The war between the US/Israel and Iran is producing a number of new realities and new prospects day by day.

Accordingly, we need to update our perspectives regularly and constantly.


1. China’s basic principles to resolve conflicts through dialogue

On the war between the U.S./Israel and Iran, China’s FM Wang Yi clarified the basic principles that China adheres to.

/quote/

Resorting to force will not solve the problem, and an unjust war should not be allowed to continue

The urgent priorities are, firstly, to curb the spread of the conflict and prevent other countries from becoming further involved. Secondly, for the international community to speak with one voice in calling for an immediate ceasefire and to intensify efforts to advance peace talks. And, thirdly, for the United Nations and the UN Security Council to play their due role in facilitating the early restoration of peace and stability in the region. [1][2]

/unquote/


[China’s FM Wang Yi]


Chinese MFA’s swift decision and action to send a special envoy to the Middle East is great and highly admirable. It is hoped that crumbling relations between Iran and gulf states such as Saudi Arabia will be reconciled again by China’s mediation. [3]


[‪Zhai Jun, special envoy of the Chinese government on the Middle East issue]‬


‪[Zhai Jun, special envoy of the Chinese government on the Middle East issue,‬ and Saudi Arabia FM Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud]


China’s basic principles for peace that military power solves nothing and that dialogue solves conflicts are deeply rooted in her 5000 year history.

Once, Mao Zedong said that China had realized that competing for hegemony & bullying others were something only children would do, back in the Spring and Autumn and Warring States periods of 2000 years ago.











During the Spring and Autumn (c. 770–476 BCE) and Warring States (c. 475–221 BCE) periods, many states conflicted each other seeking for hegemony in China, and the rule of jungle was prevalent. Wars, conspiracies, betrayals and slaughters were normal.



[China in the Spring and Autumn period (c. 770–476 BCE)]


[Bronze tiger eating an animal, gold inlay, Spring and Autumn period]


[An iron sword and two bronze swords dated to the Warring States period]


But, the Spring and Autumn (c. 770–476 BCE) and Warring States (c. 475–221 BCE) periods ended when Qin dynasty (221 to 206 BCE) and Han dynasty (202 BC – 9 AD, 25–220 AD) accomplished successful unification of China.






Since Qin dynasty (221 to 206 BCE) and Han dynasty (202 BC – 9 AD, 25–220 AD), China’s Han people have been basically united and governed themselves in peace through various dynasties, except for several periods of conquerors dynasties by northern races such as Sui dynasty (581 to 618 AD), Tang dynasty (618 to 907 AD), Yuan dynasty (1271 to 1368 AD) and Qing dynasty (1644 to 1912 AD).




China is a matured country. She understands that military power solves nothing and that dialogue solves conflicts.



2. US proxy Japan’s Samurai warrior mindset

On the other hand, unlike China, Japan is still living in the mindset of its Warring States period of 15-16th centuries where Samurai warriors fought each other, invading and grabbing other states’ territories by force.




Just like the US’s proxy Ukraine had a war with Russia and the US’s proxy Israel attacked Iran, the US’s proxy Japan is going to attack China.


[In November 2025, PM Takaichi declared that Japan would put JSDF into Taiwan contingency and get Japan nuke-armed]

As PM Takaichi declared, Japan will put JSDF into Taiwan contingency.

Also, Japan will get nuke-armed and make a surprise nuclear attack against China.

China should take actions before Japan obtains nukes. [4]



3. The US’s seeking for hegemony leads to MAD (Mutual Assured Destruction)

The US tends to liken itself to Ancient Rome. Like Ancient Rome, the US wants to conquer and rule rather than cooperate and co-live.




The US is using its proxy Ukraine to attack Russia and using its proxy Israel to attack Iran. The US is planning to use its proxy Japan to attack China.


[President Donald Trump and PM Benjamin Netanyahu]


However, the US has faced the reality that it can not defeat Russia, Iran or China with conventional weapons.

Consequently, the US will start mulling using nuclear weapons to attack, including preemptive nuclear attacks.


But, even if the US would make preemptive nuclear attacks, it would not be able to eliminate Russia and China’s nuke-armed nuclear submarines or prevent Iran from retaliating by procuring nukes from such a country as DPRK.

The result would be MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction).




China’s basic principles that military power solves nothing and that dialogue solves conflicts must be vindicated.



4. Peace in the Middle East through dialogue


Then, how the war in the Middle East could be resolved through dialogue?

Israel and the US will use up its interceptor missiles. The US can’t withdraw with Israel left alone. It’s a quagmire.


