What is the impact of epilepsy row came Taobao? ---- Ghost seven feet on 2015 electricity supplier 7:00 Thoughtsworld network operators [i] Note epilepsy row came to power seven feet in ghosts, this is a good news. For a line in an interview with epilepsy spoken, \u0026 ldquo; profitable businesses are objective evidence Tmall Taobao ghost foot seven \u0026 rdquo ;, data. So what is the future ADS suppliers dominate the party, or half the world, and a derivative, ghost feet seven that the development of future relations between the two will be the first to compete with each other to complement each other to balance each other. Although it is in terms of rural electricity suppliers Ali, the line of cross-border electricity supplier and user education, its urgent problems, but the ghost foot seven, said the electricity business is still a sunrise industry, Jingdong will not exceed the Lynx. Wen Shu ghost looked seven feet since Chaijing of 'under the dome', I run around a little in Hangzhou, in addition to books, on the Internet, is to carefully write articles. Recently two sessions just ended, on the mobile Internet, on Nike Hyperdunk electricity providers, it should be a big positive. Favorable environment just okay, but in 2015 the electricity supplier in the end what the change? This is the latest in my many friends from the media backstage to ask questions, to ask much more, I can not reply one, here take my share out some ideas and thinking. Prior statements, the following is just my opinion, I'll tell you how I analyze, just for your information, do not take it seriously. 1, 90% of Taobao sellers do not make money? It is said that 90% of the seller does not make money, initially heard this number, think that a large proportion of Taobao! Recently appointed president of epilepsy row, he said in an interview: All businesses are profitable Taobao. A closer look at the line epilepsy answer, in fact, did not contradict the essence of this point of view, there is no denying the seller does not make money 90% of the facts, just tell everyone in the business to make money Taobao. The answer is very artistic. Taobao sellers have 10 million, 10% make money, that is one million, in fact, this figure is substantial. In the end what is the truth? Here there is more than 14,000 attended the voting results: numbers are in there and see how you interpret. The figure can be obtained from the following data: Full money ratio = profitable seller Seller / (sellers lose money to make money sellers + + flat Sellers) = 15 / (15 + 16 + 12) * 100% = 34.9% of part-time money sellers proportion = 9 / Percentage (9 + 11) * 100% = 45% of full-time seller = (15 + 16 + 12) / (15 + 16 + 12 + 9 + 11) * 100% = 68.25% According to incomplete statistics, there are more than Taobao 10 million registered business, every month really active about 4 million, and the remaining 6 million are inactive (for 30 days without any transaction). That part-time sellers make money than less, it may be classified as non-profitable collection. Sellers make money here we refer only to those of full-time sellers make money sellers. So in the end how much real money sellers? Consider the following formula: 4,000,000 * 68.25% * 34.9% = 952,800. Well, figure out. The number of sellers on Taobao Lynx real money is 952,800. 2, the line came epilepsy have any effect on Taobao? March 6, 2015, the line is directly responsible for epilepsy start Taobao, Lynx, together cost-effective, epilepsy row will do what's working and what impact there will be on Taobao? I think this is good news. Line epilepsy own experienced technical, operations, products in various positions, before also responsible for the Lynx Taobao together cost-effective, his very deep understanding of the business. Line epilepsy very pragmatic, courage is relatively large, Good at Stressing figures take the result. Epilepsy row after taking office, I believe will make Taobao small two categories have a greater right to make small Nike Shoes two results-oriented, focusing on grasping GMV growth. Taobao small two before because of internal problems in order to prevent corruption, a lot of power is recovered, the general authority and responsibility are linked, no power, naturally do not have to take responsibility. No one to take responsibility, and finally what can be made is what kind. Business people did know that if we do not mobilize the enthusiasm of the staff, and then regressed business model, do not up! Epilepsy can also be seen from the line in his speech, the next will be stratified management for all businesses, which fit into the Lynx, which is suitable to Taobao, including Taobao which is personal and what is business and so on, for different levels Sellers should have a different policy. 3, where future growth in Ali? Ali 2014 GMV (total sales) was 2.3 trillion, accounting for 8% of total retail sales, up 47%. This dish has been great, the next will continue to grow it? This is indeed very difficult to rely on natural growth, this rate will come down. Then Ali will drive the growth of business in three aspects: first, rural electricity suppliers (county electricity supplier) development. This at the end of 2014, Ali has already begun to implement, even Amoy education should be the main provider of electricity in rural areas. Second, the cross-border electricity supplier. AliExpress, Lynx International, Overseas Museum, etc. are used to expand the cross-border operations overseas. Third, the line user education. 