【Summary 】
Canada, Mexico, Panama, Denmark (Greenland), Japan, Russia and China should not negotiate with the US bilaterally. Otherwise, each country will end up with an unfavorable deal against the US.
Instead, they should unite each other with BRICS, EU and SCO so that they would make a united front against the US.
Being isolated, the US and Israel will collapse politically, economically and diplomatically.
1. The US under Trump is America first
Trump was inaugurated and, as expected, Trump behaves as if the US were the only super power although actually US military power is weak, US economy is weak, and US soft power is non-existent.
Trump took power in Washington, declaring "America's decline is over". What is tragic to the US is that, under Trump, America’s decline will be “accelerated” because the US will be isolated as the rest of the world will unite with China and BRICS plus.
China
If China enters bilateral negotiations with the US, the US will try to use Taiwan as a card for the purpose of gaining economic concession from China.
However, Trump will find China the toughest negotiator because, unlike Trump who decides according to leverages, China decides according to principles. China will never allow Trump to use Taiwan as a card. China is people first unlike Trump who is money first.
Russia
If Russia enters bilateral negotiations with the US, the US would propose that it would stop Ukraine War only on condition that Russia would make concessions on its Arctic oil and gas resources and withdraw from the Middle East.
Russia’s weakness is that it tends to believe it can “do a deal” with the West. Russia made a mistake trusting the West and entering Minsk 2 Agreement in 2015, which allowed the US and NATO to buy time to make a plan and pile up weapons and ammunitions to wage Ukraine War 7 years later.
Looking back upon the history, Stalin’s Soviet Union entered the non-aggression pact with Hitler’s Germany in 1939. The pact was broken when Germany attacked the Soviet Union in 1941, to the surprise of Stalin.
Instead of expecting Trump to help Russia by ending Ukraine War, Russia should strengthen its solidarity with China, which it has already started, holding a video conference between President Vladimir Putin and President Xi Jinping in January 2025. President Xi expressed readiness to work with President Putin in the year ahead to take China-Russia relations to new heights.
[Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin in a video meeting, January 2025]
Europe
Currently, the US is encouraging the far-right of European countries because the US military industrial complex and European defense industries want to intensify confrontation against Russia so that they can make big profits. European far-right would demand to each government increase of defense spending and rejecting cooperation with China.
[Elon Musk appeared via live video link in German far-right AfD’s election campaign event, January 2025][1]
[Alice Weidel, co-leader of AfD, who was nominated as a chancellor candidate]
[Elon Musk is intimate with Italy’s far-right PM Giorgia Meloni]
[Italy’s far-right PM Giorgia Meloni]
European far-right, by its nature, is anti-Russia and anti-China. Italy went away from China’s Belt and Road Initiative.
[Nigel Farage, a leader of Reform UK, which is UK’s far-right populist political party]
Looking back upon the history, the US’s banks supported Nazis financially in 1930s. But, it was done secretly and indirectly. Currently, the US is supporting European far-right openly and directly.
Being enboldened by the US’s support and welcoming Trump’s demand, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said NATO would 'turbo-charge' defense spending under Trump. He must be backed by European defense industries. [2]
[NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte]
The US and EU are “rich-people first”. US and European greedy rich people only seek increasing their wealth as much as possible while keeping poor people remaining poor.
As a result, facing shortage of demand, US and European rich people start a war so as to demand for weapons and anmmunitios and demand for postbellum reconstruction would be created.
The Middle East
In December 2024, there was a terrorist attack and mass murder in New Orleans. FBI said that New Orleans attacker had been inspired by ISIS. [3]
Similar attacks will be repeated in the US and occur in European countries such as Germany and Italy.
It is probable that the US will resume a war against ISIS and, using it as a pretext, invade Syria together with Israel. The real purpose is to seize oil and gas in the Levant and the East Mediterranean.
[A map of fighting that occurred between ISIS and other groups 2020-2024]
Reportedly, the US Shares Intelligence with the new Syrian leadership to counter ISIS threats. [4]
Trump has made 2,000-pound bombs available to Israel, undoing Biden’s pause. [5]
While Israel accepted Gaza truce, it moved its military to West Bank, which is a corridor toward Syria. Israel is also delaying Lebanon withdrawal. Israel is preparing Syria invasion, waiting for a go-sign from Washington.
Obviously, the US is planning to invade Syria together with Israel, using a war against ISIS as a pretext. The real purpose is to seize oil and gas in the Levant and the East Mediterranean.
[Israel’s PM Benjamin Netanyahu and President Donald Trump]
[A map of “Greater Israel”]
[EastMed Pipeline Project]
Pete Hegseth was confirmed by the Senate despite an allegation of his sexual assault. He has been advocating the crusade of the 21st century. In his book "American crusade", he calls for fighting against America's enemies including leftists and Islam.
[The First Crusade (1096–1099) ]
[Pete Hegseth’s book "American crusade" advocates the crusade of the 21st century]
It is likely that the US would organize the crusade consisted of the US, UK, Israel, Germany under CDU/AfD and Italy.
France might join too as Syria was French colony and TOTAL, French oil company, wants oil & gas in Levant.
Greenland and Panama Canal
Trump indicated ambition toward Greenland and Panama Canal, which seems to be his attempt to show US rivalry against China.
Trump is trying to check China and Russia’s influence in the Arctic Sea and, at the same time, hamper trade between South America and China.
