The world should recognize the new normal. The unipolar world has ended. It's the multipolar world now. Accordingly, National security frameworks should change as well.
Sino-Russian Alliance is as powerful militarily as the U.S. and NATO. Russia and China has even advanced over the U.S. in such areas as hypersonic missiles and electronic warfare.
Unlike fabricated gatherings such as NATO & QUAD, Sino-Russian Alliance is the growing real economic and military power based upon common complimentary interests, which will expand its sphere of influence both in Europe & Asia.
Actually, the U.S. and NATO can't intervene Ukraine crisis, fearing a nuclear war.
Thus, the new normal should be reflected to national security frameworks. Former Warsaw Pact nations should declare that they become neutral states and form a buffer zone between NATO and Russia, which will create a sufficient space to maintain peace, preventing military conflicts and a nuclear war.
If the U.S. and NATO do not accept the new normal, Russia will attack and seize Ukraine, demonstrating its superior military capability.
Thank you.
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.
Russia has mobilized more than 100 thousand troops along the border with Ukraine. In addition, 30 thousand Russian troops have already been deployed to Belarus.
Russia demands that NATO should not be extended further eastward and that NATO forces should be withdrawn from former Warsaw Pact countries.
Diplomatic solution should be pursued until the last moment. However, the difference between Russian security demands and the U.S. and NATO positions are so wide.
The U.S., UK and other NATO countries have deployed their troops to Eastern European NATO countries such as Romania and Estonia.
However, what they provide to Ukraine so far is only military equipment and materials. NATO Secretary General made it clear that NATO forces would not be sent to Ukraine.
Under these circumstances, it is expected that, if Russia attacks Ukraine, Russia would be able to take Kiev within three days and seize entire Ukraine in weeks.
The U.S., UK and EU countries indicate that they would impose the strictest economic sanctions against Russia if Russia attacks Ukraine.
So, economic sanctions are the only reactions that the U.S. and UK would take against Russian annexation of Ukraine?
It is likely and even probable that, after the U.S., UK and NATO lures in Russia into Ukraine, CIA and MI6 would try to make Ukraine become what Afghanistan was to Soviet Union.
After Russia is drawn in and takes Ukraine, it is likely that neo-Nazis resistance would be organized by US-UK special operations forces and private military companies to fight against Russia.
Ukraine neo-Nazis would hold the Carpathian mountains in Western Ukraine and wage prolonged guerilla warfare against Russian occupational forces. They would also carry out sporadic terrorism in urban areas of Ukraine.
Neo-Nazis would use the Carpathian mountains in Romania as their main bases where CIA and MI6 would train and equip neo-Nazis. Military equipment and materials would be supplied and piled up there.
Neo-Nazis prolonged guerilla warfare would put heavy and costly burden to Russia just like Afghanistan War was heavy burden to Soviet Union. If neo-Nazis resistance continues, criticism against the Putin administration would increase domestically, which would lead to destabilized political situation in Russia.
Would Russia repeat their mistake in Afghanistan again in Ukraine?
Actually, there is a stark difference between the Afghan situation of 1980s and the current Ukrainian situation. — It is China.
When Putin visited China to attend the opening ceremony of the Beijing Winter Olympic Games, he met with Xi Jinping. The China-Russia joint statement insisted that NATO should not be extended further eastward.
Russia is the most important strategic partner for China. If Russian national security is threatened, China's national security would be also damaged. If Russian political situation is destabilized, China's political situation would be precarious as well. Thus, China supports Russia.
In order to cope with neo-Nazis resistance in Ukraine, China would impose most sophisticated AI applied 5G surveillance systems in Ukraine. China would apply to Ukraine her successful experiences of suppressing terrorism in Xinjiang. Neo-Nazis terrorism would be suppressed.
Also, China would deploy swarm of surveillance and attack drones over the Carpathian mountains area in Ukraine to neutralize neo-Nazis. Neo-Nazis would be annihilated.
In addition, China would support Russia economically. In early February, Russia and China agreed a 30-year contract to supply gas to China and will settle the new gas sales in euros. China's import of gas and oil from Russia would offset the potential Russian loss of income from Nord Stream 2 of Germany.
Above all, after the annexation of Ukraine by Russia, China will extend Belt and Road Initiative to Ukraine and boost its economy, which will make Ukraine become far more prosperous than EU countries. Ukraine is famous for wheat production and rich mineral resources. Ukrainian engineers are excellent in such areas as aerospace engineering. When Ukrainian economic and human resources are combined with China's technologies and vast consumer market, Ukrainian economy will grow dramatically.
Russia’s role on security and China’s role on the economy and prosperity will be extended to Eastern Europe including Ukraine, Bulgaria, Hungary, Serbia and Croatia.
So far, Eastern Europe countries have been treated as if they were the second class countries in EU. However, as China's Belt and Road Initiative and Whole-Process People's Democracy are extended to Eastern Europe, the Ukraine-Bulgaria-Hungary-Serbia-Croatia block would be far more prosperous and democratic than Western Europe.
Thank you.
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.
