1. The US and Israel underestimate Iran
The US and Israel underestimate Iran. Iran is different from Iraq. Stupid Trump and his amateur national security advisers including Pete Hegseth believe they can win a war against Iran easily. Trump even demands unconditional surrender toward Iran. That’s totally a mistake.
Israel/the US killed Iran’s military commanders and nuclear scientists. But, Iran will never back off because Moslem people believe that Moslem warriors who die in a holly war go to the heaven.
Iran’s history is the history of fight against the US, UK and Israel.
UK’s Anglo-Persian Oil Company (Anglo-Iranian Oil Company) had been controlling Iran’s oil resources since 1914 until Iranian PM Mohammed Mossadegh nationalized Anglo-Iranian Oil Company in 1951.
The US’s CIA carried out coup and put Reza Pahlavi back into power in 1953. The US and UK controlled Iran’s oil resources.
Iranian Revolution of 1979 overthrew the Pahlavi dynasty, ousting Reza Pahlavi and established the Islamic Republic of Iran. The US has been imposing the severest economic sanctions against Iran.
Iran will never surrender but fight through against the US, UK and Israel.
2. Iran’s attack against Israel is legitimate and legal self-defense under article 51 of the UN Charter
Israel launched unprovoked attack against Iran. Therefore, Iran can attack Israel as legitimate and legal self-defense under the article 51 of the UN Charter.
Iran can attack the US as legitimate and legal self-defense under the article 51 of the UN Charter as well because the US has already joined Israel’s attack against Iran by intercepting Iran’s missiles toward Israel, providing military intelligence, providing electronic jamming against Iran and, above all, supplying weapons and ammunition to Israel.
So, as self-defense, Iran can attack the US’s air force base in Diego Garcia island in the Indian Ocean, from which the US is planning to launch B-2 air bombardment against Iran’s underground nuclear facilities, using so-called bunker busters.
[Iran’s Shahab-3 ballistic missile that has a range of 2000 km]
[The ranges of Iran’s ballistic missiles]
[The US’s air force base in Diego Garcia island where the US’s B-2 bombers equipped with bunker buster bombs are deployed is well within the range of Iran’s Shahab-3]
3. Iran’s IRGC and Army land forces can march toward Israel
Iran’s land forces, which have more than a million soldiers when IRGC and army combined, can march through Iraq into Israel. Iraq is on the side of Iran. Therefore, Iran’s land forces will be able to have secure supply lines all the way to Israel. Iraq will support Iran’s logistics.
Also, Syria’s southern region is not firmly under control of Damascus. So, Iran’s land forces can march through Syria without resistance.
[IRGC (The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps)]
[IRGC tank battalions]
The US can never send in its land forces because the US army has still not recovered from the fatigue of Iraq-Afghanistan war.
So, Iran’s land forces will march and enter Israel smoothly. Iran’s land forces will overwhelm Israel army, which has only half as many soldiers as Iran.
A war can never be won by air bombardment. A war can be won by army conquering territories.
4. Israel might use nuclear weapons while Iran can use dirty bombs
Israel might use nuclear weapons to stop Iran’s land forces.
Then, Iran can punish war criminal aggressor Israel by attacking Tel Aviv and Haifa with hypersonic missiles of dirty bomb (highly radioactive materials) warheads so that Tel Aviv and Haifa will be inhabitable. It is a legitimate legal self-defense of article 51 of the UN Charter.
5. Who will have air superiority?
The US and Israel would try to attack Iran’s land forces from the air.
The US designed a war plan with an assumption that China would not militarily intervene.
What the US forgets is that, even if China’s PLA would not be sent, China’s “volunteer” forces can be sent.
China might possibly send a couple of “volunteer” J-10/J-20 fighter squadrons to Iran to repel Israel’s aggression just like legendary Flying Tigers volunteer squadrons fought against the invasion of Imperial Japan during Sino-Japanese War in 1941-1942.
[P-40 Warhawk fighters of Flying Tigers]
[China’s J-10 fighter jet]
[China’s PL-15 air-to-air missile that has an operational range of 300 km]
China’s “volunteer” J-10/J-20 fighter squadrons might operate from airfields in Turkmenistan, Russian air force base in Armenia or air force bases in Egypt. [1]
China’s PL-15 has an operational range of as long as 300 km. It will outrange the US’s AIM-9 Sidewinder and AIM-120 AMRAAM, which have operational ranges of only 35 km and 75 - 160 km respectively.
