Since the defeat in the Second World War, Japan has had only defensive weapons. So, Russia and China have not attacked Japan.
But, if Japan acquires offensive weapons, Russia and China will make preemptive attacks against Japan because they know Japan is under the control of the US and will surely be ordered to use the offensive weapons against Russia and China.
1. Japan’s Nuclear Submarines, Nuclear Sharing, Constitution Revision
Japanese former prime minister Shinzo Abe is advocating that Japan should share nuclear weapons with the US.
He demands that Japan’s defense budget should increase to as much as 2% of its GDP.
He also has been asserting that the Japan’s pacifist Constitution should be revised so that Japan can wage a war.
Ruling LDP (the Liberal Democratic Party) is trying to revise the Japan’s pacifist Constitution so that articles on the Japanese Self Defense Forces would be inserted therein so as to invalidate existing articles of renunciation of war and non-retention of offensive military forces.
In addition, Yuichiro Tamaki, the leader of the Democratic Party for the People (DPFP), has proposed that Japan should start considering retention of nuclear submarines to cope with China, Russia and North Korea. He says that nuclear submarines have higher survivability than diesel submarines.
When you combine these arguments, you can see what the Japanese conservatives envisage. They want to arm Japan with nuclear submarines that can launch SLBMs (submarine launched ballistic missiles) with nuclear warheads.
Also, Rand Corporation, the most influential US think tank in the area of national security, indicates that…
/quote/
Should the United States continue to pursue GBIRMs (ground based intermediate range missiles) for the Indo-Pacific, the strategy most likely to succeed would be helping Japan develop an arsenal of ground-based, anti-ship missile capabilities.
This would be the first step in a longer-term U.S. strategy to encourage Japan to procure similar missiles with longer ranges.
/unquote/ [1]
The US wants to contain China. But, at the same time, it wants to avoid waging a war directly against China because it may evolve into a nuclear war and it would damage US businesses operating in China.
Thus, the US has decided to employs so-called “offshore balancing strategy”. In other words, the US wants regional allies, in this case, Japan to wage a proxy war against China for the US just like the US uses Ukraine as a proxy to draw Russia into a military conflict.
2. Russian and Chinese Preemptive Attacks
However, Shinzo Abe and other Japanese conservative politicians who advocate on nuclear weapons, nuclear submarines and revising the constitution don’t know the reality.
The reality is that, if Japan starts building nuclear submarines and making nuclear weapons, Russia and China will never acquiesce but launch preemptive attacks against Japan.
Since the defeat in the Second World War, Japan has had only defensive weapons. So, Russia and China have not attacked Japan.
But, if Japan acquires offensive weapons, Russia and China will make preemptive attacks against Japan because they know Japan is under the control of the US and will surely be ordered to use the offensive weapons against Russia and China.
If Japan initiates constructing nuclear submarines or sharing nuclear bombs, Russia and China will launch warning missiles into the Sea of Japan and Japan’s territorial waters.
If Japan doesn’t stop, Russia and China will launch warning missiles into Tokyo Bay.
If, even after Russia and China’s warning missiles into Tokyo Bay, Japan still doesn’t give up nuclear submarines and nuclear bombs, then Russia will launch missiles to barren uninhibited areas of Hokkaido (northern large island of Japan). And, China will provoke Japan over Senkaku Islands in the Sea of Japan to lure in Japan’s warships and sink Japan’s Aegis destroyers with hypersonic missiles.
The US will never intervene the conflict, fearing Russia and China’s hypersonic missiles and regarding Hokkaido and Senkaku Islands as non-critical issues for US national interests. Without US help, Japan will give up nuclear submarines and nuclear bombs.
3. Russian and Chinese Diplomatic Pressure
Before Russia and China resort to military measures, they will apply diplomatic pressure on Japan to let it give up its attempt on acquiring nuclear submarines and sharing nuclear weapons.
As Japan depends upon international trade, it is vulnerable to foreign pressure. Russia and China, together with “BRICS plus” and Asian, African, Pacific, Central & South American countries, would demand Japan should give up its attempt to acquire nuclear submarines and share nuclear weapons.
Also, Russia and China, together with “BRICS plus” and Asian, African, Pacific, Central & South American countries, can demand Japan that it should support a peaceful reunification of China and Taiwan so as to maintain peace and stability in Asia.
Facing pressure from worldwide nations, Japan will give up nuclear submarines and nuclear bombs. Japan will support a peaceful reunification of China and Taiwan.
Thank you.
Reference:
(1) Ground-Based Intermediate-Range Missiles in the Indo-Pacific, 2022, RAND Corporation
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.
