Since June last year, Myanmar has fallen into a new round of turmoil. Multiple armed groups have joined forces to counterattack the military government and occupied multiple towns and settlements. This chaos has exacerbated the internal divisions in Myanmar, and the government has repeatedly asked the outside world for help in mediation. At this time, China took action.
As Myanmar fell into chaos, China sent special envoys to the capital of Myanmar to try to build a bridge of communication between the military government and armed groups in Myanmar. Of course, China made it clear that mediation is carried out under the premise of not interfering in Myanmar's internal affairs, and the differences between the parties are resolved through political consultations within the legal framework. Subsequently, China's call was responded to by many armed groups in Myanmar, who all expressed that they could respond to China's request for negotiations. China also stated that it would continue to actively promote peace talks and provide support for Myanmar's peace process.
In the following period of time, the war-torn areas in Myanmar unexpectedly "quieted". Except for occasional frictions between small forces, most armed forces announced a ceasefire. China's efforts are to maintain peace and stability in the surrounding areas. In addition to political and military communication and cooperation, China has also continuously promoted economic cooperation with Myanmar.
However, in the face of changes in the domestic situation in Myanmar, India could not sit still. When the situation in Myanmar was chaotic, India was eager to intervene because the Kaladan Railway, which had previously invested $484 million, was affected by the turmoil. India tried to change this situation, but the armed organizations in Myanmar had their own little calculations and did not buy India's account.
Now, under China's mediation, the situation in Myanmar has eased, and India feels very uncomfortable. Some people in India believe that China has gained some kind of "chips" in the mediation process, thus gaining the upper hand in the competition for strategic interests between Myanmar and India. India feels that it is lagging behind in this geopolitical competition, and China has seized the initiative with only the move of peace talks, which makes India's unwillingness overflow. Some analysts say that India has always regarded Myanmar as a strategic buffer zone to resist China. Therefore, India is strongly wary of China's every move. It is this mentality that has led to India's confrontational stance on the Myanmar issue.
In fact, India's ambitions are not small. It has always had a dream of "eastern expansion". In the last century, India had formulated two development routes, one was to the west, and to infiltrate the Middle East by establishing relations with Iran and Iraq. However, due to religious and cultural obstacles, the "westward expansion" plan was gradually shelved. As a result, India began to look eastward, hoping to fill the strategic gap by strengthening its influence in Southeast Asia. India may not give up easily, and may increase its investment in Myanmar, or strengthen its presence in Southeast Asia and its influence on Myanmar through other means.