[Israel having used up its interceptor missiles, Iran’s missiles are pounding cities of Israel one after another]


[Tel Aviv is under Iran’s massive missile attack]


The longer the war will continue, the weaker the position of Israel and the US will become.

Therefore, time is on the side of Iran. Iran will be able to dictate terms and conditions over the US and Israel.

Reportedly, the US presented 15 points plan to Iran for negotiation of peace, including decommission of Iran’s nuclear reactors and banning offensive ballistic missiles. Iran will throw the 15 points into a trash can. [5]

Iran has been insisting that it must be made assured that no attack will be made against Iran ever again. Until such assurance is achieved, Iran will keep attacking. So, Iran’s demand must be fulfilled and realized to resolve the war.


The US is so stupid that it wants to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities while it keeps Israel’s nukes intact.

Iran has been repeatedly pledging that it has no intention to have nuclear weapons and that its nuclear facilities are only for the purpose of peaceful electricity generation.

The nuclear weapon free Middle East can be realized not by attacking Iran’s nuclear facilities but by establishing the Middle East nuclear weapon free zone including Israel.




In addition, as long as countries in the Middle East rely on the US’s military forces for their security, the US will stay in the Middle East and attack Iran repeatedly every 5 to 10 years.

Therefore, countries in the Middle East need to form an alternative security mechanism replacing the US’s military forces. [5]


[IRGC’s spokes person]


China has been supporting the unity of Arab Islamic countries. Arab Islamic Security Alliance excluding the US and Israel must be formed to abolish the US’s security arrangement in the Middle East. [6]


[Foreign Minister Wang Yi held talks with a joint delegation of foreign ministers from Arab and Islamic countries in Beijing in 2023]


Thus, for the war in the Middle East to be resolved through dialogue, all Iran’s demands must be fulfilled, i.e, (1) removal of all US military bases in the Middle East (2) establishing the Middle East nuclear free zone including Israel (3) forming Arab Islamic Security Alliance excluding the US and Israel, and (4) trillions of US dollars of reparations to be paid by the US and Israel to compensate the injuries of people of Gaza, Lebanon and Iran and the destruction of Gaza, Lebanon and Iran.


China has been advocating a two state solution for Israel/Palestine conflict. Palestine should be admitted as an independent country.

Israel will be allowed to stay existing but must be removed of its military forces substantially. Israel will be banned to possess regular army, navy or air force. Israel will be allowed to have only militias with rifles. Israel’s intelligence organization, Mossad, will be abolished.



5. China’s basic principles for peace will be applied to the Taiwan issue

In the midterm election of November 2026, Democrats will have a landslide victory. Democrats will have the majority in both the Senate and the House.

In 2028 US presidential election, a Democratic candidate, most likely California governor Gavin Newsome, will win. Gavin Newsome is pro-China, pro-renewable energies and pro-EVs.


[California Governor Gavin Newsome and President Xi Jinping in Beijing in 2023]


As to the Taiwan issue, China’s basic principles that military power solves nothing and that dialogue solves conflicts will be applied again.

Finally realizing that military power solves nothing, the US will admit and facilitate a peaceful reunification of China and Taiwan.



China and Taiwan will be reunited in no later than 2030.

Thank you.


References:
(1) ”Chinese FM urges efforts to prevent escalation in Mideast conflict”, March 20th 2026, Xinhua

(2) ”China decries ‘unjust war’ on Iran as it calls for immediate ceasefire”, March 21st 2026, South China Morning Post

(3) ”Special Envoy Zhai Jun of the Chinese Government on the Middle East Issue Briefs Chinese and Foreign Media on Current Middle East Situation”, March 23rd 2026, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of PRC

(4) ”ANOTHER WAR IS APT TO BREAK OUT IN EAST ASIA”, March 15th 2026

(5) ”Israeli media reveals details of 15-point plan between US, Iran”, March 25th 2026, Anadolu Ajansı

(6) ”Chinese FM holds talks with delegation of Arab-Islamic foreign ministers”, November 21st 2023, Xinhua


Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.

