North Korea can become an observer state of SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) just like Afghanistan, Belarus and Mongolia.
By becoming an observer state of SCO, or even just being in the process of becoming an observer state of SCO, North Korea can feel it has better security and protection, which will incentivize DPRK to consider denuclearization.
Currently, North Korea is isolated and under constant threat of the US through US regular military exercises with South Korea. Under such a circumstance, North Korea has no choice but to stick to its nuclear weapons and the development of more advanced ICBMs.
Just like North Korea, Iran has been under US military threat and US heavy economic sanctions. However, Iran was accepted to SCO as an observer state back in 2005 and applied for a formal membership of SCO last year.
North Korea has been in good relations with SCO member states and observer states such as China, Russia, Pakistan, India, Iran and Belarus. By becoming an observer state of such a large prestigious organization as SCO, North Korea would feel solidarity and reassurance, which will incentivize DPRK to consider denuclearization.
At the same time, Russia can start supporting DPRK economically, providing oil and gas and other necessities. Russia has nothing to fear as Russia is already under the West's maximum economic sanctions. Russia's support to DPRK could trigger resumption of the 6 party talk.
Also, Russia can supply, lend or deploy its S-400 or S-500 air defense systems to North Korea, which will make it impossible for the US aircraft including F-35s to come close to North Korea. Once again, Russia has nothing to fear anymore.
The US can not overwhelm North Korea militarily. Even if the US military conducts the severest attack against North Korea including nuclear attack, North Korea's nuclear ICBMs hidden deep in tunnels in mountainous areas will be able to survive and be used to retaliate against the US. [1][2]
According to a US Congressional report, North Korea can launch an EMP (Electromagnetic Pulse) attack against the US by detonating a nuclear bomb at high altitude over the US. An EMP attack would destroy the US electric grid. Then, US food production, storage and distribution systems would break down. In one year, up to 90% of the population could perish from starvation, disease and societal collapse. [3]
[HNEMP (High Altitude Nuclear Electromagnetic Pulse)]
In November, North Korea said it conducted an important ballistic missile test fire to verify the reliability of Special Functional Combat Department operations, paralyzing the enemy’s operational command system. South Korea experts suggest that North Korea must have tested with an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) warhead. [4]
Also, there is no way for the US military to defend itself against North Korea's missile attack with chemical and biological warheads. The US military forces in South Korea will be neutralized and US reinforcement forces from the US mainland would never be able to even disembark at disastrous South Korean harbors filled with panic-stricken refugees. [5]
The US should admit its military incapacity and make a peace treaty with North Korea. The only reason why the US wants to maintain confrontation with North Korea is that the tension allows the US to justify its military budget domestically and feeding money to the US military industrial complex. In the latest military exercise, the US mobilized even such obsolete B-1B bomber aircraft which is of no use in a real combat.
After the peace treaty, denuclearization of North Korea by applying a scheme of gradual step-by-step denuclearization in exchange for the relaxation of sanctions can be started.
US military forces stationed in South Korea will withdraw.
Denuclearization of North Korea will create the momentum for the world denuclearization.
China can rally world nations to support and call for the peace treaty between North Korea and the US.
Once the peace treaty is concluded, the process of reunification of North and South Korea can start immediately. The unified Korea will be directly connected to China's Belt and Road Initiative and prosper economically.
The reunification of North and South Korea will have an effect to create atmosphere and momentum for the reunification of China and Taiwan as well.
Thank you.
Reference:
(1) "Ground Invasion Only Way to Destroy North Korea’s Nuclear Arsenal, Pentagon Says", NBC News, November 5th 2017
(2) "The U.S. could lose in a war against North Korea, a former Pentagon commander warns", Newsweek, November 9th 2017
(3) "North Korean EMP Attack Would Cause Mass U.S. Starvation, Says Congressional Report", October 23rd 2017, Forbes
(4) "N. Korea claims firing of cruise missile near the sea of Ulsan", November 8th 2022, Dong-A Ilbo
(5) "The U.S. could lose in a war against North Korea, a former Pentagon commander warns", Newsweek, November 9th 2017
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.
