep.
Dropped 34.8 percent to 4.6 points, compared
with similar surveys conducted 7 to 8 days a week ago.
Real meter is
“The representative of the free Korean party Na Kyung-won
made a speech like a hate speech to the supporters
of President Moon Jae-in the other day, and 5 18 (Gwangju case) commemorative ceremony attendance problem,
it seems that the law issue of the representative of Huang at the flower festival
(Shakuh's birthday) had an influence at a stretch. "
And so on.
But experts who are familiar with polls
" There is no precedent for party support rates to move this much ,
even if there were no major national problems."
As you are questioning.
According to the data registered with the Central Election Survey Committee,
according to the survey by Real Meter and the survey conducted a week ago,
nothing has changed in the selection of specimens, the survey method,
and the contents of questions .
The response rate was also 6.5%, almost unchanged from 6.6% last week.
There was nothing to influence the outcome other
than the political position of the respondent.
Professor Kim Hyun Joong of Myeongchi University
"Even if the Free South Korean Party raises a problem
and the approval rating falls, we can not understand
that the Democrat's approval rating will rise by 7 points at once."
" There is no factor in raising the approval rating of the ruling party
even if you look at the strike problem of the current route bus driver
and the employment statistics, which are now in the worst situation, etc."
Pointed out.
In the case of Seoul, in particular, Democrats' approval ratings were 33.0%
and 42.5% for Free Democratic Party and 9.5 for Free Korea,
but both Democrats had 41.7% and 30.4% this week.
On the contrary, it was a great reversal over 11.3 points.
In addition, the gap between the two parties narrowed sharply,
with the Democratic Party's approval rating rising 11.4 percent
in a week at 34.5 percent,
and the Free Korea Party at 39.9 percent, 9.6 percent lower.
Kim Jong-jae, a spokesman for the free Korean party,
"For polls that resulted in their own disadvantage
Neither of these are normal, such as representatives
of the ruling party who put pressure on "funny",
and completely different survey results in one word.
Pointed out.
Professor Kim Suk-ho of Seoul University
"In the automatic voice response system (ARS)
survey method mainly used by Real Meter,
it is difficult to extract representative samples
and response is likely to be loose, so the reliability is low"
Showed a perspective.
In fact, in the past, Real Meter has issued poll results
on the various political issues in line with the ruling party's intention.
The Real Meter is concerned that the four parties except the Free Korean Party
have agreed to make the electoral system reform and so on the first track
(prompt disposal project designation)
"More than half of the people are in favor"
And announced the results of the survey, which is a typical case.
The question used in this survey described "election system reform"
as "reform bill".
It is pointed out that the intentional giving
of a positive image brought out a virtual favor.
Furthermore, Mr. Lee Min-sung, who was criticized for being a candidate
when he was a candidate, announced the results of a survey in
which “non-qualified” is twice “qualified,” but three days later Change
"Agree and disagree with each other"
Announced.
The ruling party used the results of the latter survey as the basis
for the appointment of Lee Minson.
Recently, not only real meters but also credibility has been a problem
for general opinion polls .
Some also raised suspicions that they had used the telephone numbers
of previous respondents again when conducting polls.
If, among the former respondents,
they call again those who support particular parties,
the results will definitely be distorted.
The large number of opinion polls requested by government departments
(ministries) and the ruling party also affect the credibility
and objectivity of the survey. In SNS (membership exchange site)
" Once I answered that I support the opposition party,
I have not received a poll call. "
"When I told my age to be in my 70s ,
the survey was interrupted at that point "
There are many voices of dissatisfaction.
The people in another poll company are
"There is no way to find out if there was an intention to give someone
an advantage, other than scrutinizing the original materials of the survey
at the Central Election Survey Committee etc.
Point out.
"There is a possibility that the government will change over time,
so there is no reason for the research company
to intentionally support the ruling party."
There is also a view.
Survey by Real Meter and TBS extracts the numbers
by wired and wireless RDD method
(telephone number random sampling method)
to 1502 voters nationwide, paralleling the telephone interview (10%)
and the automatic response (90%) Made in the form.
Public opinion polls in line with the ruling party's
intention should be made clear on this occasion
http://www.chosunonline.com/site/data/html_dir/20019/05/17/2019051780061.html
A public opinion poll in Korea is a big topic .
The investigation company on the 16th announced that the support rate
of both the Democratic Party and the ruling Democratic Party
was 13.1 points higher than that of the conservative opposition party
and the liberal Korea party.
However,
in the same survey conducted a week ago, the difference was 1.6 points.
No major political problems arose in the past week.
However,
Democrat Lee Hee-chan also pointed out that the survey result
was 1.6 points last week
"Both Democrats and Free Koreans have a 10-15 point difference
in their ratings, but only one poll poll has announced strange results."
It made me feel uncomfortable .
Only a few days later, in this survey,
both Democrats came out as if the support rate gap
they considered “normal” was a custom-made one .
The problem investigation company cited various reasons,
but many experts
"There was no case where political party support rate changed significantly."
It agrees that "it is unusual to make such a big change in a short period
of time".
The polls recently released by the research company
are all in line with the ruling party's intention .
For example, according to a survey by this company that the four ruling
and non-free parties except for the free Korean party agreed
to the election system reform
"More than half of the people are in favor"
It seems that the result was with, but the question used for the survey is
"The Yono 4 parties have agreed to vote on reform measures
such as the electoral system reform as the first track
(designated for rapid processing).
How do you think?
It was said.
This is nothing but a question that in fact leads to a favor.
Also, three days after announcing the results of a survey in
which an answer that made a constitutional judge candidate
who became a problem in the large amount of equity investment
"not eligible" turned out to be a survey that doubled "qualification"
changed the question in the same survey.
We published another survey result saying
"Appointment for appointment and opposition is almost same number".
Disputes spread among the people about the opinion polls related to politics,
and voices such as " unreliable " are now in a row.
Even in the by-elections held on the 4th of this month,
in the opinion poll conducted in Changwon City, Gyeongsangnam-do,
the candidates for the ruling party recorded at least twice
as much support rate as the candidates for the opposition party. ,
The actual result was the opposite .
Recent opinion polls mainly use mobile phones and have
the fundamental problem that it is difficult
to construct accurate population samples.
Furthermore, if you come to see the power of the administration,
it will be no different
from criminal acts such as public opinion manipulation .
You should make this opportunity clear
why the results of the same survey changed significantly
in a short period of time,
and if there was a reason what happened to the inner curtain.
BTS members famous for atomic bomb T-shirts are crazy inside the bus Videos leaked! https://twitter.com/i/status/1062852872176451584
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http://www.ekn.kr/news/article.html?no=398456
https://news.v.daum.net/v/20181106030037589
http://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20181114000854
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Do not move, government intervention,
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power off of server,
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DiffusionHopeGermanNGOSupportLaosAdoptVillage
DiffusionHopehttps://laos.oxfam.org/
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