2015, Taobao there must be a line under the more advertising, to educate users. There are similar didodecyl last year when the uncle, aunt attract Alipay. These three points at any point well, Ali's life will be fine too, but these three are not easy. 4, the electricity supplier will be a sunrise industry it? Overall, I was very optimistic about the electricity supplier industry. Half of China's Internet, about 700 million, the Internet population in half of online shopping, about 370 million people. If the mobile shopping and pay more and more convenient, online shopping population there is room for improvement. I was surrounded by many people forties, they hold for online shopping wait and see attitude. On the one hand I feel a little complex, on the other hand do not trust. Complex issues, the development of science and technology should be solved step by step, the issue of trust, recently there are some good, online shopping endorsement of the Prime Minister, we should make people more confident. China total more than 30 million small and medium enterprises, Taobao currently active in several businesses only 300 million. It means that there is 90% of the companies may be put into the electricity business. The two sessions on the Internet, for electricity suppliers very supportive of the government, there are many policies to support, there will be more businesses were added to the electricity supplier to this industry. From the buyer, the seller's perspective, the electricity supplier in this industry there are three or four years of rapid growth, it is a sunrise industry. 5, Jingdong can people overcome the Lynx? Jingdong GMV reach 260 billion in 2014, an increase of 107%. I feel Nike Air Presto great advantage Jingdong logistics services, product quality is also good. Many people began to ask whether Jingdong Lynx will surpass even to compete with the entire Ali? I think Jingdong can not go beyond the Lynx. First, the rapid growth in 2014 showed a profit of Jingdong has a strong hidden, in large part because pat incorporated and micro-flow channel guide, rather than a user Jingdong itself has so much growth; secondly, Jingdong mode with not much different in nature Lynx models, it is difficult to change the user's habits. Logistics services temporarily in a second-tier cities to do good, but very difficult to continue to expand. Once again, Ali's rookie logistics also sustained investment, once play a role, its influence than Jingdong on an order of magnitude, this force can not be underestimated. Finally, the richness of products, personalized service, far behind the Lynx Jingdong and Taobao. In fact there is little, a lot of people think Jingdong will surpass Lynx, is ignoring the humanity. My experience on Taobao shopping, there will be shopping, Jingdong a lot less of this pleasure. Ah, there will be more and more people care about shopping. In 2015, some will be more and more vertical electric providers grow up, integrated electricity business more difficult, but easier vertical electric providers, especially those of a certain amount of community foundation. 6, counterfeiting and tax will not affect Taobao sellers? Before I wrote an article devoted to the 2015 crackdown Taobao how (in reply to 686 micro-channel taobaoguijiaoqi backstage view), the overall view is: Taobao fake and scalping, is deeply rooted tumors, short-term Air Jordan Fusion is difficult to remove. The newly appointed epilepsy row, the first task must be to ensure the stability and growth of business. Taobao crackdown, will do, but can not be too thoroughly, otherwise affect the performance of both, would cause social problems. Therefore, the problem of counterfeiting, the overall impact Air Jordan Women will not be too great. Network transactions tax seems to have been hanging over the head of Taobao sellers sword. In fact, I think this issue is far too serious. Taobao many businesses are informal businesses are online at registration, these businesses tax evasion tax evasion if online, offline. If the Government should strictly taxation, I believe that this impact is not just on the line, on the line as well. But the government will do it? Even in the era of Prime Minister endorsement of online shopping, that do not know what the consequences of a thunderbolt, will not easily appear. Even if there is legislation, it will not cause much impact. 7. Derivative whether alternative suppliers ADS? Some people make the electricity business through micro letter, referred to as derivative. The last two years, the term more fire. Often heard people do Derivative make millions per month tens of millions of messages. Later, someone began to do on Taobao electricity supplier who called Amoy business, make use of micro-channel electricity suppliers who called derivative. Regardless first definition, the rapid development of derivative past two years, there was indeed a group of people make a lot of money, especially the layers of the distribution of derivative yahuo mode. In this way, a lot of people defined as pyramid schemes, because it is necessary to make money by developing downline distributors. Admittedly, there are indeed some people are doing in this way. But I know a lot of micro-business, they only value products, but also to the service, nor does it require the dealer Yahuo, to go more formal. Now Taobao Lynx model of centralized traffic, has encountered some bottlenecks. Mobile Internet Air Jordan 4 Retro era, there will be a new model to complement and Taobao Lynx, now complements the future is to compete. Some people say that is derivative, it was said that the electricity supplier community, perhaps all of it, need time to test. Overall, the 2015 micro-business, still in the exploratory stage, in certain sectors will develop well, such as cosmetics, food industry, will not form a large-scale outbreak, it will not replace scouring providers. But many young people derivative can be Nike Lunar Haze used as a new business direction, aspect is that the enterprises should go seriously. This Thoughts are associated with Ali, as well as other platforms entire electricity provider industry, they will have changed? Etc. Well, I have a cold, talk to share. (Edit / world network operators Angela, article from the official micro-seven feet ghost signal, please indicate the author and source.)