Canada and Mexico
Trump announced that he would impose 25% tariffs against goods imported from Canada and Mexico because Trump believes Canada and Mexico are relatively easy counterparts to bully.
South America
A Peruvian right wing politician once said that Peru should invade Bolivia and seize lithium resources there.
[The lithium triangle straddling Chile, Argentina and Bolivia, which holds 56% of the world’s lithium reserves] [6]
Currently, the Peruvian government and the Argentine government are pro-US. The Trump administration might make Peru and Argentina to attack Bolivia from the west and the south to seize lithium resources there.
Peru-Bolivia-Argentina War, if it happens, would disrupt lithium supply, delay the spread of EV and make Chancay smart port closed or even destroyed.
2. China’s counter against the US
AI and its applications
By showing conciliatory posing toward China, Trump is trying to buy time so that so-called “Stargate Project” would be accomplished, which he expects would give him invincible AI power.
Having no knowledge on science much less computer science, Trump must have been scammed by Sam Altman of OpenAI, who is a scam artist swindling money by exaggerating what AI can do.
Probably, Trump is planing to create “Great AI” that can mass-generate billions of pro-US and anti-China comments, articles and papers to manipulate and mislead people’s mind over the Internet.
In order to drive more people toward the Internet, the US would try to shut down or decrease TV stations of foreign countries.
[Trump announced “Stargate Project”, flanked by Masayoshi Son of SoftBank, Larry Ellison of Oracle and Sam Altman of OpenAI]
However, Trump will fail because, as Elon Musk indicates, SoftBank, a major financial contributor for Stargate Project, is out of cash. [7]
China is clever enough to apply AI to manufacturing industries and farming industries and has succeeded in making them super-efficient and super-effective.
For example, this month, President Xi Jinping inspected China’s AI controlled fully automated steel plant in Liaoning Province, China, where high-quality steel plate for EVs is produced. China accounted for 54% of world steel production in 2023
[President Xi Jinping inspected China’s AI controlled fully automated steel plant in Liaoning Province]
China has applied AI to manufacture EVs too. As a result of that, China has succeeded in manufacturing EVs that are more excellent and less expensive than US and European EVs.
[Xiaomi’s AI applied fully automated EV factory]
In contrast, the US’s manufacturing industries are collapsing. President Biden blocked Nippon Steel’s takeover of US Steel, leaving US Steel rusted and outdated.
US Steel would collapse because of failure of being taken over by a Japanese steel company and because of unions that vehemently oppose laying off and firing.
Boeing would collapse too due to its trouble maker 737 Max and its dwindling space department.
Lacking manufacturing industries to which AI would be applied, the US is applying AI to generate legal documents such as contracts or prepare corporate documents.
However, the US’s AI often makes mistakes. For example, it is suspected that lots of executive orders that Trump signed were generated by AI because many of them are marked by errors and unnatural language, making people puzzled. [8]
In fact, Trump had to beg the world to help the US by coming to the US to make products because US manufacturing industries have collapsed. Although he tried to make his WEF speech sound like a threat with tariffs, it was essentially begging by a loser. His rhetoric didn’t work. [9]
Probably, Trump dreams that, if the US has a Great AI system, it would give him great advice as to how to defeat China, Russia, Iran and DPRK to make the US great again. He is wrong because the world will unite against the US. Ironically, Great AI will give him advice "Surrender".
Being isolated, the US and Israel will make wrong policy decisions one after another and eventually collapse.
It’s the economy, stupid!
Besides, China can launch a legal warfare too. Based on her large number of AI patents, China can bring tsunami of AI patent infringement lawsuits against OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle.
[Addendum on AI]
China’s DeepSeek AI has proved that, even in the field of AI, China outperforms the US.
DeepSeek’s AI not only outperforms its US counterparts such as OpenAI's ChatGPT but required far smaller amount to build. OpenAI needed billions of dollars to build its AI. DeepSeek built its AI with just $5.57 million. [10]
The US’s AIs are no match for China’s AIs such as DeepSeek. Why?
Because AIs’ capabilities depend on data they can use to train themselves.
China has enormous data supplied by 1.4 billion Chinese people while American people won’t disclose their data due to privacy concerns.
Also China has abundant data on AI application to industries, which the US hardly has.
China provides more excellent and less expensive products in every field. EVs and DeepSeek are just the beginning. China will provide more excellent and less expensive medicines, education, financial services, flying cars, and on and on and on, driving the Western companies out of markets.
Japan
The US is indeed isolated because one of its most important allies, Japan, has come closer to China under pro-China Ishiba administration of Japan.
Unlike previous pro-US Abe administration and pro-US Kishida administration, the current Ishiba administration of Japan is pro-China.
Japan’s top countries to which it exports and from which it imports are China. Japan’s economy is dependent upon China. Pro-China businesses are getting more and more dominating in Japan than pro-US businesses. These economic situations are reflected to the political sphere, and pro-China Ishiba administration has been established.
[Japanese pro-China PM Shigeru Ishiba and Chinese President Xi Jinping, November 2024]
Japan’s PM Shigeru Ishiba met with President Xi Jinping during APEC meeting in Peru immediately after he had been elected as a PM. Meanwhile, PM Ishiba has not met with Trump yet.
PM Ishiba indicates that he wanted to visit China to meet with President Xi as expeditiously as possible.
When PM Ishiba visits China, President Xi and PM Ishiba would make a joint statement. The joint statement would clearly indicate that Taiwan issue is China’s internal affairs and therefore, if a third country interferes it, it will be interference into other country’s internal affairs and a violation of international law.
