How to Survive in International Lawlessness era
〇How to Survive in an Age of International Lawlessness – Japan’s Survival Strategy After the Collapse of International Law■ IntroductionThe new U.S. doctrine—or more accurately, its “regression theory”—is now spreading across the world.It asserts that force defines order and law is subordinate.Through dialogues with AI, I explored how Japan should respond to this reality.However, the raw dialogue is hard to follow. Here, I have distilled the discussion into a coherent strategic analysis.■ What President Trump’s Statements RevealKey statements that reflect the current U.S. stance: On U.S. military operations in Venezuela: “I don’t need international law.” On limits to his global power: “The only thing that can stop me is my own moral compass.” On Greenland: “I want a peaceful deal. If that fails, I will use stronger measures.” On Denmark’s territorial claims over Greenland: “Landing a ship 500 years ago does not grant territorial rights.”In short: The U.S. is no longer bound by international law. Changing the status quo by force is justified. Righteousness can always be post-rationalized.This is not exaggeration.We are entering an unprecedented Hobbesian state of global lawlessness.■ Why International Law No Longer FunctionsInternational law has always been more like a gentleman’s agreement, with little enforcement.It has held because major powers exercised mutual restraint.Now, repeated violations by China and Russia, and the inability of the West to check them, have led to: The most powerful enforcer—the U.S.—breaking free from its “cage.”The first casualties in this world will be: Weak countries that continue to obey the law.■ Why the Greenland Issue is a Critical CrisisGreenland represents an immediate danger:1. NATO’s Logical Collapse Greenland is Danish territory. Denmark is a NATO member.This creates the possibility of a NATO member attacking another NATO member.Article 5 becomes unworkable.Activating it would be “U.S. vs. U.S.”; ignoring it would show NATO as meaningless.Either way, NATO dies.2. International Law Fully NeutralizedThe Security Council will remain silent due to the U.S. veto.The world will see: International law no longer protects weak nations.3. Europe’s Impossible Choice Submit → become subordinate Resist → face retaliation Do nothing → be nextThe only real solution is: Security independent of the U.S.■ CSA: A Survival Alliance of Law-Abiding NationsFrom the AI dialogue emerged the CSA concept:🌐 CSACharter for the Survival of the Accord(Not a traditional security alliance, but a minimal coalition to survive lawlessness.)■ CSA Core Member Articles (Outline)Article 1 (Basic Qualifications)A country may become a core member only if it: Has not unilaterally violated international law or treaties Denies territorial changes by force Maintains institutional civilian control of the military Does not conduct duplicitous diplomacy Respects international agreements over domestic lawArticle 2 (Mutual Defense)An attack on one member is considered an attack on all.Aggressors lose membership automatically.Article 3 (Betrayal Prevention)Any secret military or resource pact with the U.S., China, or Russia results in immediate expulsion.■ U.S. Participation Special RulesArticle S1The U.S. may only join as a “quasi-core member.”Article S2The U.S. may not: Conduct unilateral preemptive attacks Force allies into military action Undermine international institutionsArticle S3All military actions must be reported to the CSA council in advance and afterward.This is explicit: a cage for a hegemon.■ Why Japan Can LeadJapan is uniquely qualified: Not seeking hegemony Most immediately threatened by international law collapse Holds economic, technological, and diplomatic assets Militarily constrained Weak but law-abiding → only Japan can propose CSA.■ Next Question: Is the Self-Defense Force Enough?We must ask:Can Japan survive with the current SDF?Consider: Upgrading to a formal Japanese military Redesign under civilian control Asking the public to face the reality of national survivalThis is not warmongering.It is redefining survival conditions.■ ConclusionJapan does not seek war.But we cannot accept the freedom to be defenseless and die.If others are free to break the law,we are free to unite to uphold it.Japan is now being asked:Will it exercise that freedom?※ This article is based on AI dialogue and represents a strategic thought experiment, not an attack or incitement toward any country or individual.