By becoming an observer state of SCO, or even just being in the process of becoming an observer state of SCO, North Korea can feel it has better security and protection, which will incentivize DPRK to consider denuclearization.
Currently, North Korea is isolated and under constant threat of the US through US regular military exercises with South Korea. Under such a circumstance, North Korea has no choice but to stick to its nuclear weapons and the development of more advanced ICBMs.
Just like North Korea, Iran has been under US military threat and US heavy economic sanctions. However, Iran was accepted to SCO as an observer state back in 2005 and applied for a formal membership of SCO last year.
North Korea has been in good relations with SCO member states and observer states such as China, Russia, Pakistan, India, Iran and Belarus. By becoming an observer state of such a large prestigious organization as SCO, North Korea would feel solidarity and reassurance, which will incentivize DPRK to consider denuclearization.
At the same time, Russia can start supporting DPRK economically, providing oil and gas and other necessities. Russia has nothing to fear as Russia is already under the West's maximum economic sanctions. Russia's support to DPRK could trigger resumption of the 6 party talk.
Also, Russia can supply, lend or deploy its S-400 or S-500 air defense systems to North Korea, which will make it impossible for the US aircraft including F-35s to come close to North Korea. Once again, Russia has nothing to fear anymore.
The US can not overwhelm North Korea militarily. Even if the US military conducts the severest attack against North Korea including nuclear attack, North Korea's nuclear ICBMs hidden deep in tunnels in mountainous areas will be able to survive and be used to retaliate against the US. [1][2]
According to a US Congressional report, North Korea can launch an EMP (Electromagnetic Pulse) attack against the US by detonating a nuclear bomb at high altitude over the US. An EMP attack would destroy the US electric grid. Then, US food production, storage and distribution systems would break down. In one year, up to 90% of the population could perish from starvation, disease and societal collapse. [3]
[HNEMP (High Altitude Nuclear Electromagnetic Pulse)]
In November, North Korea said it conducted an important ballistic missile test fire to verify the reliability of Special Functional Combat Department operations, paralyzing the enemy’s operational command system. South Korea experts suggest that North Korea must have tested with an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) warhead. [4]
Also, there is no way for the US military to defend itself against North Korea's missile attack with chemical and biological warheads. The US military forces in South Korea will be neutralized and US reinforcement forces from the US mainland would never be able to even disembark at disastrous South Korean harbors filled with panic-stricken refugees. [5]
The US should admit its military incapacity and make a peace treaty with North Korea. The only reason why the US wants to maintain confrontation with North Korea is that the tension allows the US to justify its military budget domestically and feeding money to the US military industrial complex. In the latest military exercise, the US mobilized even such obsolete B-1B bomber aircraft which is of no use in a real combat.
After the peace treaty, denuclearization of North Korea by applying a scheme of gradual step-by-step denuclearization in exchange for the relaxation of sanctions can be started.
US military forces stationed in South Korea will withdraw.
Denuclearization of North Korea will create the momentum for the world denuclearization.
China can rally world nations to support and call for the peace treaty between North Korea and the US.
Once the peace treaty is concluded, the process of reunification of North and South Korea can start immediately. The unified Korea will be directly connected to China's Belt and Road Initiative and prosper economically.
The reunification of North and South Korea will have an effect to create atmosphere and momentum for the reunification of China and Taiwan as well.
Thank you.
Reference:
(1) "Ground Invasion Only Way to Destroy North Korea’s Nuclear Arsenal, Pentagon Says", NBC News, November 5th 2017
(2) "The U.S. could lose in a war against North Korea, a former Pentagon commander warns", Newsweek, November 9th 2017
(3) "North Korean EMP Attack Would Cause Mass U.S. Starvation, Says Congressional Report", October 23rd 2017, Forbes
(4) "N. Korea claims firing of cruise missile near the sea of Ulsan", November 8th 2022, Dong-A Ilbo
(5) "The U.S. could lose in a war against North Korea, a former Pentagon commander warns", Newsweek, November 9th 2017
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.