PM Ishiba would clearly state that, since Taiwan issue is China’s internal affairs, if a third country intervenes with military force, it would constitute aggression and that Japanese Self Defense Force will never join military operation in case of Taiwan contingencies.
Also, PM Ishiba would indicate reluctance to permit US military to use US bases in Japan to intervene in a Taiwan contingency because, if Japan permits it, Japan will be a battlefield and ruin.
Without using US bases in Japan, it is impossible for US military to conduct operations to intervene in a Taiwan contingency. US military would not be able to do even supplying weapons and ammunitions to combat units.
In January 2025, Chinese generals of PLA Eastern Theater Command visited Japan and had a meeting with senior officials of Japan’s defense ministry.
The Chinese generals inspected Japanese naval base in Maizuru, Kyoto Prefecture on the western coast of Japan. It is likely that Chinese Navy’s warships would make friendly visits to Maizuru before long. [11]
With improving and friendly relations with China as a background, the Ishiba administration of Japan would announce that the procurement of 100 F-35 fighter jets that were ordered under the pro-US Abe administration has become unnecessary and that the procurement should be reduced to 30. The saved money can be allocated for tax reduction, which the Japanese people would welcome.
Europe
China and EU would hold Peace conference on Ukraine where China asserts that, instead of increasing defense spending, Europe should work with China to establish permanent peace in Europe.
[French President Emmanuel Macron and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
China, together with Hungary, Slovakia, Serbia and Bulgaria, would make a joint statement that, for the purpose of establishing lasting permanent peace for Europe and ultimately for the world, Hungary, Slovakia, Serbia and Bulgaria are ready to become neutral states to form a buffer zone between NATO and Russia.
[Hungarian PM Victor Orbán and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić Vučić and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[Slovakian PM Robert Fico and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[A neutral buffer zone should be set up in the eastern part of Poland and the western part of Belarus]
[A vast neutral buffer zone should be established between Russian occupied regions and the western part of Ukraine including Kiev]
[Hungary, Slovakia, Serbia and Bulgaria can become neutral states to form a buffer zone between NATO and Russia]
China can apply pressure to Elon Musk not to encourage right wing parties of Europe. China has a big leverage against Musk because his Tesla can not survive without the sales and profit in the Chinese market.
The Middle East
China, BRICS plus, SCO and Arab countries would make a joint statement in which they flatly reject Trump’s suggestion that Palestine people of Gaza should move to neighboring Arab countries and declare that the two state solution is the only solution.
China, BRICS plus, SCO and Arab countries would impose severe economic sanctions toward Israel to cripple its economy and war capability.
[China’s FM Wang Yi held talks with the delegation of Arab-Islamic foreign ministers, November 2023]
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
[SCO (the Shanghai Cooperation Organization) member states, observer states and dialogue partners]
Russia and Iran has entered a comprehensive strategic partnership. [12]
Russia can supply hypersonic missiles to Hezbollah and Houthis via Iran so that Hezbollah and Houthis will destroy the US and Israel’s military forces and prevent the US and Israel’s aggression and genocide in the Middle East.
[Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian deepened military ties by signing a 20-year strategic partnership, January 2025]
[Russia’s “Tsirkon” hypersonic anti-ship missile]
Greenland
Trump’s stupid ambition toward Greenland is his childish baby-like attempt to show US rivalry against China.
Trump is trying to check China and Russia’s influence in the Arctic Sea in vain.
Trump’s ambition toward Greenland will rather unite EU against the US.
China and EU would make a joint statement on Greenland, in which they confirm solidarity and assert protection of national sovereignty and territorial integrity by all means.
[French President Emmanuel Macron and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
Panama Canal
Likewise, BRICS plus and Panama would make a joint statement, in which they confirm solidarity and assert protection of national sovereignty and territorial integrity by all means.
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
Despite Trump’s attempt to interfere Panama Canal to choke up trade between China and South America, China can increase trade with South America by making most of newly-opened Chancay smart port.
[Chancay smart port, Chancay, Peru]
[Addendum on Panama Canal]
In early February, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio visited Panama, and, under the US’s pressure, Panama’s President agreed to withdraw from China’s Belt and Road Initiative and not to allow Chinese companies to manage Panama’s ports.
However, immediately after the meeting, the US announced that US ships could pass the Panama Canal free of charge, which Panama’s President flatly denied, saying, “Intolerable!” [13]
Panama’s President must have realized the US isn’t trustworthy. He should repeal his “deal” with the US, return to BRI, allow Chinese companies to manage Panama’s ports and join BRICS plus because it is China that is trustworthy.
Africa
South Africa, which is a member of BRICS plus, is going to hold the presidency of the G20 in 2025.
As such, South Africa would represent African nations against the US and rally 19 countries of G20 against the US.
[South Africa President Cyril Ramaphosa (front row left) and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
Central America
Cuba is a partner country of the BRICS plus. As such, Cuba would rally Central American nations against the US.
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
Canada
Canada’s former PM Justin Trudeau was so obedient to the US that Canada was helping Taiwan separatists and Sikh separatists.
Canada arrested Huawei’s CFO and detained her for years.
Canada accused India, alleging involvement of India’s agents in assassination of a Sikh separatist on Canadian soil.
Now that Justin Trudeau resigned as PM, China and India can jointly invite Canada to come closer to their side, making Canada distant from the US.
[Indian PM Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
Mexico
China and BRICS plus extend supportive hands toward Mexico, applying pressure against the US.
[Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
South America
China can persuade Peru that Peru’s prosperity would lie in its trade and industrialization, not in aggression into Bolivia to seize Bolivia’s lithium resources.
Brazil, which is a member of BRICS plus can check and warn against Argentina not to embark on invading Bolivia.
[Brazil has the strongest military in South America]
Also, Brazil (a member of BRICS plus) and Bolivia (a BRICS plus partner country ) can enter a mutual security treaty.
Logistics warfare
US military’s weak point is its logistics. Surrounded by vast oceans of the Atlantic and the Pacific, the US’s logistics lines are long and weak.
If its logistics lines attacked, the US can do nothing military overseas.
China and Russia should double and triple their submarines. China and Russia should deploy tens of thousands of UUVs (Undersea Unmanned Vehicles) and fleets of UUV & UAV carriers.
[China's first Type 076 amphibious assault ship, the Sichuan, which is also a drone aircraft carrier]
US defense secretary Hegseth stressed that shipbuilding was an urgent national security priority and that he would closely examine plans to reach a 355-ship US Navy and work to accelerate growth.
Being an amatuer, Hegseth focuses upon warships. However, China and Russia’s submarines will target US freight ships, cargo ships and oil tankers, which are easy preys and whose sinkings will cripple the US’s military logistics. [14]
Quantum computer
China should accelerate development of quantum computers.
Under President Xi, China has set clear targets to dominate quantum science. It is spending more than any other country on quantum research. In a June 2023 report, McKinsey & Company estimated that Beijing had a cumulative $15.3 billion in funding for quantum research, more than 8 times of the US's $1.9 billion. [15][16]
Now, what could happen if China achieves quantum computing combined with AI faster than any other country?
As soon as China achieves quantum computing combined with AI, China would be able to have 100 million times faster computing power than the existing super computers, which would enable China to break any secret codes whether military of civilian.
So, if she likes, China could hack and penetrate into other countries' major computers used for research and development of quantum computing and erase all the data stored there. That would enable China to be the only country in the world that has the enormous power of quantum computing combined with AI.
Then, China could hack and penetrate into the US's military systems and make all the US military systems inoperative. For the purpose of proving that China has accomplished it, she can make some demonstrations.
For example, China can detonate one of nuclear missiles in silos buried in South Dakota, the US, which would prove China can detonate any nuclear missiles of the US.
Conclusion
In late January 2025, President Xi Jinping visited and inspected Zhujiagou Village, Suizhong County of Huludao City, northeast China's Liaoning Province.
The village was affected by flood and houses were destroyed in Summer 2024.
Now, the villagers have moved to newly-built houses. President Xi Jinping said, “We have always put the people first." President Xi said, "The people can always count on the Party and the government in their most difficult times.”
President Xi Jinping visited a food market in Shenyang, capital city of Liaoning Province, where local people came to procure foods for Spring festival.
A girl presented a candy to President Xi Jinping. He replies, “The candy makes my heart sweet. I wish your future would be as sweet as a candy.”
When Trump was inaugurated, he invited lots of super riches to the ceremony. But, he invited no white poor that voted for him with wishing a better life. In the Western democracy, politicians incite poor people’s expectations but do nothing for them.
The US is America first. The US is super riches first.
Israel is by its nature only Jews first. The Old Testament says their god loves only Jewish people, ignoring other races.
The US and Israel represent only 5% of the world population.
China is people first and the mankind first. China-led mankind front will overwhelm the US and Israel.
Thank you.
References:
(1) ”Elon Musk makes surprise appearance at AfD event in eastern Germany”, January 25th 2025, The Guardian
(2) ”Rutte: NATO to 'turbo-charge' defense spending under Trump”, January 21st 2025, Baha Breaking News
(3) ”Driver in New Orleans terrorist attack acted alone and was ‘100% inspired by ISIS,’ FBI says”, January 3rd 2025, NBC News
(4) ”US Reportedly Shares Intelligence with New Syrian Leadership to Counter ISIS Threats”, January 25th 2025, Algemeiner.com
(5) ”Trump makes 2,000-pound bombs available to Israel, undoing Biden pause”, January 26th 2025, Reuters
(6) The Lithium Triangle, July 9th 2024, Global Business Reports
(7) ”Elon Musk bashes the $500 billion AI project Trump announced, claiming its backers don’t ‘have the money’”, January 22nd 2025, CNN
(8) ”Legal Experts Accuse Trump Admin of ‘Shoddy’ AI Use in Executive Orders”, January 26th 2025, The Daily Beast
(9) ”Trump to global firms: Manufacture in USA or face tariffs”, January 24th 2025, Reuters
(10) ”Nvidia plunges more than 13% on competition from China's DeepSeek”, January 27th 2025, FXStreet
(11) 「台湾などを管轄する中国『東部戦区』代表団と防衛省幹部が会談」、２０２５年１月１７日、テレ朝news
(12) ”Russia and Iran presidents sign partnership treaty in Moscow”, January 17th 2025, Al Jazeera
(13) ” 'Intolerable' US claim sparks new row over Panama Canal”, February 6th 2025, France 24
(14) ”What Pete Hegseth’s hearing tells us about Trump’s plans for the Pentagon”, January 14th 2025, Breaking Defense
(15) "U.S. and China race to shield secrets from quantum computers", December 14th 2023, Reuters
(16) Quantum Technology Monitor, June 2022, McKinsey & Company
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.
