When I advised about the significant electricity shortage in the eastern part of Japan to my German friend who is in charge of solar power in the German federal government, he sent back to me very detailed and comprehensive suggestions on the reconstruction of Japan through installations of a large number of solar panels.


$Intrepidのブログ


As his proposal is so excellent and practical, let me show his mails here in their entirety. He kindly provided his permission to me to publicize his mails on my blog.


$Intrepidのブログ


Thank you.



March 28, 2011

Dear M-san,

Thank you for your email in such dramatic times.
Every day we are following the horrible situation in Fukushima with our deepest concerns and regrets.
We stand on your side, learning and realizing more and more about our absolute helplessness towards such nuclear catastrophes - as well as about our obvious overestimation of our own capabilities in controlling the deathly risk of nuclear power.
Let me once more express my deepest commiseration to you and the people in Japan. Our thoughts are with you everyday.

Now, coming to your suggestion of strongly and fastly encouraging the installtion PV, I really think this is a great approach. I see the same reasons like you why this makes absolutely sense:

1. Installing PV is fast and easy: Building a 1GW nuclear power plant takes about 10 years - Germany just installed 2 GW of PV in June!!
2. Many houses need to be rebuilt anyway. In this constellation, the PV system owner could save a lot of installation costs by installing the PV system togehter with the new roof - or as a building-integrated solution.

In order to create a sophisticated infrastructure for such market expansion, I think the bottleneck is not so much the modules but rather the local PV infrastructure (Financing, Legislation, Installers). Japan has very high PV production capacities and is home to producers with the highest quality standards and R&D history of the World (Sharp, Kypocera). Also, you have the largest battery and energy storage companies worldwide (Panasonic/Sanyo). Thus, a new Japanese PV promotion program could also aim on supporting local companies and create economic sability and jobs, this is especially important in times like these. At the same time, as lots of new electricity lines and grids will have to be rebuilt, smart grid, smart home and storage technologies could be implented at low costs! This should be encouraged in line with a PV promotion. These actions could boost Japan to the forerunner of renewable energy and efficeint/intelligent energy distribution and storage in very short time! Yes, it is costly, but it is an investment in your future - and many people forget: This investment will pay off in a few years (in Germany in less than 10 years)!! Afterer taking the big hurdle of high capital costs, renewable energies (including PV) can be operated at the lowest operational costs per kWh and guaratee price stability over the very long-term for the whole country.

Concerning the fast and strong development of the Japanese PV infrastructure, I think the following three levels of action are important:

1. Financing: Japanese governmental banks should offer cheap loans for the reconstruction of destroyed houes and porperty. In this political frame, a special loan program for PV systems (like the program of German govermental bank KfW) should be implemented and strongly promooted, offering long-term depth of up to 20 years (by this, house-owners do not have to pay a high monthly fee).

2. Legislation: Apart form the FIT program, easy and fast grid-connection is essential (I don't know about current situation in JP). In order to further promote PV, the goverment should start international tenders for PV projects (starting with all roofs that belong to the government: govermental buildings, schools, police stations, fire stations, airports, hospitals, main stations, etc.). We as GTAI - as well as other tarde organisations worldwide - would immediately publish these tenders among all domestic PV companies!

3. Installers: In order to further increase the number of PV systems, more installers are needed. Therefore, electricians and roofers should be trainend accordingly. The government could organize and finance these training courses (which again will create employment - not for the large powerfull enterprises like TEPCO but for thousands of small and independent business owners like all the electricians and roofers all over the country). International cooperation partners in this regards could be trade chambers or institutes for technical cooperation (e.g. German GTZ or AHK).

Let me know about your thoughts and how we can put this togehter. We are there for you for any support or immediate action!
I will also keep working on these thoughts the next hours, maybe we can braisntorm more actions.

Best regards, T



March 29, 2011

Dear M-san,

Thank you for your kind words! I would be delighted if you published the suggestions on your blog or forwarded my email. It is no problem to state my name. Thank you for your concern in this regard!

It is great to hear that Kanagawa prefecture is proposing to go forward in providing solar-installer jobs! This goes in the absolute right direction.
I think providing the PV-loans and financing options are the most important factor. I know that the German governmental bank KfWis providing some loans also for non-domestic projects, but I guess not in a scale that you would need for Japan... Anyway this is maybe a topic, where Japanese gov. banks could get some advice and best practice examples on how to roll out such programs for the whole society of a country (as I am sure, KfW made lots of mistakes at the beginning and gained a lot of experience on how to handle such programs - this experience should be transferred to Japan).

In the attachment, please find our latest PV presentation including the monthly installation numbers (which quite impressively illustrates what is possible to install in short time!!)

Please let me know how we could support you further in this regard.
When thinks would become concrete and you would need us to deliver more facts or come to Japan to present to an audience, we will be there for you anytime!!