【アメリカと中国の板挟みで滅亡必至の日本は、かつて自らイギリスに吸収されたオランダに学び、中国に吸収されるべきであることについて】

1. アメリカと中国の板挟みで滅亡・壊滅必至の日本

アメリカに安全保障を依存しつつ、経済的には中国に依存する日本は、アメリカと中国の板挟みの状態にあります。

とくに、アメリカ・イスラエルによるイランに対する侵略戦争開始後は、他の先進国がアメリカ・イスラエルの攻撃が国連憲章と国際法に違反すると批判しているのに対し、日本は立場を明確にせず、アメリカに対する隷属姿勢が際立っています。


[高市早苗首相とトランプ大統領]


トランプ大統領は、日本、韓国、フランス、イギリスなど各国に対し、ホルムズ海峡の航行の安全を確保するため、護衛艦を派遣することを要請しました。[1]

高市早苗首相は訪米し、19日にトランプ大統領と会談する予定ですが、その際、トランプ大統領は高市首相に対し、ホルムズ海峡への自衛艦派遣を強く求めるでしょう。

もし自衛艦をホルムズ海峡に派遣するとイランから攻撃を受けて自衛艦は撃沈され、中東から日本への原油・天然ガスの輸入が完全にストップします。日本は原油輸入の90%を中東に依存しています。




高市早苗は自衛艦を派遣する法律上の根拠がないと言って自衛艦ホルムズ海峡派遣を拒否するかも知れませんが、それに対し、トランプは「お前たちは、衆議院て3分の2を超える議席を持っているだろう?。再可決を断行して1日で根拠法を作れ!。」と言うでしょう。

もし日本政府が自衛艦ホルムズ海峡派遣を断り続ければ、アメリカは日本に対し様々な嫌がらせを行うでしょう。日本からの輸出品に高関税を賦課したり、アメリカのサイバー攻撃で日本の銀行の業務が1ヶ月間不能になるかも知れません。


それでも高市首相が自衛艦派遣を固辞する場合、トランプ大統領は高市首相に対し、健康上の理由で辞職しろと言うでしょう。日本のメディアを支配しているアメリカは、高市の生殺与奪の権を有しています。


[台湾有事シュミレーションという”戦争ごっこ”に興じる小野寺五典(中央)と長島昭久(右)]


[ヘグセス国防長官と頭空っぽのピエロ小泉進次郎防衛大臣]


高市の代わりはいくらでもいます。高市が失脚したあとは、戦争やりたがりの小野寺五典議員や頭の中空っぽのピエロ小泉進次郎が首相に就任し、自衛艦をホルムズ海峡に派遣し、日本の核武装、中国との戦争に突き進むでしょう。

また、防衛大臣には、統一教会の合同結婚式に参加した長島昭久が就任するでしょう。

このまま行けば、日本は、アメリカと中国の板挟みで、中国との経済関係が縮小して経済的に滅亡するか、あるいは中国から攻撃を受けて軍事的に壊滅します。



2. イギリスとフランスの挟み撃ちから起死回生の一手を打った17世紀のオランダ

アメリカと中国の板挟みに合う日本は、かつてイギリスとフランスに挟み撃ちにされていた17世紀のオランダに学ぶことが考えられます。

17世紀、オランダは貿易上の競争相手のイギリスから3回も戦争を仕掛けられ、他方、領土拡大を目指すフランスからも侵略を受けていました。






そのままでは滅亡する危機に瀕していたオランダは、イギリスの「名誉革命」という起死回生の一手を打ちます。


当時イギリスは、カトリックの国王ジェームズ2世がイギリスのカトリック化政策を推し進め、カトリックのみを官職に登用するなど、プロテスタントへの弾圧を行っていました。

これに対してイギリス国内の商工業者を中心とするプロテスタントは国王に反発し、国内が分裂。イギリスは革命一歩手前にありました。

これに目をつけたプロテスタント国オランダの総督ウィリアム3世は、自ら軍隊を率いてイギリスに上陸。イギリス国内の商工業者と結託して、イギリス内部に自ら取り込まれる道を選びました。


[ウィリアム3世]

オランダとイギリス商工業者の融合・一体化を目の当たりにした国王ジェームズ2世は不利を察知し、カトリックの国フランスへ逃亡しました。

これが「名誉革命」と呼ばれる政変です。1688年のことです。

ウィリアム3世はイギリス国王となり、議会が提示した権利の章典を受け入れ、議会が実質的な権力を保有し、商工業者のための政治を行うことを承認します。


[権利の章典を受け取るウィリアム3世]


[イングランド銀行]

さらにウィリアム3世は、オランダから引き連れてきた金融・財政の専門家を活用し、イングランド銀行を設立するなど、その後の大英帝国発展の金融的・財政的基盤を確立しました。