Canada, Mexico, Panama, Denmark (Greenland), Japan, Russia and China should not negotiate with the US bilaterally. Otherwise, each country will end up with an unfavorable deal against the US.
Instead, they should unite each other with BRICS, EU and SCO so that they would make a united front against the US.
Being isolated, the US and Israel will collapse politically, economically and diplomatically.
1. The US under Trump is America first
Trump was inaugurated and, as expected, Trump behaves as if the US were the only super power although actually US military power is weak, US economy is weak, and US soft power is non-existent.
Trump took power in Washington, declaring "America's decline is over". What is tragic to the US is that, under Trump, America’s decline will be “accelerated” because the US will be isolated as the rest of the world will unite with China and BRICS plus.
China
If China enters bilateral negotiations with the US, the US will try to use Taiwan as a card for the purpose of gaining economic concession from China.
However, Trump will find China the toughest negotiator because, unlike Trump who decides according to leverages, China decides according to principles. China will never allow Trump to use Taiwan as a card. China is people first unlike Trump who is money first.
Russia
If Russia enters bilateral negotiations with the US, the US would propose that it would stop Ukraine War only on condition that Russia would make concessions on its Arctic oil and gas resources and withdraw from the Middle East.
Russia’s weakness is that it tends to believe it can “do a deal” with the West. Russia made a mistake trusting the West and entering Minsk 2 Agreement in 2015, which allowed the US and NATO to buy time to make a plan and pile up weapons and ammunitions to wage Ukraine War 7 years later.
Looking back upon the history, Stalin’s Soviet Union entered the non-aggression pact with Hitler’s Germany in 1939. The pact was broken when Germany attacked the Soviet Union in 1941, to the surprise of Stalin.
Instead of expecting Trump to help Russia by ending Ukraine War, Russia should strengthen its solidarity with China, which it has already started, holding a video conference between President Vladimir Putin and President Xi Jinping in January 2025. President Xi expressed readiness to work with President Putin in the year ahead to take China-Russia relations to new heights.
[Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin in a video meeting, January 2025]
Europe
Currently, the US is encouraging the far-right of European countries because the US military industrial complex and European defense industries want to intensify confrontation against Russia so that they can make big profits. European far-right would demand to each government increase of defense spending and rejecting cooperation with China.
[Elon Musk appeared via live video link in German far-right AfD’s election campaign event, January 2025][1]
[Alice Weidel, co-leader of AfD, who was nominated as a chancellor candidate]
[Elon Musk is intimate with Italy’s far-right PM Giorgia Meloni]
[Italy’s far-right PM Giorgia Meloni]
European far-right, by its nature, is anti-Russia and anti-China. Italy went away from China’s Belt and Road Initiative.
[Nigel Farage, a leader of Reform UK, which is UK’s far-right populist political party]
Looking back upon the history, the US’s banks supported Nazis financially in 1930s. But, it was done secretly and indirectly. Currently, the US is supporting European far-right openly and directly.
Being enboldened by the US’s support and welcoming Trump’s demand, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said NATO would 'turbo-charge' defense spending under Trump. He must be backed by European defense industries. [2]
[NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte]
The US and EU are “rich-people first”. US and European greedy rich people only seek increasing their wealth as much as possible while keeping poor people remaining poor.
As a result, facing shortage of demand, US and European rich people start a war so as to demand for weapons and anmmunitios and demand for postbellum reconstruction would be created.
The Middle East
In December 2024, there was a terrorist attack and mass murder in New Orleans. FBI said that New Orleans attacker had been inspired by ISIS. [3]
Similar attacks will be repeated in the US and occur in European countries such as Germany and Italy.
It is probable that the US will resume a war against ISIS and, using it as a pretext, invade Syria together with Israel. The real purpose is to seize oil and gas in the Levant and the East Mediterranean.
[A map of fighting that occurred between ISIS and other groups 2020-2024]
Reportedly, the US Shares Intelligence with the new Syrian leadership to counter ISIS threats. [4]
Trump has made 2,000-pound bombs available to Israel, undoing Biden’s pause. [5]
While Israel accepted Gaza truce, it moved its military to West Bank, which is a corridor toward Syria. Israel is also delaying Lebanon withdrawal. Israel is preparing Syria invasion, waiting for a go-sign from Washington.
Obviously, the US is planning to invade Syria together with Israel, using a war against ISIS as a pretext. The real purpose is to seize oil and gas in the Levant and the East Mediterranean.
[Israel’s PM Benjamin Netanyahu and President Donald Trump]
[A map of “Greater Israel”]
[EastMed Pipeline Project]
Pete Hegseth was confirmed by the Senate despite an allegation of his sexual assault. He has been advocating the crusade of the 21st century. In his book "American crusade", he calls for fighting against America's enemies including leftists and Islam.
[The First Crusade (1096–1099) ]
[Pete Hegseth’s book "American crusade" advocates the crusade of the 21st century]
It is likely that the US would organize the crusade consisted of the US, UK, Israel, Germany under CDU/AfD and Italy.
France might join too as Syria was French colony and TOTAL, French oil company, wants oil & gas in Levant.
Greenland and Panama Canal
Trump indicated ambition toward Greenland and Panama Canal, which seems to be his attempt to show US rivalry against China.
Trump is trying to check China and Russia’s influence in the Arctic Sea and, at the same time, hamper trade between South America and China.
Canada and Mexico
Trump announced that he would impose 25% tariffs against goods imported from Canada and Mexico because Trump believes Canada and Mexico are relatively easy counterparts to bully.
