PM 9:26 2008/1/20
メモ。
CNBCを読んでいたら米国株のrecessionについての記事があった。
えーっ、底は2009年の1月！？
stocks typically fall from their high nine and a half months before the onset of a recession, bottoming out six months into the recession for an average decline of 26 percent from top to bottom.
Using that model, this time around, stocks have been falling since their Oct. 9 record high, a recession will start in July and the market will touch bottom in January 2009.
抜粋元：http://www.cnbc.com/id/22730427
通貨も連動して動くとよくないんじゃない（トルコリラはもっと振れるでしょうし）。
まああまり悲観し過ぎても良くないけど。