But, if Japan acquires offensive weapons, Russia and China will make preemptive attacks against Japan because they know Japan is under the control of the US and will surely be ordered to use the offensive weapons against Russia and China.
1. Japan’s Nuclear Submarines, Nuclear Sharing, Constitution Revision
Japanese former prime minister Shinzo Abe is advocating that Japan should share nuclear weapons with the US.
He demands that Japan’s defense budget should increase to as much as 2% of its GDP.
He also has been asserting that the Japan’s pacifist Constitution should be revised so that Japan can wage a war.
Ruling LDP (the Liberal Democratic Party) is trying to revise the Japan’s pacifist Constitution so that articles on the Japanese Self Defense Forces would be inserted therein so as to invalidate existing articles of renunciation of war and non-retention of offensive military forces.
In addition, Yuichiro Tamaki, the leader of the Democratic Party for the People (DPFP), has proposed that Japan should start considering retention of nuclear submarines to cope with China, Russia and North Korea. He says that nuclear submarines have higher survivability than diesel submarines.
When you combine these arguments, you can see what the Japanese conservatives envisage. They want to arm Japan with nuclear submarines that can launch SLBMs (submarine launched ballistic missiles) with nuclear warheads.
Also, Rand Corporation, the most influential US think tank in the area of national security, indicates that…
/quote/
Should the United States continue to pursue GBIRMs (ground based intermediate range missiles) for the Indo-Pacific, the strategy most likely to succeed would be helping Japan develop an arsenal of ground-based, anti-ship missile capabilities.
This would be the first step in a longer-term U.S. strategy to encourage Japan to procure similar missiles with longer ranges.
/unquote/ [1]
The US wants to contain China. But, at the same time, it wants to avoid waging a war directly against China because it may evolve into a nuclear war and it would damage US businesses operating in China.
Thus, the US has decided to employs so-called “offshore balancing strategy”. In other words, the US wants regional allies, in this case, Japan to wage a proxy war against China for the US just like the US uses Ukraine as a proxy to draw Russia into a military conflict.
2. Russian and Chinese Preemptive Attacks
However, Shinzo Abe and other Japanese conservative politicians who advocate on nuclear weapons, nuclear submarines and revising the constitution don’t know the reality.
The reality is that, if Japan starts building nuclear submarines and making nuclear weapons, Russia and China will never acquiesce but launch preemptive attacks against Japan.
Since the defeat in the Second World War, Japan has had only defensive weapons. So, Russia and China have not attacked Japan.
But, if Japan acquires offensive weapons, Russia and China will make preemptive attacks against Japan because they know Japan is under the control of the US and will surely be ordered to use the offensive weapons against Russia and China.
If Japan initiates constructing nuclear submarines or sharing nuclear bombs, Russia and China will launch warning missiles into the Sea of Japan and Japan’s territorial waters.
If Japan doesn’t stop, Russia and China will launch warning missiles into Tokyo Bay.
If, even after Russia and China’s warning missiles into Tokyo Bay, Japan still doesn’t give up nuclear submarines and nuclear bombs, then Russia will launch missiles to barren uninhibited areas of Hokkaido (northern large island of Japan). And, China will provoke Japan over Senkaku Islands in the Sea of Japan to lure in Japan’s warships and sink Japan’s Aegis destroyers with hypersonic missiles.
The US will never intervene the conflict, fearing Russia and China’s hypersonic missiles and regarding Hokkaido and Senkaku Islands as non-critical issues for US national interests. Without US help, Japan will give up nuclear submarines and nuclear bombs.
3. Russian and Chinese Diplomatic Pressure
Before Russia and China resort to military measures, they will apply diplomatic pressure on Japan to let it give up its attempt on acquiring nuclear submarines and sharing nuclear weapons.
As Japan depends upon international trade, it is vulnerable to foreign pressure. Russia and China, together with “BRICS plus” and Asian, African, Pacific, Central & South American countries, would demand Japan should give up its attempt to acquire nuclear submarines and share nuclear weapons.
Also, Russia and China, together with “BRICS plus” and Asian, African, Pacific, Central & South American countries, can demand Japan that it should support a peaceful reunification of China and Taiwan so as to maintain peace and stability in Asia.
Facing pressure from worldwide nations, Japan will give up nuclear submarines and nuclear bombs. Japan will support a peaceful reunification of China and Taiwan.
Thank you.
Reference:
(1) Ground-Based Intermediate-Range Missiles in the Indo-Pacific, 2022, RAND Corporation
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.