オランダは、イギリスとの激突を避け、イギリスに取り込まれることで、繁栄を手にしました。


3. 日本が生き延びる唯一の方法

イランとの戦争で行き詰まったトランプ大統領は、今後、連邦議会から弾劾を受けるか、あるいは今年11月のアメリカ中間選挙で敗北し、上院も下院も失ってレームダック化する可能性が高いです。

かつてアメリカは、中東の産油国との間で、安全保障に責任を持つ代わりに、原油の代金決済にドルを使うことを約束させ、ペトロダラーの仕組みを確立しました。しかしながら、現在、アメリカは、イランのミサイル攻撃からサウジアラビアやUAE、カタール、クウェートを守ることが全く出来ず、ペトロダラーの基盤が崩れています。アメリカの軍事力が見掛け倒しであることが明らかとなっています。

一方、ホルムズ海峡を封鎖しているイランは、原油の代金決済にドルの代わりに中国の人民元を使えば、そのタンカーのホルムズ海峡通過を許すと発表し、友好国中国の人民元が国際化する支援をしています。[2]

そのため、今後、イランが提案するように、原油代金に中国の人民元を使うペトロユアンの仕組みが確立・拡大していく可能性が高くなっています。

[追記 2026年3月18日]
報道によると、すでにイラン政府は、中東以外の8カ国との間で、中国人民元で取引される石油の安全なホルムズ海峡通過を認めるイランの提案について協議しているそうです。[3]

[追記 2026年3月21日]
イランのアラグチ外相が、日本関連船舶のホルムズ海峡通過を認める用意があると明らかにしました。
原油代金をドルでなく人民元で支払うことが条件と思われます。
日本は世界第5位の石油輸入国で、その95%を中東から、70%をホルムズ海峡経由で輸入しています。
日本は人民元による支払いを行い、中東からの原油輸入を再開すべきです。[4]


ペトロユアンの仕組みが確立・拡大していけば、ドルに代わり人民元が世界最強の通貨として基軸通貨・準備通貨になっていきます。そして、人民元を受け取った中東産油国は、アメリカの財務省証券(国債)購入を止め、中国の国債を購入するようになるでしょう。

財務省証券の買い手を失ったアメリカ政府は、またたく間に財政破綻(デフォルト)に陥るでしょう。


そのような状況の下、日本は思い切って、中国との金融・通貨分野での融合に向け、大きく舵を切ることが考えられます。

日本は中国内部に自ら取り込まれることを選択することが考えられます。



たとえば、メガバンクの三井住友銀行は中国人民銀行に吸収合併されることが考えられます。

また、メガバンクのみずほ銀行は中国商工銀行に吸収合併されることが考えられます。

もしいきなりメガバンクが吸収合併されることに抵抗がある場合は、まず地方銀行のたとえば香川銀行でお試し吸収合併されることも考えられます。

その上で、アジア“最弱”通貨の円を今後世界最強となる人民元とペッグさせる(一定の為替レートで連動させる)ことが考えられます。円安が食い止められ、円相場が安定します。




さらにホンダはBYDに吸収合併してもらい、スズキはXIAOMIに吸収合併してもらいます。

NIDECはBYDに吸収合併してもらい、DENSOはCATLに吸収合併してもらいます。

いずれにせよ、これらの企業は、吸収合併してもらわなければ、中国企業との競争に敗れ、破綻・消滅する運命です。

また、トヨタ、川崎重工の人間型ロボット部門は本体から分離し、中国企業に売却します。中国企業と競争しても到底かなわないからです。


政治的には、高市政権であれ、小野寺五典政権であれ、小泉進次郎政権であれ、トランプ忖度政権は、総辞職させ、崩壊させます。

これに代わり、岩屋毅議員や小渕優子議員など親中国派議員を中心に政権を立て直します。

また、日本の経済官僚は中国で研修を受け、中国の5カ年計画にシンクロした経済運営を学習します。


日本が、アメリカと中国の板挟みで、滅亡し壊滅することを避けるには、今後没落していくアメリカと袂を分かち、中国に自ら取り込まれることを選択すべきです。

中国の電気自動車産業、人間型ロボット産業、AI産業、情報通信産業は、今後、グローバルサウスの発展とともに急速に成長し拡大していきます。



[購買力平価で計算すれば、中国の経済規模はすでに日本の6倍です]


オランダは、イギリスとの激突を避け、イギリスに取り込まれることで、繁栄を手にしました。

購買力平価で計算すれば、中国の経済規模はすでにアメリカを凌駕し、日本の6倍です。

日本は、中国に自ら取り込まれることを通じ、安定的かつ恒久的な経済成長を実現すべきです。

以上


参照資料:
(1) Trump’s Truth Social posting of March 14th 2026, March 14th 2026

(2) ”What we know on the 14th day of the US and Israel’s war with Iran”, March 14th 2026, CNN