Best regards, T


$Intrepidのブログ


先日、大震災による東日本の電力不足の状況について、ドイツ連邦政府で太陽電池を担当している友人にメールで伝えたところ、彼から、折り返し、太陽電池設置を柱とする、東日本復興のためのきわめて具体的かつ包括的な提言がありました。

太陽電池の設置は、早いし、容易です。今夏、東日本では、1000万キロワットもの電力不足が予想されていますが、彼によると、ドイツでは、昨年6月のたった1ヶ月間だけで、200万キロワット分もの太陽電池が設置されたそうです。

また、倒壊した家屋を再建するにあたって、同時に太陽電池を設置し、あるいは太陽電池が組み込まれた屋根材を使うことで、太陽電池設置費用を大幅に節約することが出来るそうです。

彼の提言が、とても素晴らしい内容だったので、さっそく、政治家の方々や関係省庁の方へ、彼のメールの日本語抄訳と原文を転送しました。

環境先進国ドイツの経験は、東日本の復興にきわめて有効と思われます。彼は、日本政府から求められれば、太陽電池設置促進に通暁したドイツ政府の担当者がすぐに派遣されるだろうと言ってくれています。

ドイツ政府の太陽電池設置促進担当者と日本の復旧復興庁・経済産業省・日本政策投資銀行など関係省庁の担当者が直接議論し、ドイツの経験が活かされれば、東日本の速やかな復興に資するところ大きいと思われます。

つきましては、彼から送られて来たメールの日本語抄訳および原文を、ご紹介させて下さい。

東日本の迅速な復興のため、お役に立てば幸いです。



添付資料:
1)ドイツ連邦政府の友人Tからの3月28日付メール抄訳
2)同原文
3)ドイツ連邦政府の友人Tからの3月29日付メール抄訳
4)同原文


【ドイツ連邦政府の友人Tからの3月28日付メール抄訳】

日本のMさんへ

今回の震災により、被害を受けられた方々に心よりのお見舞いを申し上げます。

さて、被災地の復興にあたり、太陽電池(PV)の設置を奨励するという、貴アイデアは、きわめて有効なアプローチだと思います。

というのも、

1)太陽電池の設置は、早いし、容易です。100万キロワットの原発建設には10年かかります。これに対し、ドイツでは、昨年6月のたった1ヶ月だけで200万キロワット分の太陽電池が設置されました。

2)倒壊した家屋を再建するにあたって、同時に太陽電池を設置し、あるいは太陽電池が組み込まれた屋根材を使うことで、太陽電池設置費用を大幅に節約することが出来ます。

設置の促進にあたり、鍵となるのは、太陽電池の供給量の確保よりも、むしろ、ファイナンス、法制度、設置工事者の確保など、太陽電池設置のための環境整備だと思います。

日本には、シャープや京セラなど、優秀な太陽電池メーカーがあります。

また、電池と蓄電分野で世界一のパナソニック/サンヨーもあります。

日本の国内メーカーを活用することは、経済を安定させ、雇用を確保するためにも重要です。

また、電線や送電網の復旧にあたって、スマートグリッド、スマートホーム、蓄電技術の導入を行なうことは、きわめて効果的です。

確かに太陽電池の設置やスマートグリッドの敷設には多くの費用がかかりますが、これは未来への投資です。

そして、その投資の回収は、実は、比較的短期で可能です。ドイツでは、10年以下で回収出来ました。

具体的には、以下の点がポイントになると思います。

1)ファイナンス

政府系金融機関が低利のローンを提供すべきです。20年の長期ローンを提供すべきです。

2)法制度
固定価格買取制度の拡充が重要です。さらに、政府機関、学校、警察署、消防署、空港、病院、主要駅などへの太陽電池の設置を率先して進めるべきです。各プロジェクトに関し、国際入札を実施することが効果的です。

3)設置工事者
太陽電池設置工事者を大量に育成することが必要です。政府の助成が必要です。これは、雇用の創出にもつながります。商工会議所などを通じて、国際的な協力を行なうことも可能です。

ドイツのTより


【同原文】

Dear M-san,

Thank you for your email in such dramatic times.
Every day we are following the horrible situation in Fukushima with our deepest concerns and regrets.
We stand on your side, learning and realizing more and more about our absolute helplessness towards such nuclear catastrophes - as well as about our obvious overestimation of our own capabilities in controlling the deathly risk of nuclear power.
Let me once more express my deepest commiseration to you and the people in Japan. Our thoughts are with you everyday.

Now, coming to your suggestion of strongly and fastly encouraging the installtion PV, I really think this is a great approach. I see the same reasons like you why this makes absolutely sense:

1. Installing PV is fast and easy: Building a 1GW nuclear power plant takes about 10 years - Germany just installed 2 GW of PV in June!!
2. Many houses need to be rebuilt anyway. In this constellation, the PV system owner could save a lot of installation costs by installing the PV system togehter with the new roof - or as a building-integrated solution.

