今日は、いくつも指標がありますが、
その中でも、注目度の高いのが ECB・政策金利です！
皆さん、ＳＮＷから送られてくる推奨トリガーメールは読んでますか？
英語だからって、読んでない方々・・・
頑張って読んで下さい！！
ヒントが書いてありますよ～☆参考にしてくださいね～
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Today we may have a quite good trading event I didn't previously put on the schedule, and since the consensus is split nearly 50/50 it's a sure trade.
EU Interest Rates [4 Star]
http://www.fasteconomicnews.com/news.aspx?n=550_forex_news_EU_Interest_Rates_4star
Release Time: 07:45 New York time (EST)
Primary currency pair: EUR/AUD
Forecast: 0.50
Previous: 0.75
LT1 (Lower Trigger 1): 0.00 [SELL]
UT1 (Upper Trigger 1): +0.25 [BUY]
Based on 58 estimates, median estimate is 0.50% and the average estimate is 0.62%. The highest estimate is 0.75% (28 votes), and the lowest estimate is 0.50% (thirty votes). One standard deviation is +/- 0.12%.
Since it's nearly 50/50 split in consensus, we are going to have a tradable signal no matter what the outcome is.
0.00 deviation means they did cut the rates from 0.75% to 0.50% as expected by a slight majority of surveyed economists. +0.25 deviation would mean, in this case, that they didn't cut the rates and it stayed at 0.75% level.
If they cut the rates (0.00 deviation or less) to 0.50% or less, EUR/AUD should go down by 30 pips, possibly way more. Expect a bit slow price action so you may close half of your position quite fast and the other half you may keep opened for a few minutes.
If they don't cut the rates (+0.25 deviation or higher) so the rates will remain at 0.75% level or go up even higher, EUR/AUD should go up 30 pips, possibly more.
Frankly speaking it's really hard to say how big the spike is going to be. It might be 20 pips within first 3 minutes or might be over 100 pips. I don't know that but I do know it's very likely we will see a good move in our direction so it's probably a good idea to give a try.
Do not trade EUR/USD as this pair didn't work well in the past. Most other EUR pairs also didn't work well in the past. Feel free to explore our calendar page for historic charts.
E-12 interest rate decision may be released a bit late, up to 90 seconds late from the scheduled time. I analyzed our logs when it was released in the past, and I compared timestamps to our charts. Based on what I saw it seems even though they like to release it a bit late, we still should get the signal before the price action. Of course past performance may not necessarily mean it will be the case again but it's very likely.
As always with the interest rates, be careful and do not overtrade it.
Good luck, and I hope you will make some pips.
Thanks,
--Crazy Cat