South America
A Peruvian right wing politician once said that Peru should invade Bolivia and seize lithium resources there.
[The lithium triangle straddling Chile, Argentina and Bolivia, which holds 56% of the world’s lithium reserves] [6]
Currently, the Peruvian government and the Argentine government are pro-US. The Trump administration might make Peru and Argentina to attack Bolivia from the west and the south to seize lithium resources there.
Peru-Bolivia-Argentina War, if it happens, would disrupt lithium supply, delay the spread of EV and make Chancay smart port closed or even destroyed.
2. China’s counter against the US
AI and its applications
By showing conciliatory posing toward China, Trump is trying to buy time so that so-called “Stargate Project” would be accomplished, which he expects would give him invincible AI power.
Having no knowledge on science much less computer science, Trump must have been scammed by Sam Altman of OpenAI, who is a scam artist swindling money by exaggerating what AI can do.
Probably, Trump is planing to create “Great AI” that can mass-generate billions of pro-US and anti-China comments, articles and papers to manipulate and mislead people’s mind over the Internet.
In order to drive more people toward the Internet, the US would try to shut down or decrease TV stations of foreign countries.
[Trump announced “Stargate Project”, flanked by Masayoshi Son of SoftBank, Larry Ellison of Oracle and Sam Altman of OpenAI]
However, Trump will fail because, as Elon Musk indicates, SoftBank, a major financial contributor for Stargate Project, is out of cash. [7]
China is clever enough to apply AI to manufacturing industries and farming industries and has succeeded in making them super-efficient and super-effective.
For example, this month, President Xi Jinping inspected China’s AI controlled fully automated steel plant in Liaoning Province, China, where high-quality steel plate for EVs is produced. China accounted for 54% of world steel production in 2023
[President Xi Jinping inspected China’s AI controlled fully automated steel plant in Liaoning Province]
China has applied AI to manufacture EVs too. As a result of that, China has succeeded in manufacturing EVs that are more excellent and less expensive than US and European EVs.
[Xiaomi’s AI applied fully automated EV factory]
In contrast, the US’s manufacturing industries are collapsing. President Biden blocked Nippon Steel’s takeover of US Steel, leaving US Steel rusted and outdated.
US Steel would collapse because of failure of being taken over by a Japanese steel company and because of unions that vehemently oppose laying off and firing.
Boeing would collapse too due to its trouble maker 737 Max and its dwindling space department.
Lacking manufacturing industries to which AI would be applied, the US is applying AI to generate legal documents such as contracts or prepare corporate documents.
However, the US’s AI often makes mistakes. For example, it is suspected that lots of executive orders that Trump signed were generated by AI because many of them are marked by errors and unnatural language, making people puzzled. [8]
In fact, Trump had to beg the world to help the US by coming to the US to make products because US manufacturing industries have collapsed. Although he tried to make his WEF speech sound like a threat with tariffs, it was essentially begging by a loser. His rhetoric didn’t work. [9]
Probably, Trump dreams that, if the US has a Great AI system, it would give him great advice as to how to defeat China, Russia, Iran and DPRK to make the US great again. He is wrong because the world will unite against the US. Ironically, Great AI will give him advice "Surrender".
Being isolated, the US and Israel will make wrong policy decisions one after another and eventually collapse.
It’s the economy, stupid!
Besides, China can launch a legal warfare too. Based on her large number of AI patents, China can bring tsunami of AI patent infringement lawsuits against OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle.
[Addendum on AI]
China’s DeepSeek AI has proved that, even in the field of AI, China outperforms the US.
DeepSeek’s AI not only outperforms its US counterparts such as OpenAI's ChatGPT but required far smaller amount to build. OpenAI needed billions of dollars to build its AI. DeepSeek built its AI with just $5.57 million. [10]
The US’s AIs are no match for China’s AIs such as DeepSeek. Why?
Because AIs’ capabilities depend on data they can use to train themselves.
China has enormous data supplied by 1.4 billion Chinese people while American people won’t disclose their data due to privacy concerns.
Also China has abundant data on AI application to industries, which the US hardly has.
China provides more excellent and less expensive products in every field. EVs and DeepSeek are just the beginning. China will provide more excellent and less expensive medicines, education, financial services, flying cars, and on and on and on, driving the Western companies out of markets.
Japan
The US is indeed isolated because one of its most important allies, Japan, has come closer to China under pro-China Ishiba administration of Japan.
Unlike previous pro-US Abe administration and pro-US Kishida administration, the current Ishiba administration of Japan is pro-China.
Japan’s top countries to which it exports and from which it imports are China. Japan’s economy is dependent upon China. Pro-China businesses are getting more and more dominating in Japan than pro-US businesses. These economic situations are reflected to the political sphere, and pro-China Ishiba administration has been established.
[Japanese pro-China PM Shigeru Ishiba and Chinese President Xi Jinping, November 2024]
Japan’s PM Shigeru Ishiba met with President Xi Jinping during APEC meeting in Peru immediately after he had been elected as a PM. Meanwhile, PM Ishiba has not met with Trump yet.
PM Ishiba indicates that he wanted to visit China to meet with President Xi as expeditiously as possible.
When PM Ishiba visits China, President Xi and PM Ishiba would make a joint statement. The joint statement would clearly indicate that Taiwan issue is China’s internal affairs and therefore, if a third country interferes it, it will be interference into other country’s internal affairs and a violation of international law.