In order to create a sophisticated infrastructure for such market expansion, I think the bottleneck is not so much the modules but rather the local PV infrastructure (Financing, Legislation, Installers). Japan has very high PV production capacities and is home to producers with the highest quality standards and R&D history of the World (Sharp, Kypocera). Also, you have the largest battery and energy storage companies worldwide (Panasonic/Sanyo). Thus, a new Japanese PV promotion program could also aim on supporting local companies and create economic sability and jobs, this is especially important in times like these. At the same time, as lots of new electricity lines and grids will have to be rebuilt, smart grid, smart home and storage technologies could be implented at low costs! This should be encouraged in line with a PV promotion. These actions could boost Japan to the forerunner of renewable energy and efficeint/intelligent energy distribution and storage in very short time! Yes, it is costly, but it is an investment in your future - and many people forget: This investment will pay off in a few years (in Germany in less than 10 years)!! Afterer taking the big hurdle of high capital costs, renewable energies (including PV) can be operated at the lowest operational costs per kWh and guaratee price stability over the very long-term for the whole country.

Concerning the fast and strong development of the Japanese PV infrastructure, I think the following three levels of action are important:

1. Financing: Japanese governmental banks should offer cheap loans for the reconstruction of destroyed houes and porperty. In this political frame, a special loan program for PV systems (like the program of German govermental bank KfW) should be implemented and strongly promooted, offering long-term depth of up to 20 years (by this, house-owners do not have to pay a high monthly fee).

2. Legislation: Apart form the FIT program, easy and fast grid-connection is essential (I don't know about current situation in JP). In order to further promote PV, the goverment should start international tenders for PV projects (starting with all roofs that belong to the government: govermental buildings, schools, police stations, fire stations, airports, hospitals, main stations, etc.). We as GTAI - as well as other tarde organisations worldwide - would immediately publish these tenders among all domestic PV companies!

3. Installers: In order to further increase the number of PV systems, more installers are needed. Therefore, electricians and roofers should be trainend accordingly. The government could organize and finance these training courses (which again will create employment - not for the large powerfull enterprises like TEPCO but for thousands of small and independent business owners like all the electricians and roofers all over the country). International cooperation partners in this regards could be trade chambers or institutes for technical cooperation (e.g. German GTZ or AHK).

Let me know about your thoughts and how we can put this togehter. We are there for you for any support or immediate action!
I will also keep working on these thoughts the next hours, maybe we can braisntorm more actions.

Best regards, T




【ドイツ連邦政府の友人Tからの3月29日付メール抄訳】

日本のMさんへ

神奈川県が、震災により失職した方々を、太陽電池設置工事者として雇用することを計画しているというお話は、たいへんに素晴らしいことだと思います。

私は、太陽電池の設置促進にあたっては、ファイナンスがもっとも重要なファクターだと思います。

ドイツの政府系銀行KfWは、太陽電池設置ローンの先駆者として、豊富な経験を持っています。日本の政府系銀行は、KfWから、多くの貴重なアドバイスと最善の実例についての情報を得ることが可能だと思います。

太陽電池に関する我々のプレゼンテーション・マテリアルを添付しました。ドイツにおける毎月の太陽電池設置数のグラフが含まれています。短期間でいかに多くの太陽電池の設置が可能か、ご覧いただけると思います。

お力になれることがあれば、ぜひお伝えください。

もし、太陽電池設置に関する情報が必要な場合は、いつでもおっしゃってください。

また、日本で我々がお話をすることが必要であれば、いつでも喜んで日本へ参ります。

ドイツのTより


【同原文】

Dear M-san,

Thank you for your kind words! I would be delighted if you published the suggestions on your blog or forwarded my email. It is no problem to state my name. Thank you for your concern in this regard!

It is great to hear that Kanagawa prefecture is proposing to go forward in providing solar-installer jobs! This goes in the absolute right direction.
I think providing the PV-loans and financing options are the most important factor. I know that the German governmental bank KfWis providing some loans also for non-domestic projects, but I guess not in a scale that you would need for Japan... Anyway this is maybe a topic, where Japanese gov. banks could get some advice and best practice examples on how to roll out such programs for the whole society of a country (as I am sure, KfW made lots of mistakes at the beginning and gained a lot of experience on how to handle such programs - this experience should be transferred to Japan).

In the attachment, please find our latest PV presentation including the monthly installation numbers (which quite impressively illustrates what is possible to install in short time!!)

Please let me know how we could support you further in this regard.
When thinks would become concrete and you would need us to deliver more facts or come to Japan to present to an audience, we will be there for you anytime!!

Best regards, T


以上です。