In fact, China-made J-10 fighter jets of Pakistan Air Force equipped with PL-15 air-to-air missiles shot down France-made Rafale 4.5-generation fighter jets of Indian Air Force.
Rafale, a 4.5 generation aircraft, generally surpasses the F-16, a 4th generation jet. Therefore, J-10s equipped with PL-15 AAMs can shoot down Israel’s F-16s instantly. PL-15 AAMs can possibly shoot down F-35s too.
[Israel’s F-16 fighter jets provided by the US]
[AIM-9 Sidewinder that has an operational range of only 35 km]
[AIM-120 AMRAAM that has an operational range of only 75-160 km]
Israel is boasting it has complete air superiority over Iran. However, the situation will be turned over overnight if China sends to Iran “volunteer” squadrons of J-10/J-20 fighters with PL-15 air-to-air missiles to supplement obsolete Iranian Air Force.
In addition, Israel’s stock of precision ordnance is quite low. Israel can’t keep bombing Iran for a long time.
China’s “volunteer” squadrons of J-10/J-20 can shoot down the US’s aerial tankers one after another leisurely. They are not stealthy therefore quite easy targets, which will extremely limit operational range of the US fighters and bombers. It in turn will substantially reduce the US’s intervention capability if Taiwan crisis should happen in the near future.
6. Iran’s electromagnetic pulse attack against Israel and the US
Furthermore, Iran can improvise atomic bombs with highly enriched uranium or import atomic bombs from DPRK. Then, Iran can carry out electromagnetic pulse attack against the US and Israel, thereby destroying all of their PCs, power grids and other critical infrastructures, which will cause mass starvation in Israel and the US. [2]
[HNEMP (High Altitude Nuclear Electromagnetic Pulse)]
Thank you.
Reference:
(1) ”China, Egypt wrap up first joint air force training, practice air superiority combat, suppressive air defense”, May 5th 2025, The Global Times
(2) "North Korean EMP Attack Would Cause Mass U.S. Starvation, Says Congressional Report", October 23rd 2017, Forbes
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.
The US and Israel underestimate Iran. Iran is different from Iraq. Stupid Trump and his amateur national security advisers including Pete Hegseth believe they can win a war against Iran easily. Trump even demands unconditional surrender toward Iran. That’s totally a mistake.
Israel/the US killed Iran’s military commanders and nuclear scientists. But, Iran will never back off because Moslem people believe that Moslem warriors who die in a holly war go to the heaven.
Iran’s history is the history of fight against the US, UK and Israel.
UK’s Anglo-Persian Oil Company (Anglo-Iranian Oil Company) had been controlling Iran’s oil resources since 1914 until Iranian PM Mohammed Mossadegh nationalized Anglo-Iranian Oil Company in 1951.
The US’s CIA carried out coup and put Reza Pahlavi back into power in 1953. The US and UK controlled Iran’s oil resources.
Iranian Revolution of 1979 overthrew the Pahlavi dynasty, ousting Reza Pahlavi and established the Islamic Republic of Iran. The US has been imposing the severest economic sanctions against Iran.
Iran will never surrender but fight through against the US, UK and Israel.
2. Iran’s attack against Israel is legitimate and legal self-defense under article 51 of the UN Charter
Israel launched unprovoked attack against Iran. Therefore, Iran can attack Israel as legitimate and legal self-defense under the article 51 of the UN Charter.
Iran can attack the US as legitimate and legal self-defense under the article 51 of the UN Charter as well because the US has already joined Israel’s attack against Iran by intercepting Iran’s missiles toward Israel, providing military intelligence, providing electronic jamming against Iran and, above all, supplying weapons and ammunition to Israel.
So, as self-defense, Iran can attack the US’s air force base in Diego Garcia island in the Indian Ocean, from which the US is planning to launch B-2 air bombardment against Iran’s underground nuclear facilities, using so-called bunker busters.
