From 1990s to 2020, NATO increased its member states from 16 to 30, expanding eastward. Now, NATO is about to invite Ukraine and Georgia to join. If Ukraine joins NATO and NATO's missiles are deployed there, the missiles will reach Moscow within 5 minutes. Russia can never tolerate it.
On the other hand, The U.S. begins to treat Taiwan as if it were an independent state. US high ranking officials and members of US Congress visit Taiwan. The Biden administration invited Taiwan to its so-called Democracy Summit. It has been revealed that US military advisers have been staying in Taiwan for decades. China never tolerates the independence of Taiwan.
Under these circumstances, Russia is preparing for taking Ukraine by force. China is preparing reunite Taiwan by force. If Russia and China embark upon forceful operations simultaneously, the U.S., NATO and US allies can never cope with them. That's exactly the reason why simultaneous military actions by Russia and China are likely to happen as early as the spring of 2022 immediately after the Beijing Winter Olympic Games.
Russian operation will start with attack against US/NATO military satellites and GPS satellites. Russia will deny US allegation of Russian attack on US/NATO satellites.
Also, Russia will launch large-scale cyber attacks against Ukraine, the U.S. and member states of NATO.
Then Russia will launch cruise missiles and hypersonic cruise missiles to attack Ukraine military headquarters, command posts and communication sites, military bases and airfields.
Russia will apply powerful jamming over Ukraine. As a result of that, Ukraine military units will not be able to communicate with command posts and each other.
Russia will claim it is a defensive war pursuant to Article 51 of the UN Charter, fighting against NATO's virtual eastward aggression upon which Russia had asked for stoppage but NATO didn't listen.
Russian land operation will start with attack by swarm of drones against Ukraine tanks and combat vehicles. Thousands of Ukraine tanks and combat vehicles will be destroyed from the air.
Ukraine land being cleared of Ukraine tanks and combat vehicles, Russian tank battalions will sweep, marching deep into Ukraine, and take Odessa. Losing Odessa, Ukraine will become landlocked state.
Belarus already pledged that Minsk wouldn’t stand aside if war breaks out on Russia’s border. Belarus tank battalions will march into northern-west Ukraine and meet with Russian tank battalions at Kiev and the Dnieper River.
Russian-Belarus combined ground forces would reach their operational objectives in as little as seventy-two hours.
NATO forces will not be able to make effective counter-operations against Russia-Belarus combined forces because there will be chasm between 12 founding members of NATO and newly joined members of NATO.
The U.S. and UK forces will stay in the rear while they will order former Soviet-block states such as the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Bulgaria and Romania to deploy their forces in the frontline. Hungary will openly defy the order.
After the Russian successful operation over Ukraine, Hungary, Rumania and Bulgaria will decide to leave NATO and sign military treaties with Russia.
On the other hand, in the Asian theater, China will simultaneously launch reunification with Taiwan by force.
The operation will start not in Taiwan area but in Korean Peninsula.
North Korean forces and South Korean forces at the border area will start a skirmish, exchanging shooting each other.
Then, within a few days, the clash will escalate into a large-scale military conflict as North Korean forces start bombardment against South Korean forces with heavy artilleries.
South Korean air force will carry out air bombardment against North Korean forces.
Both North Korea and South korea will declare that the Armistice is broken. The Second Korean War will start.
Then, Mutual Defense Treaty Between the United States and the Republic of Korea will bring the U.S. into the conflict. Also, Japan will be brought into the conflict under her Security Legislation which obligates Japan to support the U.S.
On the other hand, Sino-North Korean Mutual Aid and Cooperation Friendship Treaty will bring China into the conflict.
As a result, China and North Korea will be technically and legally at war against the U.S., Japan and South Korea.
North Korea will launch a hypersonic missile to the territorial waters of Japan as a warning to Japan.
US air force and US land force stationed in South Korea will never be able to be diverted to the Taiwan crisis.