(3) 「人民元で取引される石油の安全なホルムズ海峡通過、イランが8カ国と協議 情報筋」、2026年3月18日、CNN

(4) 「イラン外相、日本船のホルムズ海峡通過認める用意 報道」、2026年3月21日、AFP


註記: 上記の見解は、私個人のものであり、いかなる団体あるいは政党の見解をも反映するものではありません。
私自身は、いずれの政党・政治団体ならびに宗教団体にも所属していません。あくまでも一人の市民として、個人として発言しています。民主主義と平和を実現するために発言しています。

【ウクライナ、中東に続き、東アジアでも間もなく戦争が勃発することについて】

In order to get out of the quagmire in the Middle East and recover from the humiliation of the war against Iran, Trump might stage another war, this time, in the East Asia to deflect the American people’s criticism against him.

Just like the US attacked Iran in the middle of negotiations, there is a possibility that the US might make an surprise attack against China, using Japan, immediately before a meeting between President Xi Jinping and President Trump.



Japanese far-right PM Sanae Takaichi, who is a puppet of the US, will visit the US to meet with President Trump on March 19th. [1]


[PM Sanae Takaichi and President Donald Trump]

It is quite likely that Trump will request PM Takaichi to send JSDF’s warships to escort oil tankers and natural gas carriers through the Strait of Hormuz, which PM Takaichi will accept.


In addition, Trump might request PM Takaichi to make a military clash with China.

In the early hours of March 9th, Japan hurriedly deployed extended-range missiles to Kumamoto-city of Kyushu Island, Japan that can hit the coastal area of China. [2]


[On March 9th, Japan hurriedly deployed extended-range missiles to Kumamoto-city of Kyushu Island, Japan that can hit the coastal area of China]


Just like Mukden Incident of 1931, JSDF might carry out false flag operations in which JSDF’s warplanes or warships would mysteriously explode for unknown reason around the area of the Diaoyu Islands or the Taiwan Strait.


[JSDF might carry out false-flag operations]

Japan would blame China, saying that JSDF was attacked by China.


Then, without any concrete evidence and despite China’s denial, Japan would declare that it should exercise its right of self-defense and attack China, launching extended-range missiles to such cities as Shanghai and Hangzhou.




[The distance between Kumamoto-city and Shanghai is less than 1,000 km, which means Shanghai is well within the range of JSDF’s missiles]

In order to prevent China’s air defense systems would shoot down Japan’s missiles, the US might deploy its covert operation vessels in the East China Sea disguised as ordinary freight ships that would emit powerful jamming.


[The US’s covert operation vessel “MV Ocean Trader”]


After the incident, Japan will accelerate getting itself nuke-armed by bringing US nukes into Japan and sharing them or producing nukes either openly or secretly.

Also, Japan will enact a Japanese version of Taiwan Relations Act, under which Japan is obligated to protect Taiwan.


[6 months before becoming LDP president and PM of Japan, PM Sanae Takaichi visited Taiwan and met with Taiwan President Lai Ching-te in April 2025]


Japanese high ranking government officials including foreign minister and even PM Takaichi herself will visit Taiwan and encourage Taiwan to become an independent country.



Anticipating Japan’s hostile and provocative actions, concentration of power to President Xi Jinping has already been made.

On February 11th 2026, President Xi Jinping extended Spring Festival greetings to all servicemen. [3]




At that occasion, concentration of power to President Xi Jinping could be visually perceived.

When President Xi Jinping delivered his Spring Festival greeting in 2026, he was accompanied by only a few generals.


[President Xi Jinping delivering his Spring Festival greeting in 2026]


3 years ago, when President Xi Jinping delivered his Spring Festival greeting in 2023, he was accompanied by more generals.


[President Xi Jinping deliveringhis Spring Festival greeting in 2023]


Over the period from 2024 to 2026, President Xi Jinping removed 5 of his 6 subordinate generals in Central Military Commission. These generals were removed due to the charges of bribery.


[Over the period from 2024 to 2026, President Xi Jinping removed 5 of his 6 subordinate generals in Central Military Commission]



Zhang Youxia, Vice Chairman of Central Military Commission was removed in January 2026. He was an army general.


[Former Vice Chairman of Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia]


He Weidong, Vice Chairman of Central Military Commission was removed in October 2025. He was an army general.