PM Ishiba would clearly state that, since Taiwan issue is China’s internal affairs, if a third country intervenes with military force, it would constitute aggression and that Japanese Self Defense Force will never join military operation in case of Taiwan contingencies.
Also, PM Ishiba would indicate reluctance to permit US military to use US bases in Japan to intervene in a Taiwan contingency because, if Japan permits it, Japan will be a battlefield and ruin.
Without using US bases in Japan, it is impossible for US military to conduct operations to intervene in a Taiwan contingency. US military would not be able to do even supplying weapons and ammunitions to combat units.
In January 2025, Chinese generals of PLA Eastern Theater Command visited Japan and had a meeting with senior officials of Japan’s defense ministry.
The Chinese generals inspected Japanese naval base in Maizuru, Kyoto Prefecture on the western coast of Japan. It is likely that Chinese Navy’s warships would make friendly visits to Maizuru before long. [11]
With improving and friendly relations with China as a background, the Ishiba administration of Japan would announce that the procurement of 100 F-35 fighter jets that were ordered under the pro-US Abe administration has become unnecessary and that the procurement should be reduced to 30. The saved money can be allocated for tax reduction, which the Japanese people would welcome.
Europe
China and EU would hold Peace conference on Ukraine where China asserts that, instead of increasing defense spending, Europe should work with China to establish permanent peace in Europe.
[French President Emmanuel Macron and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
China, together with Hungary, Slovakia, Serbia and Bulgaria, would make a joint statement that, for the purpose of establishing lasting permanent peace for Europe and ultimately for the world, Hungary, Slovakia, Serbia and Bulgaria are ready to become neutral states to form a buffer zone between NATO and Russia.
[Hungarian PM Victor Orbán and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić Vučić and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[Slovakian PM Robert Fico and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[A neutral buffer zone should be set up in the eastern part of Poland and the western part of Belarus]
[A vast neutral buffer zone should be established between Russian occupied regions and the western part of Ukraine including Kiev]
[Hungary, Slovakia, Serbia and Bulgaria can become neutral states to form a buffer zone between NATO and Russia]
China can apply pressure to Elon Musk not to encourage right wing parties of Europe. China has a big leverage against Musk because his Tesla can not survive without the sales and profit in the Chinese market.
The Middle East
China, BRICS plus, SCO and Arab countries would make a joint statement in which they flatly reject Trump’s suggestion that Palestine people of Gaza should move to neighboring Arab countries and declare that the two state solution is the only solution.
China, BRICS plus, SCO and Arab countries would impose severe economic sanctions toward Israel to cripple its economy and war capability.
[China’s FM Wang Yi held talks with the delegation of Arab-Islamic foreign ministers, November 2023]
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
[SCO (the Shanghai Cooperation Organization) member states, observer states and dialogue partners]
Russia and Iran has entered a comprehensive strategic partnership. [12]
Russia can supply hypersonic missiles to Hezbollah and Houthis via Iran so that Hezbollah and Houthis will destroy the US and Israel’s military forces and prevent the US and Israel’s aggression and genocide in the Middle East.
[Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian deepened military ties by signing a 20-year strategic partnership, January 2025]
[Russia’s “Tsirkon” hypersonic anti-ship missile]
Greenland
Trump’s stupid ambition toward Greenland is his childish baby-like attempt to show US rivalry against China.
Trump is trying to check China and Russia’s influence in the Arctic Sea in vain.
Trump’s ambition toward Greenland will rather unite EU against the US.
China and EU would make a joint statement on Greenland, in which they confirm solidarity and assert protection of national sovereignty and territorial integrity by all means.
[French President Emmanuel Macron and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
Panama Canal
Likewise, BRICS plus and Panama would make a joint statement, in which they confirm solidarity and assert protection of national sovereignty and territorial integrity by all means.
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
Despite Trump’s attempt to interfere Panama Canal to choke up trade between China and South America, China can increase trade with South America by making most of newly-opened Chancay smart port.
[Chancay smart port, Chancay, Peru]
[Addendum on Panama Canal]
In early February, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio visited Panama, and, under the US’s pressure, Panama’s President agreed to withdraw from China’s Belt and Road Initiative and not to allow Chinese companies to manage Panama’s ports.
However, immediately after the meeting, the US announced that US ships could pass the Panama Canal free of charge, which Panama’s President flatly denied, saying, “Intolerable!” [13]
Panama’s President must have realized the US isn’t trustworthy. He should repeal his “deal” with the US, return to BRI, allow Chinese companies to manage Panama’s ports and join BRICS plus because it is China that is trustworthy.
Africa
South Africa, which is a member of BRICS plus, is going to hold the presidency of the G20 in 2025.
As such, South Africa would represent African nations against the US and rally 19 countries of G20 against the US.
[South Africa President Cyril Ramaphosa (front row left) and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
Central America
Cuba is a partner country of the BRICS plus. As such, Cuba would rally Central American nations against the US.
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
Canada
Canada’s former PM Justin Trudeau was so obedient to the US that Canada was helping Taiwan separatists and Sikh separatists.
Canada arrested Huawei’s CFO and detained her for years.
Canada accused India, alleging involvement of India’s agents in assassination of a Sikh separatist on Canadian soil.
Now that Justin Trudeau resigned as PM, China and India can jointly invite Canada to come closer to their side, making Canada distant from the US.
[Indian PM Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
Mexico
China and BRICS plus extend supportive hands toward Mexico, applying pressure against the US.
[Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and Chinese President Xi Jinping]
[BRICS plus and partner countries]
South America
China can persuade Peru that Peru’s prosperity would lie in its trade and industrialization, not in aggression into Bolivia to seize Bolivia’s lithium resources.
Brazil, which is a member of BRICS plus can check and warn against Argentina not to embark on invading Bolivia.
[Brazil has the strongest military in South America]
Also, Brazil (a member of BRICS plus) and Bolivia (a BRICS plus partner country ) can enter a mutual security treaty.
Logistics warfare
US military’s weak point is its logistics. Surrounded by vast oceans of the Atlantic and the Pacific, the US’s logistics lines are long and weak.
If its logistics lines attacked, the US can do nothing military overseas.
China and Russia should double and triple their submarines. China and Russia should deploy tens of thousands of UUVs (Undersea Unmanned Vehicles) and fleets of UUV & UAV carriers.
[China's first Type 076 amphibious assault ship, the Sichuan, which is also a drone aircraft carrier]
US defense secretary Hegseth stressed that shipbuilding was an urgent national security priority and that he would closely examine plans to reach a 355-ship US Navy and work to accelerate growth.
Being an amatuer, Hegseth focuses upon warships. However, China and Russia’s submarines will target US freight ships, cargo ships and oil tankers, which are easy preys and whose sinkings will cripple the US’s military logistics. [14]
Quantum computer
China should accelerate development of quantum computers.
Under President Xi, China has set clear targets to dominate quantum science. It is spending more than any other country on quantum research. In a June 2023 report, McKinsey & Company estimated that Beijing had a cumulative $15.3 billion in funding for quantum research, more than 8 times of the US's $1.9 billion. [15][16]
Now, what could happen if China achieves quantum computing combined with AI faster than any other country?
As soon as China achieves quantum computing combined with AI, China would be able to have 100 million times faster computing power than the existing super computers, which would enable China to break any secret codes whether military of civilian.
So, if she likes, China could hack and penetrate into other countries' major computers used for research and development of quantum computing and erase all the data stored there. That would enable China to be the only country in the world that has the enormous power of quantum computing combined with AI.
Then, China could hack and penetrate into the US's military systems and make all the US military systems inoperative. For the purpose of proving that China has accomplished it, she can make some demonstrations.
For example, China can detonate one of nuclear missiles in silos buried in South Dakota, the US, which would prove China can detonate any nuclear missiles of the US.
Conclusion
In late January 2025, President Xi Jinping visited and inspected Zhujiagou Village, Suizhong County of Huludao City, northeast China's Liaoning Province.
The village was affected by flood and houses were destroyed in Summer 2024.
Now, the villagers have moved to newly-built houses. President Xi Jinping said, “We have always put the people first." President Xi said, "The people can always count on the Party and the government in their most difficult times.”
President Xi Jinping visited a food market in Shenyang, capital city of Liaoning Province, where local people came to procure foods for Spring festival.
A girl presented a candy to President Xi Jinping. He replies, “The candy makes my heart sweet. I wish your future would be as sweet as a candy.”
When Trump was inaugurated, he invited lots of super riches to the ceremony. But, he invited no white poor that voted for him with wishing a better life. In the Western democracy, politicians incite poor people’s expectations but do nothing for them.
The US is America first. The US is super riches first.
Israel is by its nature only Jews first. The Old Testament says their god loves only Jewish people, ignoring other races.
The US and Israel represent only 5% of the world population.
China is people first and the mankind first. China-led mankind front will overwhelm the US and Israel.
Thank you.
References:
(1) ”Elon Musk makes surprise appearance at AfD event in eastern Germany”, January 25th 2025, The Guardian
(2) ”Rutte: NATO to 'turbo-charge' defense spending under Trump”, January 21st 2025, Baha Breaking News
(3) ”Driver in New Orleans terrorist attack acted alone and was ‘100% inspired by ISIS,’ FBI says”, January 3rd 2025, NBC News
(4) ”US Reportedly Shares Intelligence with New Syrian Leadership to Counter ISIS Threats”, January 25th 2025, Algemeiner.com
(5) ”Trump makes 2,000-pound bombs available to Israel, undoing Biden pause”, January 26th 2025, Reuters
(6) The Lithium Triangle, July 9th 2024, Global Business Reports
(7) ”Elon Musk bashes the $500 billion AI project Trump announced, claiming its backers don’t ‘have the money’”, January 22nd 2025, CNN
(8) ”Legal Experts Accuse Trump Admin of ‘Shoddy’ AI Use in Executive Orders”, January 26th 2025, The Daily Beast
(9) ”Trump to global firms: Manufacture in USA or face tariffs”, January 24th 2025, Reuters
(10) ”Nvidia plunges more than 13% on competition from China's DeepSeek”, January 27th 2025, FXStreet
(11) 「台湾などを管轄する中国『東部戦区』代表団と防衛省幹部が会談」、２０２５年１月１７日、テレ朝news
(12) ”Russia and Iran presidents sign partnership treaty in Moscow”, January 17th 2025, Al Jazeera
(13) ” 'Intolerable' US claim sparks new row over Panama Canal”, February 6th 2025, France 24
(14) ”What Pete Hegseth’s hearing tells us about Trump’s plans for the Pentagon”, January 14th 2025, Breaking Defense
(15) "U.S. and China race to shield secrets from quantum computers", December 14th 2023, Reuters
(16) Quantum Technology Monitor, June 2022, McKinsey & Company
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.