Under these circumstances, China will embark upon reunification with Taiwan by force.
China will start with attack against US military satellites and GPS satellites.
US GPS satellites being destroyed, US forces, Japanese forces and Australian forces will not be able to have positioning information.
US communication satellites being destroyed, US forces, Japanese forces and Australian forces will not be able to communicate each other and within themselves.
Also, China will launch large-scale cyber attacks against Taiwan, the U.S., Japan and Australia.
China will apply powerful jamming over Taiwan and Japan too.
Then, China will launch thousands of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, hypersonic cruise missiles and hypersonic gliding vehicles toward Taiwan's government area, military headquarters, command posts, communication sites, military bases and airfields.
At the same time, US Air Force Bases in Japan such as Kadena Air base and Iwakuni Air Base will be attacked by China's ballistic and cruise missiles. Air supremacy over Taiwan area will be secured by PLA.
Japanese Aegis destroyers and aircraft carriers deployed near Taiwan to intervene China's operation will be destroyed as well by PLA's anti-ship hypersonic cruise missiles.
China will declare, "the Taiwan issue is China's internal affair. Therefore, if external forces intervene the Taiwan issue militarily, it would mean aggression, and China would wage a defensive war pursuant to the Article 51 of the UN Charter, attacking aggressors severely and hard."
The Japanese government, having known they are powerless against overwhelming PLA forces, will declare that Taiwan issue is China's internal affair and that Japan is to remain neutral.
US and Australian surface warships will never be able to come close to Taiwan, fearing PLA's anti-ship hypersonic cruise missiles.
Thus, US and Australian Navies will deploy their cruise missile submarines and attack submarines to attack China.
US cruise missile submarines and attack submarines will launch Tomahawk cruise missiles. However, Tomahawk cruise missiles fly at slow speed of subsonic. So, they will be intercepted by S-400 air defense systems that China imported from Russia. China's military bases and airfields will remain intact.
Also, China will apply acoustic jamming toward US and Australian submarines. As a result of that, many US and Australian submarines collide with undersea mountains. When they float to the surface, they will become easy prey for PLA's anti-submarine helicopters and anti-submarine missiles.
Meanwhile, China will lay thousands of mines around Taiwan. China's warships will surround Taiwan to apply blockade. [1]
PLA special operations forces will be sent in by hundreds of helicopters and seize important high grounds behind landing beaches. [2]
Thousands of PLA paratroopers will land to attack beach bunkers and coastal defenses from behind, cutting supply lines of Taiwan forces.
Then, China will launch major amphibious operation to land Taiwan, mobilizing hundreds of warships and thousands of private ships to carry hundreds of thousands of PLA troops.
The Chinese fleet will be protected by S-400 air defense systems mounted on the decks of container ships. The Chinese fleet will remain intact.
Without support of US forces, Taiwan military forces' will to fight will vanish. Taiwan military forces will stage a coup to oust the DPP government. The Taiwan President and other cabinet members will be put into custody.
A new Taiwan government will be established by pro-China politicians, and the new Taiwan government will surrender to China.
Taiwan will become one of China's provinces, being a part of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics, and accept China's whole-process people's democracy under CPC leadership.
Japan, realizing that China is "the" power in Asia, will decide to withdraw from the US-Japan security treaty and declare to be a neutral nation.
Under the auspices of China and Russia, North Korea and South Korea will cease fire and start a talk to unify. In response to South Korea's request, US military forces will withdraw from South Korea. The Unified Koreas will be connected to China's Belt and Road Initiative and prosper.
The U.S. and UK will impose economic sanctions against Russia and China. However, it will rather facilitate China's electronic currency to become major international currency, being used for China’s trade with Asia, Africa and Russia. US dollar will lose its status as major international currency.
Thank you.
References:
(1) "Mines Will Be Critical in a U.S.-China Naval Conflict" by Lyle Goldstein, August 28th 2020, The National Interest
(2) "Stop counting warships. China's special-operations forces are Taiwan's real problem" by Lyle Goldstein, January 3rd 2022, INSIDER
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.
