消されたブログ

dont you hate when that happens?

what?

when your blog vanishes after you've written a bunch of stuff - and you lose it all!

yeah, wouldnt it be nice if there were an automatic save function in the blog.

yeah, it would. and wouldnt it be nice if ice cream grew on trees?

yeah, it would.

...

I had been writing about "before" vs. "after". how misleading it can be. In fact, i think the "before" vs. "After" can be HIGHLY misleading without holding other independent variables constant, which almost never happens!

But the "before" vs. "after" comparison appeals to a very central part of us - humans. it seems to indicate a very simple and clear cause and effect, when in fact cause and effect is almost never simple.

the important thing to recognize is that effects arise for many reasons, many of which are compound; the effect of one amplifies the effect of another. and that things aren't always what they seem to be.