[Former Vice Chairman of Central Military Commission He Weidong]


Liu Zhenli, chief of staff was removed from Central Military Commission in January 2026. He was an army general.

Miao Hua was removed from Central Military Commission in October 2025. He was a navy admiral.

Li Shanghu was removed from Central Military Commission in Jane 2024. He was an aerospace general.


Some Japanese so-called experts say that China and PLA are in chaos. These so-called experts are totally wrong. [4][5][6][7]


Since top generals in charge of PLA Army, PLA Navy and PLA Aerospace being removed, PLA Army, PLA Navy and PLA Aerospace are now under direct control of President Xi Jinping.

Now, President Xi Jinping’s decision and command, whether defensive operations or offensive operations, will be carried out by PLA at once in a second without any argument or opposition of members of Central Military Commission.


A nation carries out concentration of power when a military conflict or a war is real and imminent.

Concentration of power to President Xi Jinping has been made because a military conflict or a war with Japan is real and imminent due to the advent of the far-right government of Japan, which publicly declared that it would put JSDF into Taiwan contingency and get itself nuke-armed.



[In November 2025, PM Takaichi declared that Japan would put JSDF into Taiwan contingency and get Japan nuke-armed]


[As stipulated in the Instrument of Japanese Surrender, Potsdam Declaration and Cairo Declaration, Taiwan is a part of China. Therefore, putting JSDF into Taiwan contingency constitutes an aggression and war crime]


[Japan will withdraw from NPT and get itself nuke-armed]


[Possible JSDF’s plan map to attack Beijing:
JSDF’s F-15 squadrons would be used as a decoy in the East China Sea while the main attack squadron of JSDF’s F-35s with nukes would fly over Korean Peninsula to make a surprise nuclear attack against Beijing]


[JSDF’s F-35 would attack Beijing with nukes]


[The Great Hall of the People, Beijing, China]




Given the evil and treacherous nature of Japan, it is likely that Japan will bring into, share or produce nukes either openly or secretly.

If China gives time to Japan, Japan will bring into, share or produce nukes to attack China.

In that case, China will face missile-armed and nuke-armed Japan’s aggression against China, which could result in millions of Chinese casualties.



As stipulated in the Instrument of Japanese Surrender, the Potsdam Declaration and the Cairo Declaration, Taiwan is a part of China. Therefore, Japan’s putting JSDF into Taiwan contingencies will constitute an aggression and war crime. [8][9][10]

PM Takaichi’s declaration that Japan will put JSDF into Taiwan contingencies proves that Japan has a “will” to commit an aggression.

Japan has already deployed extended-range missiles in Kyushu Island, which can hit the coastal area of China. This fact proves that Japan has a “capacity” to commit an aggression. [11]


[On March 9th, Japan hurriedly deployed extended-range missiles to Kumamoto-city of Kyushu Island, Japan that can hit the coastal area of China]




[The distance between Kumamoto-city and Shanghai is less than 1,000 km, which means Shanghai is well within the range of JSDF’s missiles]


[Addendum of April 2nd 2026]

Japan has also deployed Hyper Velocity Gliding Projectile missiles in Shizuoka Prefecture, which can hit the Chinese mainland.








[Addendum of March 27th 2026]

In addition to missiles deployed in Kyushu Island, JSDF modified one of 8 Aegis destroyers so that it can launch Tomahawk missiles which can hit Beijing from East China Sea with nuclear warheads. [12]

JSDF is planing to modify all of its 8 Aegis destroyers so that they can launch Tomahawk missiles.


[JSDF’s Aegis destroyer “Chokai” was modified to launch Tomahawk missiles which can be equipped with nuclear warheads]





[Tomahawk missiles have range of 2,000 km. JSDF’s Aegis destroyer can launch Tomahawk missiles from off Okinawa Island to hit Beijing]



Moreover, given Japan’s huge stockpile of Plutonium and given its technology, it would take only a few weeks for Japan to get nuke-armed.

Thus, the requirements of the UN Enemy Clause are fulfilled. Both China and Russia can invoke the UN Enemy Clause and attack Japan without a resolution of the UN Security Council. [13]

Missile-armed and nuke-armed, Japan will intimidate China not to militarily intervene Taiwan contingency so that Taiwan would be able to declare independence.

And, if China doesn’t yield to Japan’s intimidation, Japan will make a nuclear attack against China.



Under such circumstances, China and Russia can issue a joint ultimatum and attack Japan now based on the UN Enemy State clause before Japan obtains nukes.

