Domestic demand, focus on China on August new RMB loan to the influence of the Australian dollars, then a little coach outlet store online concern for the second quarter GDP in the eurozone and Italy on September Sentix investor confidence index, if better than is expected to boost the euro, moreover Germany will also issued 4 billion euros six months due t-bills, if the rate of return to rise into the hedge assets that less money, the market risk preference to continue to rise, will also bring some support against the euro. The euro against the dollar (1.2797, 0.0009, 0.07%) : the euro against the dollar last Friday by MA (5) support sharply and pierced the key resistance MA (200) near 1.2800, and opened the new up space, day chart out of a piece of bald bare feet sun arises candle. Today early disc rate basic can keep the previous trading day rise, the range of the callback is very limited, and days would not rule out further after the callback may continue to rise. Preliminary support for 1.2750 a line. Australian dollars dollar (1.0356, 0.0005, 0.05%) : in the last Thursday and Friday even up two in the future, the dollar has a breakthrough for eight months down channel, and confirmed in 1.0165 built near the bottom, early disc is basic around MA (20) near 1.0360 fluctuation, but MA (5) wear MA (10) bring support, keep MA (5) 1.0310 support not broken help further rise. September 10th afternoon news, 360 safety browser recently new "thumb" button, it will allow users to be the search engine's participants, found that high quality website to recommend to search engine, 360 search according to user vote frequency improve your search engine ranking. According to introducing, "thumb plan" is part of the 360 search open platform, encourage users to 360 search recommendation quality web site. The net friend recommended can not only help 360 search timely find the latest quality web site, but also through the user's recommendation, promote the website ranking in the search results. It is reported, 360 "thumb plan" is in the search industry general PageRank algorithm, based on the user to recommend coefficient, by users to domain name of the number of recommended to enhance our website weight. Previously, Facebook social networking websites, Google + and content polymerization website Digg are introduced similar "iLike", "+ 1" vote mechanism, reference user voting popular degree recommend network content. The "search industry development today, experienced based on text classification retrieval based on link analysis, sorting and so on stage, some search manufacturers also commercial advertisement into the search results to increase income, and the user has been lack of discourse power, can only passive accept push search engine results." 360 the company President JiXiangDong said. "' thumb plan" is the traditional search technology innovation, make search rankings more objective. Last week's foreign exchange market risk event gathers, currency markets violent shake, first the silver world finally in this policy meeting announced plans to buy debt, but is not the market had expected SMP, short term boost risk assets, but the market for the debt crisis measures still be questioned, the euro or limited. Then, the United States ADP employment data than expected in non-agricultural data under the optimistic anticipation, but the actual figures from the relatively weak, the huge psychological head make market for U.S. employment market and even the whole economic confidence was almost hit into pieces, also makes the market for next week the fed's discussion interest meeting full of expectation.
In QE3 strong under the expected, the risk asset again crazy rise, beauty coach factory outlet means for but by double attack. European time on Friday, the German finance minister ShuoYiBuLe sure the European central bank debt purchase plan legitimacy, and he says the European central bank new purchase debt plan has not beyond its monetary policy responsibility, this push up the market for the European central bank debt purchase plan to bring the good, the system all currency rise. At the same time, British and German industrial output beautiful, Germany and France trade account better than expected, the good economic data increased market risk preference mood. In bond yields, Spain the 10-year Treasury yield for the first time since may come down to 6% below; Italy the 10-year Treasury yield fell 13 basis points to 5.19%. The European central bank on Thursday, September 6,) announced that keep its benchmark interest rate 0.75% unchanged, in a news conference later launch an unlimited bath type purchase debt plan (OMT), which has greatly improved the recent market risk preference mood. New York time, the United States on August non-farm employment data beat expectations, the market for the fed QE3 expected increased significantly, European and American stock market ended up, oil, gold prices rose sharply, the euro against the dollar (1.2798, 0.0008, 0.06%) exchange rate also rose more than 100 basis points. Data show that the United States on August non-agricultural employment increased only 96000, significantly lower than expected and 11.5 before value 163000, the unemployment rate from 8.3% to 8.1%. Because last Thursday August ADP employment increase 201000, make most investors expected Friday non-agricultural data for the market will bring a surprise, but final data but let's levels, QE3 expected warming drag the dollar index comprehensive back, not beautiful money hit a record high. This week, foreign exchange market last week with slightly different last week, the foreign exchange market focus although is Europe and the United States die, but compared with the non-agricultural data, investors more attention European central bank interest rate decisions Della base performance. This week's situation is also die in Europe and America, but investors are more attention the fed's performance, and the German court ruling for ESM compared, the fed whether QE3 introduced the uncertainty of the larger. The German court this week to the legitimacy of ESM vote, the vote is important because Germany in ESM fund investment nearly 27%, also is the fund more than a quarter of capital source is from Germany. At the same time, fund and ESM EFSF fund is the ECB bonds purchase plan important part, so the German ruling result is worth investors pay close attention to. The result although not present policies have substantial effect, but if the German court passed the legitimacy of ESM vote, will be to stabilize the market confidence play a decisive role. The information i&aposve got, including the German central bank governors, WeiDeMan German officials, for ESM vote all hold optimistic attitude, so there should be a great possibility will pass. In the German court this week for ESM the validity of after the vote, will usher in the star of this week, the federal reserve interest rates resolution. In the interest rate decision announced at the same time, which will be published in the federal reserve's monetary policy, then the fed chairman Ben bernanke will deliver a speech. The present market the most the focus of attention is whether the fed will be launched this month QE3.