On the other hand, The U.S. begins to treat Taiwan as if it were an independent state. US high ranking officials and members of US Congress visit Taiwan. The Biden administration invited Taiwan to its so-called Democracy Summit. It has been revealed that US military advisers have been staying in Taiwan for decades. China never tolerates the independence of Taiwan.
Under these circumstances, Russia is preparing for taking Ukraine by force. China is preparing reunite Taiwan by force. If Russia and China embark upon forceful operations simultaneously, the U.S., NATO and US allies can never cope with them. That's exactly the reason why simultaneous military actions by Russia and China are likely to happen as early as the spring of 2022 immediately after the Beijing Winter Olympic Games.
Russian operation will start with attack against US/NATO military satellites and GPS satellites. Russia will deny US allegation of Russian attack on US/NATO satellites.
Also, Russia will launch large-scale cyber attacks against Ukraine, the U.S. and member states of NATO.
Then Russia will launch cruise missiles and hypersonic cruise missiles to attack Ukraine military headquarters, command posts and communication sites, military bases and airfields.
Russia will apply powerful jamming over Ukraine. As a result of that, Ukraine military units will not be able to communicate with command posts and each other.
Russia will claim it is a defensive war pursuant to Article 51 of the UN Charter, fighting against NATO's virtual eastward aggression upon which Russia had asked for stoppage but NATO didn't listen.
Russian land operation will start with attack by swarm of drones against Ukraine tanks and combat vehicles. Thousands of Ukraine tanks and combat vehicles will be destroyed from the air.
Ukraine land being cleared of Ukraine tanks and combat vehicles, Russian tank battalions will sweep, marching deep into Ukraine, and take Odessa. Losing Odessa, Ukraine will become landlocked state.
Belarus already pledged that Minsk wouldn’t stand aside if war breaks out on Russia’s border. Belarus tank battalions will march into northern-west Ukraine and meet with Russian tank battalions at Kiev and the Dnieper River.
Russian-Belarus combined ground forces would reach their operational objectives in as little as seventy-two hours.
NATO forces will not be able to make effective counter-operations against Russia-Belarus combined forces because there will be chasm between 12 founding members of NATO and newly joined members of NATO.
The U.S. and UK forces will stay in the rear while they will order former Soviet-block states such as the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Bulgaria and Romania to deploy their forces in the frontline. Hungary will openly defy the order.
After the Russian successful operation over Ukraine, Hungary, Rumania and Bulgaria will decide to leave NATO and sign military treaties with Russia.
On the other hand, in the Asian theater, China will simultaneously launch reunification with Taiwan by force.
The operation will start not in Taiwan area but in Korean Peninsula.
North Korean forces and South Korean forces at the border area will start a skirmish, exchanging shooting each other.
Then, within a few days, the clash will escalate into a large-scale military conflict as North Korean forces start bombardment against South Korean forces with heavy artilleries.
South Korean air force will carry out air bombardment against North Korean forces.
Both North Korea and South korea will declare that the Armistice is broken. The Second Korean War will start.
Then, Mutual Defense Treaty Between the United States and the Republic of Korea will bring the U.S. into the conflict. Also, Japan will be brought into the conflict under her Security Legislation which obligates Japan to support the U.S.
On the other hand, Sino-North Korean Mutual Aid and Cooperation Friendship Treaty will bring China into the conflict.
As a result, China and North Korea will be technically and legally at war against the U.S., Japan and South Korea.
North Korea will launch a hypersonic missile to the territorial waters of Japan as a warning to Japan.
US air force and US land force stationed in South Korea will never be able to be diverted to the Taiwan crisis.
Under these circumstances, China will embark upon reunification with Taiwan by force.
China will start with attack against US military satellites and GPS satellites.
US GPS satellites being destroyed, US forces, Japanese forces and Australian forces will not be able to have positioning information.