China and Russia can jointly issue to Japan an ultimatum with 1 week deadline to reply, demanding that (1) Japan should admit that Taiwan is a part of China, (2) Japan should admit that putting JSDF into Taiwan contingencies is an illegal aggression and a war crime, (3) Japan should declare that Japan will never put JSDF into Taiwan contingencies and (4) Japan should maintain three non-nuclear principles and make them enacted into a legislation.

If Japan doesn’t obey, China and Russia will attack Japan with all might at their disposal including tactical nuclear weapons.

In order to avoid war disruption to China’s economy and reduce burden of Russia’s having two fronts western (Ukraine) and eastern (Japan), the war against Japan should be finished in a short period of time. Thus, China and Russia can destroy Japan with tactical nukes.

Because the war against Japan is not an ordinary use of force based upon self-defense stipulated in articles 51 of the UN Charter but a punishment based upon the UN Enemy State Clause, use of tactical nuclear weapons is legal, legitimate and justified.




Zhang Shengmin, who is the only general in Central Military Commission and currently serving as the vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, is a general of PLA Rocket Force.


[Zhang Shengmin, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission]

PLA Rocket Force has hypersonic missiles, intermediate-range missiles and short-range missiles, all of which can be used to attack and destroy Japan.


[PLA’s hypersonic missile DF-17]


[China’s DF-26 intermedium-range nuclear ballistic missiles]


[DF-26’s range covers not only entire Japanese mainland but Guam island as well]


Judging from the recent reshuffle of members of Central Military Commission, there is a possibility or even a probability that China has changed her main military objective from a possible forceful reunification with Taiwan to a probable attack against Japan.

China has been building up and deploying thousands of intermediate-range and short-range missiles for the purpose of A2AD (Anti-Access Area-Denial) so that the US’s warships would never approached to attack China.

Those thousands of intermediate-range and short-range missiles can turn to be used to attack Japan as they are.



Meanwhile, Yang Zhibin was appointed as new Commander of Eastern Theater Command in December 2025, whose jurisdiction covers Taiwan and Japan. He is an Air Force general.


[Yang Zhibin, Commander of Eastern Theater Command]


[PLA’s J-10 fighter jet]



[PLA’s J-20 fighter jet]


[PLA’s J-35 fighter jet]


[PLA’s Y-9 electronic warfare aircraft]


Back in May 2025, Pakistan’s J-10 fighter jets with PL-15 air-to-air missiles, both of which Pakistan imported from China, shot down India’s 4.5 generation Rafale fighter jets imported from France during a military clash.

So, PLA’s J-10s, J-20s and J-35s equipped with PL-15 and PL-17 air-to-air missiles will shoot down JSDF’s obsolete 4th generation F-15 fighter jets.


In addition, China’s air-to-air missiles such as PL-15 and PL-17 have far longer operational range than JSDF’s air-to-air missiles such as AIM-9 Sidewinder and AIM-120 AMRAAM.

China’s PL-15 air-to-air missile has an operational range of 300 km.


[China’s PL-15 air-to-air missile has an operational range of 300 km]

AIM-9 Sidewinder has an operational range of only 35 km.

AIM-120 AMRAAM has an operational range of only 75-160 km.

In other words, China’s J-10s, J-20s and J-35s equipped with PL-15 or PL-17 air-to-air missiles would outrange JSDF’s F-15s and F-35s equipped with AIM-9 Sidewinder or AIM-120 AMRAAM and shoot them down.


JSDF’s F-15 fighter jets would be shot down instantly. Even JSDF’s F-35 fighter jets, whose stealth capability is questioned, might be shot down too.

Or, JSDF’s F-35s might plunge due to PLA warplanes powerful jamming operation of electronic warfare.



Rocket Force and Air Force would be main forces to attack Japan.

Japanese cities and JSDF military bases would be destroyed by PLA’s ballistic missiles.

JSDF’s warships would be destroyed by PLA’s anti-ship missiles and warplanes.

JSDF’s warplanes would be destroyed by PLA’s surface to air missiles and warplanes.



[Tokyo]


[Osaka]


[Kyoto]




[JSDF’s warships will be destroyed]


[JSDF’s warships will be destroyed]


[JSDF’s warplanes will be shot down]



China might prefer nuclear electromagnetic pulse attack against Tokyo, Osaka and Kyoto, instead of thermo-nuclear attack.