The last month of the federal coach leather handbags reserve interest discussion meeting minutes, and then the fed chairman Ben bernanke spoke, all suggested that the fed will soon launch the new economic stimulus policies, and so on QE3 expected out on the dust. But the labor department on Friday published August non-agricultural employment greatly lower than expected, it also increased the fed out the possibility of QE3. No matter what the fed out QE3 or not, this will be a period of time in the future market trend has caused a serious impact on the market trend of the most important reference is the fed at the end of 2010 the implementation of the QE2 stage. Once the federal reserve this week announced the implementation QE3 words, so the dollar will instantly collapse. However bad news after all out, the dollar's trend is worth wrestle, very likely see this bottom and then go strong, this is the QE2 announced after the trend of dollars. Once the interest rate decisions the fed did not implement QE3, do so and can not represent the federal reserve finally will not carry out the plan, but represents will likely in a future period of time implementation. This week, investors should pay close attention to the following important economic data and events: first of all, investors should pay close attention to this week three German constitutional court to ESM decision, which is the European vital decision. Is expected to Germany's constitutional court will through the ESM vote, but will likely additional strict conditions. German finance minister has also made it clear that he thought on September 12, the German constitution court of ESM decision will can pass. On the same day, investors also pay attention to the Netherlands election, it may also be the future development direction of Europe impact; Secondly, investors should pay close attention to the European central bank this week four monthly report, expected the European central bank will cut the next two years GDP growth expected interval, and increase inflation expectations, President Della base in a news conference last week launched purchase debt measures of risk assets, such as the euro has brought about significant results, Thursday's monthly report on whether European future economic performance optimistic is worth investors pay close attention to. Finally, investors should pay special attention to the federal reserve released early on Friday will be big economic data: the federal reserve interest rates resolution. In the United States last week after August non-agricultural report, the market for the September push QE3 expected warms up again, the dollar so greatly confined, however, the fed out QE3 not board nailing, this will be more looking forward to market. The euro/dollar: Monday, September 10,) and the earlier in the session, the euro against the dollar from a high callback, last Friday, September 7,) the United States on August non-agricultural data greatly lower than expected, QE3 expected heating up again, crack down on the dollar and the euro against the dollar since the website on May 23, high since, for the market outlook to see, QE3 expected warming, will still support the euro's rise, pay attention to daily above 200 near the line pressure. This week, the federal reserve interest rates resolution and Germany's constitutional court to ESM ruling will be affect the market fluctuation two big risk events. The U.S. labor department on Friday, September 7,) published data show that the United States on August non-agricultural employment increase 96000 people, an increase of 125000 less than market expectations, and the unemployment rate fell to 8.1%.
In addition, the first two months of employment data after repair. Friday, September 14,) before dawn will usher in September and a big big economic data: the federal reserve interest rates resolution. Non-agricultural data greatly lower than expected to QE3 expected warming, while the United States 8 month decline in the unemployment rate, analysts say, the fed seems to think more of employment data, unemployment rate the fed will not implement QE3. So if the fed QE3 implementation of words, the market blow will be very big, it is suggested that investors to focus on the market outlook. On Wednesday, September 12,) the German constitution court will rule on ESM. According to media to overseas legal experts investigation shows, is expected to Germany's constitutional court will through the ESM vote, but will likely additional strict conditions. German finance minister has also made it clear that on September 12, the German constitution court of ESM decision will can pass. In addition, from a recent ms merkel's speech seems to imply that Germany to the European central bank against attitude change, therefore, the German constitutional court ruling of ESM can through the probability is very big still. In addition, the European time on Friday, the euro zone finance ministers' meeting will be held. In addition, Saturday, September 15,) will be held at the euro group meeting. At present about the two big meeting issues no definite information, may discuss banking alliance, purchase debt plan details, Greece aid problem and so on. Days resistance position: 1.2815 support position: 1.2670 GBP/usd: The dollar pounds (1.6012, 0.0001, 0.00%) on Friday, September 7,) further expand rise to 1.6000 nearby, pan highest reached 1.6033, British industrial production data performance is good, at the same time the United States non-farm employment data is lower than expected increase the fed QE3 possibility. The national bureau of statistics data released Friday showed that British July industrial production rate of month, rose 2.9% annual rate fell by 0.8%, respectively by 1.5% and 2.8% decline than expected. The United States non-farm employment growth in August 96000, lower than expected growth of 130000 people, 163000 people initial value for growth. The United States on August the unemployment rate falling to 8.1% and is expected to 8.2%, the first value is 8.3%. Days after the lack of the UK data message, the market will probably continue to digest the fed QE3 expected. Friday's us non-farm employment data performance far amazonian expected, to make QE3 expected temperature significantly, the risk money generally rose sharply. At present the market is still in the digestive released last Friday by weak us non-agricultural data influence, is expected to the federal reserve this week before trading resolution will be relatively cautious. In addition to the federal reserve this week resolution outside, Germany's constitutional court vote ESM and budget discipline financial agreement, the euro finance ministers' meeting and the euro group meeting is worth investors to focus on. The trading day published data influence relatively limited, investors can focus attention: Japan August family consumer confidence index, France on July industrial output, Italy the second quarter GDP final value, the eurozone September Sentix investor confidence index. Days resistance position: 1.6000 support position: 1.5880 Australian dollars/dollars: Last Friday, September 7,) Australian dollars/dollars in the fed QE3 warming and their own callback demand double push down, all the way pull up 'straight into the sky'.