US communication satellites being destroyed, US forces, Japanese forces and Australian forces will not be able to communicate each other and within themselves.
Also, China will launch large-scale cyber attacks against Taiwan, the U.S., Japan and Australia.
China will apply powerful jamming over Taiwan and Japan too.
Then, China will launch thousands of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, hypersonic cruise missiles and hypersonic gliding vehicles toward Taiwan's government area, military headquarters, command posts, communication sites, military bases and airfields.
At the same time, US Air Force Bases in Japan such as Kadena Air base and Iwakuni Air Base will be attacked by China's ballistic and cruise missiles. Air supremacy over Taiwan area will be secured by PLA.
Japanese Aegis destroyers and aircraft carriers deployed near Taiwan to intervene China's operation will be destroyed as well by PLA's anti-ship hypersonic cruise missiles.
China will declare, "the Taiwan issue is China's internal affair. Therefore, if external forces intervene the Taiwan issue militarily, it would mean aggression, and China would wage a defensive war pursuant to the Article 51 of the UN Charter, attacking aggressors severely and hard."
The Japanese government, having known they are powerless against overwhelming PLA forces, will declare that Taiwan issue is China's internal affair and that Japan is to remain neutral.
US and Australian surface warships will never be able to come close to Taiwan, fearing PLA's anti-ship hypersonic cruise missiles.
Thus, US and Australian Navies will deploy their cruise missile submarines and attack submarines to attack China.
US cruise missile submarines and attack submarines will launch Tomahawk cruise missiles. However, Tomahawk cruise missiles fly at slow speed of subsonic. So, they will be intercepted by S-400 air defense systems that China imported from Russia. China's military bases and airfields will remain intact.
Also, China will apply acoustic jamming toward US and Australian submarines. As a result of that, many US and Australian submarines collide with undersea mountains. When they float to the surface, they will become easy prey for PLA's anti-submarine helicopters and anti-submarine missiles.
Meanwhile, China will lay thousands of mines around Taiwan. China's warships will surround Taiwan to apply blockade. [1]
PLA special operations forces will be sent in by hundreds of helicopters and seize important high grounds behind landing beaches. [2]
Thousands of PLA paratroopers will land to attack beach bunkers and coastal defenses from behind, cutting supply lines of Taiwan forces.
Then, China will launch major amphibious operation to land Taiwan, mobilizing hundreds of warships and thousands of private ships to carry hundreds of thousands of PLA troops.
The Chinese fleet will be protected by S-400 air defense systems mounted on the decks of container ships. The Chinese fleet will remain intact.
Without support of US forces, Taiwan military forces' will to fight will vanish. Taiwan military forces will stage a coup to oust the DPP government. The Taiwan President and other cabinet members will be put into custody.
A new Taiwan government will be established by pro-China politicians, and the new Taiwan government will surrender to China.
Taiwan will become one of China's provinces, being a part of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics, and accept China's whole-process people's democracy under CPC leadership.
Japan, realizing that China is "the" power in Asia, will decide to withdraw from the US-Japan security treaty and declare to be a neutral nation.
Under the auspices of China and Russia, North Korea and South Korea will cease fire and start a talk to unify. In response to South Korea's request, US military forces will withdraw from South Korea. The Unified Koreas will be connected to China's Belt and Road Initiative and prosper.
The U.S. and UK will impose economic sanctions against Russia and China. However, it will rather facilitate China's electronic currency to become major international currency, being used for China’s trade with Asia, Africa and Russia. US dollar will lose its status as major international currency.
Thank you.
References:
(1) "Mines Will Be Critical in a U.S.-China Naval Conflict" by Lyle Goldstein, August 28th 2020, The National Interest
(2) "Stop counting warships. China's special-operations forces are Taiwan's real problem" by Lyle Goldstein, January 3rd 2022, INSIDER
Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not reflect nor represent the policy or position of any government, party, or organization.