[Iran’s Shahab-3 ballistic missile that has a range of 2000 km]
[The ranges of Iran’s ballistic missiles]
[The US’s air force base in Diego Garcia island where the US’s B-2 bombers equipped with bunker buster bombs are deployed is well within the range of Iran’s Shahab-3]
3. Iran’s IRGC and Army land forces can march toward Israel
Iran’s land forces, which have more than a million soldiers when IRGC and army combined, can march through Iraq into Israel. Iraq is on the side of Iran. Therefore, Iran’s land forces will be able to have secure supply lines all the way to Israel. Iraq will support Iran’s logistics.
Also, Syria’s southern region is not firmly under control of Damascus. So, Iran’s land forces can march through Syria without resistance.
[IRGC (The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps)]
[IRGC tank battalions]
The US can never send in its land forces because the US army has still not recovered from the fatigue of Iraq-Afghanistan war.
So, Iran’s land forces will march and enter Israel smoothly. Iran’s land forces will overwhelm Israel army, which has only half as many soldiers as Iran.
A war can never be won by air bombardment. A war can be won by army conquering territories.
4. Israel might use nuclear weapons while Iran can use dirty bombs
Israel might use nuclear weapons to stop Iran’s land forces.
Then, Iran can punish war criminal aggressor Israel by attacking Tel Aviv and Haifa with hypersonic missiles of dirty bomb (highly radioactive materials) warheads so that Tel Aviv and Haifa will be inhabitable. It is a legitimate legal self-defense of article 51 of the UN Charter.
5. Who will have air superiority?
The US and Israel would try to attack Iran’s land forces from the air.
The US designed a war plan with an assumption that China would not militarily intervene.
What the US forgets is that, even if China’s PLA would not be sent, China’s “volunteer” forces can be sent.
China might possibly send a couple of “volunteer” J-10/J-20 fighter squadrons to Iran to repel Israel’s aggression just like legendary Flying Tigers volunteer squadrons fought against the invasion of Imperial Japan during Sino-Japanese War in 1941-1942.
[P-40 Warhawk fighters of Flying Tigers]
[China’s J-10 fighter jet]
[China’s PL-15 air-to-air missile that has an operational range of 300 km]
China’s “volunteer” J-10/J-20 fighter squadrons might operate from airfields in Turkmenistan, Russian air force base in Armenia or air force bases in Egypt. [1]
China’s PL-15 has an operational range of as long as 300 km. It will outrange the US’s AIM-9 Sidewinder and AIM-120 AMRAAM, which have operational ranges of only 35 km and 75 - 160 km respectively.
In fact, China-made J-10 fighter jets of Pakistan Air Force equipped with PL-15 air-to-air missiles shot down France-made Rafale 4.5-generation fighter jets of Indian Air Force.
Rafale, a 4.5 generation aircraft, generally surpasses the F-16, a 4th generation jet. Therefore, J-10s equipped with PL-15 AAMs can shoot down Israel’s F-16s instantly. PL-15 AAMs can possibly shoot down F-35s too.
[Israel’s F-16 fighter jets provided by the US]
[AIM-9 Sidewinder that has an operational range of only 35 km]
[AIM-120 AMRAAM that has an operational range of only 75-160 km]
Israel is boasting it has complete air superiority over Iran. However, the situation will be turned over overnight if China sends to Iran “volunteer” squadrons of J-10/J-20 fighters with PL-15 air-to-air missiles to supplement obsolete Iranian Air Force.
In addition, Israel’s stock of precision ordnance is quite low. Israel can’t keep bombing Iran for a long time.
China’s “volunteer” squadrons of J-10/J-20 can shoot down the US’s aerial tankers one after another leisurely. They are not stealthy therefore quite easy targets, which will extremely limit operational range of the US fighters and bombers. It in turn will substantially reduce the US’s intervention capability if Taiwan crisis should happen in the near future.
6. Iran’s electromagnetic pulse attack against Israel and the US
Furthermore, Iran can improvise atomic bombs with highly enriched uranium or import atomic bombs from DPRK. Then, Iran can carry out electromagnetic pulse attack against the US and Israel, thereby destroying all of their PCs, power grids and other critical infrastructures, which will cause mass starvation in Israel and the US. [2]
[HNEMP (High Altitude Nuclear Electromagnetic Pulse)]
Thank you.
Reference:
(1) ”China, Egypt wrap up first joint air force training, practice air superiority combat, suppressive air defense”, May 5th 2025, The Global Times
(2) "North Korean EMP Attack Would Cause Mass U.S. Starvation, Says Congressional Report", October 23rd 2017, Forbes
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.