1. The US's concentrating its warships and warplanes in the Middle East

After the assassination of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh, Israel is fearing Iran's large-scale retaliation. So, the US has been sending warships and warplanes to the Middle East, claiming it would protect Israel.

The US's aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln is being sent to the Middle East. Another aircraft carrier USS Harry S. Truman is expected to join.



[USS Abraham Lincoln]


[USS Harry S. Truman with a replenishment oiler]

Also, The US's amphibious assault ship USS Wasp, amphibious transport dock USS New York and dock landing ship USS Oak Hill are currently in the Eastern Mediterranean too.


[USS Wasp]


As a result, the US's warships including aircraft carriers are to be concentrated in the very narrow area of the Red Sea and the Mediterranean.

The US is concentrating its warplanes in the Middle East too.

This will give Russia a once-in-hundred years opportunity to severely punish and retaliate against the US.


2. Russia can lease its missiles to Iran and, ultimately, the Houthis and the Hezbollah

Russia should lease Tsircon hypersonic anti-ship missiles and RPK-6 missile torpedoes together with Russian volunteer operators to Iran. Then, Iran would transfer them to the Houthis and the Hezbollah.


[Russia's Tsirkon hypersonic anti-ship missile]

The US has not hypersonic missiles deployed, much less defense against hypersonic missiles.

By Tsircon hypersonic anti-ship missiles and RPK-6 missile torpedoes, US aircraft carriers and submarines in the Red Sea and the Mediterranean will be sunk one after another.


[USS Abraham Lincoln]




[Missile torpedoes detect and kill submarines]

The world will be impressed with the US's warships hastily escaping away from the Middle East leaving Israel without support and isolated.


In addition, Russia can lease its S-400 anti-air and anti-missile defense systems to Iran. Then, Iran can transfer them to the Houthis and the Hezbollah . Russian volunteer technicians will operate the systems.


[Russia's S-400 anti-air and anti-missile defense systems]

S-400 will shoot down F/A-18s launched from US aircraft carriers. F/A-18s are not stealth fighters. So, they are easy preys for S-400. Also, S-400 will shoot down Tomahawk missiles launched from US submarines. Tomahawk missiles fly at subsonic speed. So, they are easy preys for S-400.


Russia can use Iran, the Hezbollah and Houthis as its proxies to attack the US. Since Russia itself does not directly attack the US, the US would never be able to retaliate against Russia. After all, Russia is under the maximum sanctions by the US and EU. Russia has nothing to lose.


3. Ramification to Taiwan contingencies

If the US loses two to three aircraft carriers, it will never be able to freely deploy aircraft carriers to various regions ever again. The US has only 11 aircraft carriers and the half of them have to be in docks for maintenance works. The loss of two or three aircraft carriers would make the US unable to carry out overseas aircraft carrier operations. US aircraft carriers would have to sail only near the coasts of the US mainland. That's exactly the area US aircraft carriers should stay.



Then, it means the US Navy would never be able to intervene in a Taiwan war if the war breaks out. Being cowardly, Japan would never deploy its naval forces to intervene in a Taiwan war without the US Navy.

Moreover, China has her own hypersonic anti-ship missiles DF-100 and missile torpedoes. China can purchase S-400 anti-air defense systems from Russia too.

Thus, China would be able to accelerate and complete a peaceful reunification of China and Taiwan.


4. Further ramification

If even the Houthis, which is an organization based upon the local tribe, and the Hezbollah, which is a militant group, can destroy the US's aircraft carriers, submarines and warplanes, it means any country can destroy the US’s warships and warplanes. The US’s military hegemony, which the US believes it still has, will be broken apart.

The Western countries’ centuries of imperialistic aggression and suppression will be finished. Relations between countries will become fair and equal based upon win-win relations and mutual respect.


The tide of the peace and stability will once again prevail and remain throughout the Middle East under the leadership and auspices of China, BRICS, SCO and the Global South.

Thank you.


Reference:
(1) “Carrier USS Abraham Lincoln Heads to Middle East as Iran Threatens Strikes Against Israel”, August 2nd 2024, USNI News


Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.