Nuclear electromagnetic pulse attack (NEMP attack) or a high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP attack) is essentially a burst of electromagnetic radiation created by a nuclear detonation at high altitude of tens to hundreds km above the Earth’s surface. [14]

NEMP attack will not kill people but destroy electric grids, cellular phones, PCs, data centers and almost everything that has electronic circuits.

According to the US congressional testimony by Dr. Peter Vincent Pry, the Executive Director of Task Force on National and Homeland Security, if NEMP attack is made against the US, such detonation would generate electromagnetic pulse that would blacks-out the electric grid for a year and decimate the critical infrastructure necessary to support a large population. In one year, up to 90% of the US population could perish from starvation, disease and societal collapse. [15]



[NEMP attack will be made by nuclear ballistic missiles which detonate at high altitude]



[NEMP attack will not kill people but destroy electric grids, cellular phones, PCs, data centers and almost everything that has electronic circuits]



[NEMP attack with a detonation at high altitude of 30 km will cover Tokyo, Osaka and Kyoto]



[NEMP attack will not kill people but destroy electric grids, cellular phones, PCs, data centers and almost everything that has electronic circuits]



[NEMP attack will not kill people but destroy electric grids, cellular phones, PCs, data centers and almost everything that has electronic circuits]



By attacking Japan now, China can kill 12 birds with 1 stone.

(1) Destroying JSDF
(2) Preventing Japan’s nuke-arming forever
(3) Destroying Japan’s arms industry
(4) Vindicating the effectiveness of the UN Charter and international law
(5) Showing PLA's mighty power
(6) Proving the US's proxy war strategy fails
(7) Making US military bases in Japan dysfunctional
(8) Making NATO operations in Asia impossible
(9) Independence of Ryukyu Kingdom
(10) Ruling over Diaoyu Dao
(11) War reparations
(12) Enhancing reputation of China’s weapons in markets


When China destroys JSDF, Taiwan’s last hope will vanish. Taiwan will give up its independence and have no choice but to accept peaceful reunification with China.
China doesn’t have to use military force against Taiwan. But, have no mercy against Japan.


Some companies of Chinese business communities might oppose China’s attack against Japan, saying a war will hamper their businesses.



Lacking knowledge on the world history or international politics, some companies of Chinese business communities would focus only upon their short-term revenue.



But, unlike in the western countries where military forces are under control of elected government officials and therefore under control of businesses, in China, PLA is under strict control of the CPC.

And, the fundamental principle of the CPC is “Serve the People”.


[“Serve the People” is the fundamental principle of the CPC and PLA]


[President Xi Jinping inspecting PLA soldiers]


[PLA soldiers]


So, in order to protect the Chinese people, the CPC and PLA will attack Japan despite some oppositions from Chinese business communities.

The Chinese people will trust and support President Xi Jinping, the CPC, and PLA.


Thank you.


References:

(1) 「日米首脳、米国で19日会談 訪中前のトランプ氏と連携の深化示せるか」、2026年3月15日、日本経済新聞

(2) ”Missile launcher delivered to SDF camp in southwestern Japan”, March 9th 2026, NHK

(3) ”Xi Jinping extends Spring Festival greetings to all servicemen”, February 11th 2026, CGTN

(4) 「習近平の周りからは次々に要人が消えていく…ついに盟友の「軍のトップ2人」も粛清した男に残ったモノ」、2026年2月19日、プレジデントオンライン

(5) 「ついに習近平の終わりが始まった…共産党機関紙が国家主席の名前を「習近"乎"」と誤植した背景」、2026年2月18日、プレジデントオンライン

(6) 「疑心暗鬼に陥った習近平の「人民解放軍制服組トップ」張又侠の粛清がもたらす中国の最終局面」、2026年1月29日、現代ビジネス

(7) 「幹部粛清後の中国で習近平と解放軍の深刻な冷戦勃発の可能性~恒例の軍への「春節慰問」さえもリモートに…」、2026年2月20日、現代ビジネス

(8) The Instrument of Japanese Surrender, September 2nd 1945

(9) The Potsdam Deckaration, July 26th 1945

(10) The Cairo Declaration, November 27th 1943

(11) ”Missile launcher delivered to SDF camp in southwestern Japan”, March 9th 2026, NHK

(12) 「イージス艦にトマホーク発射能力 敵基地攻撃、米で改修後に帰国」、2026年3月27日、共同通信

(13) United Nations Charter, United Nations

(14) Nuclear electromagnetic pulse, Wikipedia

(15) ”North Korean EMP Attack Would Cause Mass U.S. Starvation, Says Congressional Report”, October 23rd 2017, Forbes


Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.